Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 20 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Petry | 5 | 8 | 24 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 20.8 | 6.0 | 250 |
| Patric Hornqvist | 5 | 2 | 21 | 3.5 | 3.9 | 23.8 | 9.8 | 144 |
| Miles Wood | 5 | 3 | 24 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 20.8 | 8.8 | 136 |
| Tyler Toffoli | 9 | 4 | 36 | 3.6 | 3.0 | 25.0 | 10.7 | 133 |
| John Carlson | 4 | 7 | 29 | 2.9 | 2.7 | 13.8 | 6.2 | 123 |
| Johnny Gaudreau | 6 | 5 | 22 | 2.4 | 3.0 | 27.3 | 12.4 | 121 |
| Connor Murphy | 2 | 3 | 21 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 9.5 | 4.4 | 117 |
| Joel Eriksson Ek | 5 | 4 | 31 | 2.8 | 2.1 | 16.1 | 7.6 | 113 |
| James van Riemsdyk | 5 | 8 | 20 | 2.0 | 2.9 | 25.0 | 12.1 | 107 |
| Mitchell Marner | 5 | 9 | 22 | 2.2 | 2.7 | 22.7 | 11.3 | 101 |
| Jonas Brodin | 2 | 4 | 21 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 9.5 | 4.7 | 101 |
| Tyler Motte | 5 | 1 | 27 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 18.5 | 9.3 | 98 |
| Nick Ritchie | 4 | 4 | 22 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 18.2 | 9.2 | 98 |
| Brayden Schenn | 6 | 4 | 23 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 26.1 | 13.1 | 98 |
| Justin Faulk | 3 | 1 | 26 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 11.5 | 5.9 | 96 |
| Vincent Trocheck | 5 | 2 | 26 | 3.7 | 3.4 | 19.2 | 10.2 | 88 |
| Josh Anderson | 6 | 2 | 31 | 3.1 | 3.9 | 19.4 | 10.9 | 78 |
| Shea Theodore | 3 | 4 | 30 | 4.3 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 5.7 | 75 |
| Max Pacioretty | 6 | 1 | 32 | 4.6 | 4.1 | 18.8 | 11.1 | 69 |
| Tyler Bertuzzi | 5 | 2 | 20 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 25.0 | 14.8 | 69 |
| Adam Lowry | 4 | 4 | 22 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 18.2 | 10.8 | 68 |
| Kevin Hayes | 5 | 5 | 23 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 21.7 | 13.1 | 65 |
| William Nylander | 4 | 5 | 21 | 2.1 | 2.8 | 19.1 | 11.5 | 65 |
| Brock Boeser | 8 | 4 | 36 | 2.8 | 3.7 | 22.2 | 13.4 | 65 |
| Andrei Svechnikov | 5 | 2 | 25 | 3.6 | 2.5 | 20.0 | 12.3 | 62 |
| Nicklas Backstrom | 5 | 8 | 26 | 2.6 | 2.2 | 19.2 | 12.0 | 60 |
| Jordan Kyrou | 5 | 7 | 25 | 2.5 | NA | 20.0 | 12.5 | 60 |
| Brandon Sutter | 4 | 0 | 24 | 1.8 | 3.1 | 16.7 | 10.5 | 59 |
| Thomas Chabot | 2 | 3 | 20 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 10.0 | 6.4 | 57 |
| Boone Jenner | 3 | 3 | 20 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 15.0 | 9.7 | 55 |
| Matt Dumba | 3 | 1 | 25 | 2.8 | 3.0 | 12.0 | 7.7 | 55 |
| Phil Kessel | 4 | 3 | 24 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 16.7 | 10.9 | 53 |
| Max Domi | 1 | 2 | 20 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 5.0 | 10.0 | -50 |
| Nathan MacKinnon | 2 | 12 | 41 | 4.1 | 4.5 | 4.9 | 9.9 | -51 |
| Jack Eichel | 2 | 9 | 39 | 3.9 | 4.1 | 5.1 | 10.7 | -52 |
| Cale Makar | 1 | 11 | 24 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 4.2 | 9.0 | -53 |
| Viktor Arvidsson | 2 | 4 | 36 | 4.0 | 3.6 | 5.6 | 11.9 | -53 |
| Kevin Labanc | 1 | 4 | 24 | 3.0 | 2.1 | 4.2 | 9.2 | -55 |
| Andrew Shaw | 1 | 2 | 20 | 1.8 | 3.3 | 5.0 | 11.4 | -56 |
| Drake Batherson | 1 | 4 | 26 | 2.6 | 4.2 | 3.9 | 9.2 | -58 |
| Timo Meier | 1 | 4 | 25 | 3.1 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | -60 |
| Anze Kopitar | 1 | 11 | 20 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 5.0 | 12.7 | -61 |
| Evgeni Malkin | 1 | 4 | 20 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 5.0 | 13.6 | -63 |
| Evgenii Dadonov | 1 | 2 | 20 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 5.0 | 14.0 | -64 |
| Dominik Kubalik | 2 | 6 | 34 | 3.1 | 2.4 | 5.9 | 16.8 | -65 |
| Cam Atkinson | 1 | 3 | 25 | 2.3 | 4.4 | 4.0 | 11.4 | -65 |
| Taylor Hall | 1 | 8 | 29 | 2.9 | 4.8 | 3.5 | 10.3 | -66 |
| Jeff Carter | 1 | 5 | 28 | 3.1 | 3.9 | 3.6 | 11.2 | -68 |
| Mika Zibanejad | 1 | 1 | 30 | 3.3 | 3.4 | 3.3 | 12.7 | -74 |
| Rickard Rakell | 1 | 2 | 36 | 3.3 | 3.2 | 2.8 | 11.6 | -76 |
| Connor Brown | 0 | 4 | 20 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 10.8 | -100 |
| P.K. Subban | 0 | 3 | 27 | 3.0 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 5.9 | -100 |
| Matt Duchene | 0 | 3 | 23 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 12.6 | -100 |
| Ryan Suter | 0 | 6 | 22 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 4.5 | -100 |
| Jeff Skinner | 0 | 1 | 24 | 2.4 | 3.4 | 0.0 | 10.8 | -100 |
| Kris Letang | 0 | 3 | 21 | 2.3 | 3.4 | 0.0 | 6.0 | -100 |
| Nikita Gusev | 0 | 1 | 24 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 7.1 | -100 |
| Alexander Edler | 0 | 4 | 21 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 5.1 | -100 |
| Kyle Palmieri | 0 | 3 | 21 | 2.6 | 3.3 | 0.0 | 12.6 | -100 |
| Filip Hronek | 0 | 6 | 21 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 6.4 | -100 |
| Duncan Keith | 0 | 5 | 23 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 4.3 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2020-2021 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
Comments (0)
Leave a comment
In order to leave a comment, you must be a registered user at our website and logged in.