Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 20 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Doughty | 4 | 8 | 23 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 17.4 | 6.1 | 185 |
| Brock McGinn | 7 | 2 | 25 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 28.0 | 10.0 | 179 |
| Jeff Petry | 6 | 9 | 38 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 15.8 | 6.0 | 164 |
| Dustin Brown | 7 | 6 | 29 | 2.1 | 2.8 | 24.1 | 9.8 | 146 |
| Devon Toews | 3 | 2 | 20 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 15.0 | 6.3 | 139 |
| Joe Pavelski | 9 | 8 | 32 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 28.1 | 12.6 | 124 |
| Miles Wood | 5 | 3 | 26 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 19.2 | 8.8 | 119 |
| Ondrej Palat | 6 | 6 | 23 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 26.1 | 12.1 | 116 |
| Tom Wilson | 5 | 7 | 22 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 22.7 | 10.8 | 109 |
| Connor Murphy | 2 | 3 | 22 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 9.1 | 4.4 | 107 |
| Johnny Gaudreau | 9 | 7 | 35 | 2.3 | 3.0 | 25.7 | 12.5 | 106 |
| Mattias Janmark | 6 | 4 | 26 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 23.1 | 11.3 | 105 |
| Justin Faulk | 5 | 3 | 41 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 12.2 | 6.0 | 104 |
| Vince Dunn | 3 | 3 | 23 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 13.0 | 6.5 | 102 |
| Jonas Brodin | 2 | 4 | 21 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 9.5 | 4.7 | 101 |
| Josh Anderson | 9 | 2 | 40 | 2.7 | 3.9 | 22.5 | 11.2 | 101 |
| Jean-Gabriel Pageau | 6 | 4 | 27 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 22.2 | 11.2 | 99 |
| Joel Eriksson Ek | 5 | 4 | 34 | 2.8 | 2.1 | 14.7 | 7.5 | 96 |
| Wayne Simmonds | 5 | 0 | 20 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 25.0 | 12.8 | 95 |
| Brandon Tanev | 4 | 2 | 20 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 20.0 | 10.3 | 94 |
| James van Riemsdyk | 7 | 11 | 30 | 2.3 | 2.9 | 23.3 | 12.1 | 93 |
| Nicklas Backstrom | 7 | 12 | 31 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 22.6 | 12.1 | 87 |
| Tyler Motte | 5 | 1 | 29 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 17.2 | 9.3 | 86 |
| Nicolas Deslauriers | 3 | 2 | 20 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 15.0 | 8.2 | 82 |
| Tyler Toffoli | 10 | 5 | 53 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 18.9 | 10.7 | 77 |
| Aaron Ekblad | 4 | 5 | 34 | 2.6 | 2.3 | 11.8 | 6.7 | 77 |
| Keith Yandle | 2 | 6 | 25 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 8.0 | 4.6 | 75 |
| Christian Dvorak | 7 | 6 | 31 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 22.6 | 13.3 | 70 |
| Tyler Bertuzzi | 5 | 2 | 20 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 25.0 | 14.8 | 69 |
| Joel Farabee | 6 | 6 | 28 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 21.4 | 12.8 | 67 |
| John Carlson | 4 | 8 | 39 | 2.8 | 2.7 | 10.3 | 6.2 | 67 |
| Tomas Hertl | 6 | 4 | 27 | 1.9 | 2.6 | 22.2 | 13.3 | 67 |
| Boone Jenner | 5 | 4 | 31 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 16.1 | 9.7 | 66 |
| Alex Tuch | 4 | 6 | 25 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 16.0 | 9.8 | 64 |
| Matt Nieto | 3 | 1 | 20 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 15.0 | 9.2 | 64 |
| Vincent Trocheck | 6 | 7 | 36 | 3.0 | 3.4 | 16.7 | 10.2 | 63 |
| Nino Niederreiter | 7 | 1 | 37 | 2.8 | 2.3 | 18.9 | 12.1 | 57 |
| Jason Spezza | 4 | 5 | 20 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 20.0 | 12.7 | 57 |
| Justin Schultz | 2 | 5 | 20 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 6.4 | 57 |
| Nick Ritchie | 5 | 5 | 35 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 14.3 | 9.2 | 56 |
| Brock Boeser | 11 | 7 | 52 | 2.7 | 3.7 | 21.2 | 13.6 | 56 |
| Nikolaj Ehlers | 10 | 7 | 53 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 18.9 | 12.3 | 53 |
| Mathew Barzal | 6 | 9 | 34 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 17.7 | 11.7 | 50 |
| Seth Jones | 1 | 7 | 39 | 2.3 | 3.0 | 2.6 | 5.4 | -53 |
| Cale Makar | 1 | 11 | 24 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 4.2 | 9.0 | -53 |
| Timo Meier | 2 | 5 | 45 | 3.2 | 3.0 | 4.4 | 9.9 | -55 |
| Jack Eichel | 2 | 9 | 42 | 3.5 | 4.1 | 4.8 | 10.7 | -55 |
| Jake Virtanen | 1 | 0 | 25 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 4.0 | 9.0 | -56 |
| Zach Werenski | 1 | 4 | 30 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 3.3 | 7.6 | -56 |
| Dougie Hamilton | 1 | 8 | 38 | 2.9 | 3.7 | 2.6 | 6.3 | -58 |
| Jeff Carter | 2 | 6 | 42 | 3.0 | 3.9 | 4.8 | 11.2 | -58 |
| Jesperi Kotkaniemi | 1 | 6 | 30 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 3.3 | 8.2 | -59 |
| Ryan Getzlaf | 1 | 5 | 22 | 1.6 | 2.5 | 4.6 | 11.4 | -60 |
| Sean Monahan | 2 | 10 | 35 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 5.7 | 14.6 | -61 |
| Richard Panik | 1 | 4 | 25 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 4.0 | 11.5 | -65 |
| Viktor Arvidsson | 2 | 5 | 48 | 3.2 | 3.6 | 4.2 | 11.8 | -65 |
| Derek Stepan | 1 | 3 | 33 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 3.0 | 9.4 | -68 |
| Josh Bailey | 1 | 7 | 28 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 3.6 | 11.2 | -68 |
| Taylor Hall | 1 | 8 | 31 | 2.6 | 4.8 | 3.2 | 10.3 | -69 |
| Martin Necas | 1 | 6 | 23 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 4.4 | 15.4 | -72 |
| Anthony Duclair | 1 | 6 | 32 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 3.1 | 12.4 | -75 |
| Mika Zibanejad | 1 | 2 | 43 | 3.1 | 3.4 | 2.3 | 12.6 | -81 |
| Rickard Rakell | 1 | 6 | 51 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 2.0 | 11.4 | -83 |
| Duncan Keith | 0 | 5 | 35 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 4.3 | -100 |
| MacKenzie Weegar | 0 | 5 | 23 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 5.4 | -100 |
| Filip Hronek | 0 | 9 | 34 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 6.0 | -100 |
| Alexander Edler | 0 | 4 | 31 | 1.7 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 5.1 | -100 |
| Erik Cernak | 0 | 3 | 25 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 3.9 | -100 |
| P.K. Subban | 0 | 4 | 28 | 2.8 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 5.9 | -100 |
| Ryan Graves | 0 | 2 | 23 | 1.9 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 6.6 | -100 |
| Kevin Shattenkirk | 0 | 4 | 28 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 5.8 | -100 |
| Jeff Skinner | 0 | 1 | 27 | 2.3 | 3.4 | 0.0 | 10.8 | -100 |
| Jacob Trouba | 0 | 3 | 27 | 1.9 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 4.7 | -100 |
| Noah Hanifin | 0 | 3 | 27 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 4.2 | -100 |
| Ryan Pulock | 0 | 6 | 27 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 5.4 | -100 |
| Ryan Suter | 0 | 6 | 23 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 4.5 | -100 |
| Nikita Zaitsev | 0 | 6 | 26 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 4.0 | -100 |
| Kris Letang | 0 | 7 | 28 | 2.2 | 3.4 | 0.0 | 5.9 | -100 |
| Mattias Ekholm | 0 | 3 | 26 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 5.4 | -100 |
| Nikita Gusev | 0 | 1 | 24 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 7.1 | -100 |
| Mikhail Sergachev | 0 | 11 | 25 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 6.0 | -100 |
| David Krejci | 0 | 10 | 23 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 12.4 | -100 |
| Kyle Palmieri | 0 | 4 | 23 | 2.6 | 3.3 | 0.0 | 12.6 | -100 |
| Jake DeBrusk | 0 | 2 | 20 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 12.9 | -100 |
| David Kampf | 0 | 2 | 21 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 7.0 | -100 |
| Jeremy Lauzon | 0 | 3 | 21 | 1.5 | 3.9 | 0.0 | 3.8 | -100 |
| Erik Karlsson | 0 | 4 | 23 | 1.8 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 6.3 | -100 |
| Josh Morrissey | 0 | 7 | 25 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 5.4 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2020-2021 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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