Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters | Fantasy Hockey Advice and Analysis | leftwinglock.com

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Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters

Introduction

Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 20 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

Shot Production and Shooting Percentage Data

Player G A S S/GP 3YS/GP SH% CSH% DEV
Jeff Petry 5 8 24 2.4 2.2 20.8 6.0 250
Patric Hornqvist 5 2 21 3.5 3.9 23.8 9.8 144
Miles Wood 5 3 24 2.7 2.5 20.8 8.8 136
Tyler Toffoli 9 4 36 3.6 3.0 25.0 10.7 133
John Carlson 4 7 29 2.9 2.7 13.8 6.2 123
Johnny Gaudreau 6 5 22 2.4 3.0 27.3 12.4 121
Connor Murphy 2 3 21 1.9 2.1 9.5 4.4 117
Joel Eriksson Ek 5 4 31 2.8 2.1 16.1 7.6 113
James van Riemsdyk 5 8 20 2.0 2.9 25.0 12.1 107
Mitchell Marner 5 9 22 2.2 2.7 22.7 11.3 101
Jonas Brodin 2 4 21 1.9 1.4 9.5 4.7 101
Tyler Motte 5 1 27 2.1 2.1 18.5 9.3 98
Nick Ritchie 4 4 22 2.4 2.0 18.2 9.2 98
Brayden Schenn 6 4 23 2.3 2.3 26.1 13.1 98
Justin Faulk 3 1 26 2.6 2.6 11.5 5.9 96
Vincent Trocheck 5 2 26 3.7 3.4 19.2 10.2 88
Josh Anderson 6 2 31 3.1 3.9 19.4 10.9 78
Shea Theodore 3 4 30 4.3 3.0 10.0 5.7 75
Max Pacioretty 6 1 32 4.6 4.1 18.8 11.1 69
Tyler Bertuzzi 5 2 20 2.2 2.2 25.0 14.8 69
Adam Lowry 4 4 22 2.2 1.9 18.2 10.8 68
Kevin Hayes 5 5 23 2.3 2.5 21.7 13.1 65
William Nylander 4 5 21 2.1 2.8 19.1 11.5 65
Brock Boeser 8 4 36 2.8 3.7 22.2 13.4 65
Andrei Svechnikov 5 2 25 3.6 2.5 20.0 12.3 62
Nicklas Backstrom 5 8 26 2.6 2.2 19.2 12.0 60
Jordan Kyrou 5 7 25 2.5 NA 20.0 12.5 60
Brandon Sutter 4 0 24 1.8 3.1 16.7 10.5 59
Thomas Chabot 2 3 20 2.2 2.6 10.0 6.4 57
Boone Jenner 3 3 20 1.8 2.5 15.0 9.7 55
Matt Dumba 3 1 25 2.8 3.0 12.0 7.7 55
Phil Kessel 4 3 24 2.7 2.7 16.7 10.9 53
Max Domi 1 2 20 1.8 2.3 5.0 10.0 -50
Nathan MacKinnon 2 12 41 4.1 4.5 4.9 9.9 -51
Jack Eichel 2 9 39 3.9 4.1 5.1 10.7 -52
Cale Makar 1 11 24 2.2 2.6 4.2 9.0 -53
Viktor Arvidsson 2 4 36 4.0 3.6 5.6 11.9 -53
Kevin Labanc 1 4 24 3.0 2.1 4.2 9.2 -55
Andrew Shaw 1 2 20 1.8 3.3 5.0 11.4 -56
Drake Batherson 1 4 26 2.6 4.2 3.9 9.2 -58
Timo Meier 1 4 25 3.1 3.0 4.0 10.0 -60
Anze Kopitar 1 11 20 2.2 2.1 5.0 12.7 -61
Evgeni Malkin 1 4 20 2.0 3.5 5.0 13.6 -63
Evgenii Dadonov 1 2 20 2.0 2.5 5.0 14.0 -64
Dominik Kubalik 2 6 34 3.1 2.4 5.9 16.8 -65
Cam Atkinson 1 3 25 2.3 4.4 4.0 11.4 -65
Taylor Hall 1 8 29 2.9 4.8 3.5 10.3 -66
Jeff Carter 1 5 28 3.1 3.9 3.6 11.2 -68
Mika Zibanejad 1 1 30 3.3 3.4 3.3 12.7 -74
Rickard Rakell 1 2 36 3.3 3.2 2.8 11.6 -76
Connor Brown 0 4 20 2.0 1.6 0.0 10.8 -100
P.K. Subban 0 3 27 3.0 2.7 0.0 5.9 -100
Matt Duchene 0 3 23 2.6 2.4 0.0 12.6 -100
Ryan Suter 0 6 22 2.0 1.8 0.0 4.5 -100
Jeff Skinner 0 1 24 2.4 3.4 0.0 10.8 -100
Kris Letang 0 3 21 2.3 3.4 0.0 6.0 -100
Nikita Gusev 0 1 24 2.7 2.5 0.0 7.1 -100
Alexander Edler 0 4 21 1.8 2.8 0.0 5.1 -100
Kyle Palmieri 0 3 21 2.6 3.3 0.0 12.6 -100
Filip Hronek 0 6 21 2.1 2.4 0.0 6.4 -100
Duncan Keith 0 5 23 2.1 2.0 0.0 4.3 -100
Legend
G
Goals
A
Assists
S
Shots on goal
S/GP
Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP
Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%
2020-2021 shooting percentage
CSH%
Career shooting percentage
DEV
Deviation from career shooting percentage