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Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters

March 27, 2019   Left Wing Lock Staff   0 Comments


Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

Tom Wilson22171202.11.318.39.886
Morgan Rielly20502082.
Brad Richardson1781131.
Nic Dowd614400.71.315.08.772
Casey Cizikas19111021.51.418.611.168
Joe Pavelski37261782.52.820.812.567
Brian Boyle1861161.71.915.59.366
Garnet Hathaway106701.
David Perron2021991.
Cody Eakin20181091.51.618.311.659
Damon Severson11261351.
Jared McCann19151371.92.613.98.857
Michael Frolik15181182.02.812.78.157
Jakob Silfverberg23151552.22.714.89.557
Ryan Strome15131001.
Tyler Ennis125761.73.015.810.156
Ron Hainsey517761.
Tomas Hertl33321662.32.719.912.954
Alexander Edler9211152.
Elias Lindholm27501762.32.115.310.251
Patrice Bergeron31441963.34.015.810.550
Trevor Lewis27711.
Jaden Schwartz10241672.
William Nylander5201052.
Deryk Engelland28941.
Jake Gardiner227751.
Marc-Edouard Vlasic222891.
David Backes6131161.
Jean-Gabriel Pageau37732.
Victor Rask26491.
Alexander Wennberg222640.
Michael Del Zotto19451.
James Neal5101252.
Ryan Murray128711.
Olli Maatta112651.
Erik Karlsson3421673.
Jack Johnson112781.
Dion Phaneuf15751.
Kevin Connauton17691.
Kevin Shattenkirk2251372.
Riley Nash19680.
Thomas Hickey04451.
Tobias Rieder011831.
Andrew MacDonald09410.


G: Goals

A: Assists

S: Shots on goal

S/GP: Shots on goal per game

3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game

SH%: 2018-2019 shooting percentage

CSH%: Career shooting percentage

DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage

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