Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters | Fantasy Hockey Advice and Analysis | leftwinglock.com

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Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters

Introduction

Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 20 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

Shot Production and Shooting Percentage Data

Player G A S S/GP 3YS/GP SH% CSH% DEV
Drew Doughty 4 8 23 1.6 2.2 17.4 6.1 185
Brock McGinn 7 2 25 1.9 1.7 28.0 10.0 179
Jeff Petry 6 9 38 2.5 2.2 15.8 6.0 164
Dustin Brown 7 6 29 2.1 2.8 24.1 9.8 146
Devon Toews 3 2 20 2.0 2.3 15.0 6.3 139
Joe Pavelski 9 8 32 2.7 2.5 28.1 12.6 124
Miles Wood 5 3 26 2.6 2.5 19.2 8.8 119
Ondrej Palat 6 6 23 1.6 2.2 26.1 12.1 116
Tom Wilson 5 7 22 1.8 2.2 22.7 10.8 109
Connor Murphy 2 3 22 1.7 2.1 9.1 4.4 107
Johnny Gaudreau 9 7 35 2.3 3.0 25.7 12.5 106
Mattias Janmark 6 4 26 1.5 1.5 23.1 11.3 105
Justin Faulk 5 3 41 2.6 2.6 12.2 6.0 104
Vince Dunn 3 3 23 1.5 2.0 13.0 6.5 102
Jonas Brodin 2 4 21 1.9 1.4 9.5 4.7 101
Josh Anderson 9 2 40 2.7 3.9 22.5 11.2 101
Jean-Gabriel Pageau 6 4 27 1.8 2.6 22.2 11.2 99
Joel Eriksson Ek 5 4 34 2.8 2.1 14.7 7.5 96
Wayne Simmonds 5 0 20 1.7 2.1 25.0 12.8 95
Brandon Tanev 4 2 20 1.4 1.6 20.0 10.3 94
James van Riemsdyk 7 11 30 2.3 2.9 23.3 12.1 93
Nicklas Backstrom 7 12 31 2.2 2.2 22.6 12.1 87
Tyler Motte 5 1 29 1.9 2.1 17.2 9.3 86
Nicolas Deslauriers 3 2 20 1.3 1.6 15.0 8.2 82
Tyler Toffoli 10 5 53 3.5 3.0 18.9 10.7 77
Aaron Ekblad 4 5 34 2.6 2.3 11.8 6.7 77
Keith Yandle 2 6 25 1.9 2.2 8.0 4.6 75
Christian Dvorak 7 6 31 2.1 2.6 22.6 13.3 70
Tyler Bertuzzi 5 2 20 2.2 2.2 25.0 14.8 69
Joel Farabee 6 6 28 2.2 2.1 21.4 12.8 67
John Carlson 4 8 39 2.8 2.7 10.3 6.2 67
Tomas Hertl 6 4 27 1.9 2.6 22.2 13.3 67
Boone Jenner 5 4 31 1.8 2.5 16.1 9.7 66
Alex Tuch 4 6 25 1.8 2.8 16.0 9.8 64
Matt Nieto 3 1 20 1.4 1.4 15.0 9.2 64
Vincent Trocheck 6 7 36 3.0 3.4 16.7 10.2 63
Nino Niederreiter 7 1 37 2.8 2.3 18.9 12.1 57
Jason Spezza 4 5 20 1.3 1.7 20.0 12.7 57
Justin Schultz 2 5 20 2.0 3.0 10.0 6.4 57
Nick Ritchie 5 5 35 2.5 2.0 14.3 9.2 56
Brock Boeser 11 7 52 2.7 3.7 21.2 13.6 56
Nikolaj Ehlers 10 7 53 3.5 3.0 18.9 12.3 53
Mathew Barzal 6 9 34 2.3 2.3 17.7 11.7 50
Seth Jones 1 7 39 2.3 3.0 2.6 5.4 -53
Cale Makar 1 11 24 2.2 2.6 4.2 9.0 -53
Timo Meier 2 5 45 3.2 3.0 4.4 9.9 -55
Jack Eichel 2 9 42 3.5 4.1 4.8 10.7 -55
Jake Virtanen 1 0 25 1.8 2.2 4.0 9.0 -56
Zach Werenski 1 4 30 2.3 2.7 3.3 7.6 -56
Dougie Hamilton 1 8 38 2.9 3.7 2.6 6.3 -58
Jeff Carter 2 6 42 3.0 3.9 4.8 11.2 -58
Jesperi Kotkaniemi 1 6 30 2.0 2.2 3.3 8.2 -59
Ryan Getzlaf 1 5 22 1.6 2.5 4.6 11.4 -60
Sean Monahan 2 10 35 2.3 2.7 5.7 14.6 -61
Richard Panik 1 4 25 1.8 1.9 4.0 11.5 -65
Viktor Arvidsson 2 5 48 3.2 3.6 4.2 11.8 -65
Derek Stepan 1 3 33 2.1 2.6 3.0 9.4 -68
Josh Bailey 1 7 28 1.9 1.7 3.6 11.2 -68
Taylor Hall 1 8 31 2.6 4.8 3.2 10.3 -69
Martin Necas 1 6 23 2.3 1.5 4.4 15.4 -72
Anthony Duclair 1 6 32 2.7 2.5 3.1 12.4 -75
Mika Zibanejad 1 2 43 3.1 3.4 2.3 12.6 -81
Rickard Rakell 1 6 51 3.2 3.2 2.0 11.4 -83
Duncan Keith 0 5 35 2.1 2.0 0.0 4.3 -100
MacKenzie Weegar 0 5 23 1.8 1.8 0.0 5.4 -100
Filip Hronek 0 9 34 2.0 2.4 0.0 6.0 -100
Alexander Edler 0 4 31 1.7 2.8 0.0 5.1 -100
Erik Cernak 0 3 25 2.1 2.2 0.0 3.9 -100
P.K. Subban 0 4 28 2.8 2.7 0.0 5.9 -100
Ryan Graves 0 2 23 1.9 2.7 0.0 6.6 -100
Kevin Shattenkirk 0 4 28 1.8 2.5 0.0 5.8 -100
Jeff Skinner 0 1 27 2.3 3.4 0.0 10.8 -100
Jacob Trouba 0 3 27 1.9 2.6 0.0 4.7 -100
Noah Hanifin 0 3 27 1.8 1.9 0.0 4.2 -100
Ryan Pulock 0 6 27 1.8 2.6 0.0 5.4 -100
Ryan Suter 0 6 23 1.9 1.8 0.0 4.5 -100
Nikita Zaitsev 0 6 26 1.5 1.1 0.0 4.0 -100
Kris Letang 0 7 28 2.2 3.4 0.0 5.9 -100
Mattias Ekholm 0 3 26 2.2 2.0 0.0 5.4 -100
Nikita Gusev 0 1 24 2.7 2.5 0.0 7.1 -100
Mikhail Sergachev 0 11 25 1.8 1.8 0.0 6.0 -100
David Krejci 0 10 23 1.6 1.9 0.0 12.4 -100
Kyle Palmieri 0 4 23 2.6 3.3 0.0 12.6 -100
Jake DeBrusk 0 2 20 2.2 2.6 0.0 12.9 -100
David Kampf 0 2 21 1.2 1.5 0.0 7.0 -100
Jeremy Lauzon 0 3 21 1.5 3.9 0.0 3.8 -100
Erik Karlsson 0 4 23 1.8 3.5 0.0 6.3 -100
Josh Morrissey 0 7 25 1.7 1.8 0.0 5.4 -100
Legend
G
Goals
A
Assists
S
Shots on goal
S/GP
Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP
Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%
2020-2021 shooting percentage
CSH%
Career shooting percentage
DEV
Deviation from career shooting percentage