Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 50 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Petry | 11 | 16 | 80 | 2.6 | 2.2 | 13.8 | 6.2 | 123 |
| Drew Doughty | 7 | 18 | 53 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 13.2 | 6.2 | 115 |
| Samuel Girard | 5 | 19 | 52 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 9.6 | 4.9 | 97 |
| Alex Tuch | 13 | 7 | 62 | 2.1 | 2.8 | 21.0 | 10.8 | 94 |
| Joel Eriksson Ek | 11 | 5 | 68 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 16.2 | 8.3 | 94 |
| Nicklas Backstrom | 12 | 22 | 54 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 22.2 | 12.2 | 82 |
| Vincent Trocheck | 13 | 11 | 68 | 2.8 | 3.4 | 19.1 | 10.5 | 81 |
| Dustin Brown | 14 | 6 | 80 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 17.5 | 9.9 | 77 |
| Chris Kreider | 16 | 6 | 66 | 2.1 | 2.9 | 24.2 | 14.0 | 74 |
| Tyler Toffoli | 18 | 9 | 96 | 3.2 | 3.0 | 18.8 | 10.9 | 72 |
| Joe Pavelski | 14 | 15 | 67 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 20.9 | 12.6 | 66 |
| Brock McGinn | 8 | 5 | 50 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 16.0 | 9.7 | 64 |
| Jordan Staal | 10 | 13 | 54 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 18.5 | 11.4 | 62 |
| Aaron Ekblad | 10 | 10 | 91 | 2.8 | 2.3 | 11.0 | 6.8 | 61 |
| Johnny Gaudreau | 13 | 12 | 65 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 20.0 | 12.5 | 60 |
| Phil Kessel | 10 | 12 | 57 | 1.7 | 2.7 | 17.5 | 11.0 | 60 |
| Jean-Gabriel Pageau | 10 | 10 | 56 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 17.9 | 11.2 | 59 |
| Miles Wood | 9 | 4 | 66 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 13.6 | 8.9 | 54 |
| Sam Reinhart | 11 | 9 | 55 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 20.0 | 13.1 | 52 |
| Vince Dunn | 5 | 7 | 51 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 9.8 | 6.5 | 51 |
| Jeff Skinner | 3 | 1 | 57 | 2.1 | 3.4 | 5.3 | 10.8 | -51 |
| Erik Cernak | 1 | 9 | 55 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 3.8 | -53 |
| Matt Duchene | 3 | 5 | 52 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 5.8 | 12.5 | -54 |
| Tyson Jost | 2 | 4 | 51 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 3.9 | 8.5 | -54 |
| Brady Skjei | 1 | 3 | 51 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 4.3 | -55 |
| Zach Parise | 3 | 9 | 59 | 2.0 | 3.4 | 5.1 | 11.5 | -56 |
| Ryan Suter | 1 | 9 | 52 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 4.5 | -57 |
| Ben Chiarot | 1 | 4 | 55 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 4.3 | -58 |
| Jonathan Drouin | 2 | 19 | 52 | 1.7 | 2.8 | 3.9 | 9.3 | -59 |
| Rasmus Dahlin | 1 | 10 | 59 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 4.3 | -61 |
| Roman Josi | 2 | 15 | 85 | 3.3 | 3.6 | 2.4 | 6.1 | -62 |
| Anthony Duclair | 3 | 11 | 65 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 4.6 | 12.1 | -62 |
| Viktor Arvidsson | 4 | 10 | 108 | 3.3 | 3.6 | 3.7 | 11.3 | -67 |
| Jesper Bratt | 2 | 13 | 54 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 3.7 | 11.3 | -67 |
| Duncan Keith | 1 | 11 | 71 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 4.2 | -67 |
| Jack Eichel | 2 | 16 | 61 | 2.9 | 4.1 | 3.3 | 10.5 | -69 |
| Josh Morrissey | 1 | 15 | 68 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 5.2 | -71 |
| Torey Krug | 1 | 15 | 74 | 2.3 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 4.8 | -72 |
| Filip Hronek | 1 | 17 | 65 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 5.7 | -73 |
| Taylor Hall | 2 | 14 | 73 | 2.4 | 4.8 | 2.7 | 10.1 | -73 |
| Jared Spurgeon | 1 | 6 | 54 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 7.5 | -75 |
| Ryan Pulock | 0 | 12 | 69 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 5.1 | -100 |
| Alexander Edler | 0 | 6 | 64 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 5.0 | -100 |
| Ryan Graves | 0 | 9 | 60 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 5.5 | -100 |
| Nikita Zaitsev | 0 | 11 | 50 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 3.8 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2020-2021 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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