Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Wilson | 22 | 17 | 120 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 18.3 | 9.8 | 86 |
| Morgan Rielly | 20 | 50 | 208 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 9.6 | 5.2 | 83 |
| Brad Richardson | 17 | 8 | 113 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 15.0 | 8.6 | 74 |
| Nic Dowd | 6 | 14 | 40 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 15.0 | 8.7 | 72 |
| Casey Cizikas | 19 | 11 | 102 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 18.6 | 11.1 | 68 |
| Joe Pavelski | 37 | 26 | 178 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 20.8 | 12.5 | 67 |
| Brian Boyle | 18 | 6 | 116 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 15.5 | 9.3 | 66 |
| Garnet Hathaway | 10 | 6 | 70 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 14.3 | 8.8 | 63 |
| David Perron | 20 | 21 | 99 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 20.2 | 12.5 | 62 |
| Cody Eakin | 20 | 18 | 109 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 18.3 | 11.6 | 59 |
| Damon Severson | 11 | 26 | 135 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 8.1 | 5.1 | 59 |
| Jared McCann | 19 | 15 | 137 | 1.9 | 2.6 | 13.9 | 8.8 | 57 |
| Michael Frolik | 15 | 18 | 118 | 2.0 | 2.8 | 12.7 | 8.1 | 57 |
| Jakob Silfverberg | 23 | 15 | 155 | 2.2 | 2.7 | 14.8 | 9.5 | 57 |
| Ryan Strome | 15 | 13 | 100 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 15.0 | 9.6 | 56 |
| Tyler Ennis | 12 | 5 | 76 | 1.7 | 3.0 | 15.8 | 10.1 | 56 |
| Ron Hainsey | 5 | 17 | 76 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 6.6 | 4.2 | 55 |
| Tomas Hertl | 33 | 32 | 166 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 19.9 | 12.9 | 54 |
| Alexander Edler | 9 | 21 | 115 | 2.3 | 2.9 | 7.8 | 5.2 | 51 |
| Elias Lindholm | 27 | 50 | 176 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 15.3 | 10.2 | 51 |
| Patrice Bergeron | 31 | 44 | 196 | 3.3 | 4.0 | 15.8 | 10.5 | 50 |
| Trevor Lewis | 2 | 7 | 71 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 2.8 | 5.8 | -52 |
| Jaden Schwartz | 10 | 24 | 167 | 2.7 | 3.3 | 6.0 | 12.4 | -52 |
| William Nylander | 5 | 20 | 105 | 2.2 | 3.1 | 4.8 | 9.9 | -52 |
| Deryk Engelland | 2 | 8 | 94 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 4.4 | -52 |
| Jake Gardiner | 2 | 27 | 75 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 2.7 | 5.6 | -53 |
| Marc-Edouard Vlasic | 2 | 22 | 89 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 4.9 | -54 |
| David Backes | 6 | 13 | 116 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 5.2 | 11.6 | -55 |
| Jean-Gabriel Pageau | 3 | 7 | 73 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 4.1 | 9.3 | -56 |
| Victor Rask | 2 | 6 | 49 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 4.1 | 9.2 | -56 |
| Alexander Wennberg | 2 | 22 | 64 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3.1 | 8.2 | -62 |
| Michael Del Zotto | 1 | 9 | 45 | 1.1 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 6.0 | -63 |
| James Neal | 5 | 10 | 125 | 2.2 | 3.3 | 4.0 | 11.6 | -66 |
| Ryan Murray | 1 | 28 | 71 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4.1 | -66 |
| Olli Maatta | 1 | 12 | 65 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4.7 | -67 |
| Erik Karlsson | 3 | 42 | 167 | 3.2 | 3.1 | 1.8 | 6.4 | -72 |
| Jack Johnson | 1 | 12 | 78 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5.0 | -74 |
| Dion Phaneuf | 1 | 5 | 75 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 5.5 | -76 |
| Kevin Connauton | 1 | 7 | 69 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 6.0 | -76 |
| Kevin Shattenkirk | 2 | 25 | 137 | 2.1 | 2.7 | 1.5 | 5.9 | -76 |
| Riley Nash | 1 | 9 | 68 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 9.0 | -84 |
| Thomas Hickey | 0 | 4 | 45 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 4.5 | -100 |
| Tobias Rieder | 0 | 11 | 83 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 7.5 | -100 |
| Andrew MacDonald | 0 | 9 | 41 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 4.7 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2018-2019 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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