Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters | Fantasy Hockey Advice and Analysis | leftwinglock.com

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Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters

Introduction

Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 50 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

Shot Production and Shooting Percentage Data

Player G A S S/GP 3YS/GP SH% CSH% DEV
Joonas Donskoi 15 13 61 1.5 1.9 24.6 12.3 100
Brendan Smith 5 5 54 1.3 1.5 9.3 4.8 91
Brandon Saad 15 9 68 1.5 2.8 22.1 11.9 85
Jonas Brodin 6 12 65 1.4 1.4 9.2 5.0 84
Alex Wennberg 12 11 72 1.4 1.3 16.7 9.1 84
Cody Ceci 4 13 50 1.1 1.7 8.0 4.4 82
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare 7 1 56 1.3 1.4 12.5 7.0 79
Joel Eriksson Ek 15 10 97 2.1 2.1 15.5 8.7 78
Ryan O'Reilly 20 25 102 2.2 2.5 19.6 11.3 74
Mikael Granlund 13 12 71 1.5 2.5 18.3 10.7 71
Adam Erne 11 8 67 1.6 1.8 16.4 9.7 70
Jared McCann 13 13 80 2.2 2.3 16.3 9.7 68
Rocco Grimaldi 9 3 61 1.6 2.2 14.8 8.8 67
Dmitry Orlov 7 9 70 1.6 1.4 10.0 6.1 65
Jeff Petry 11 22 111 2.4 2.2 9.9 6.0 65
Tyler Toffoli 25 11 139 3.2 3.0 18.0 11.0 63
Jean-Gabriel Pageau 14 14 76 1.6 2.6 18.4 11.4 61
Aaron Ekblad 11 11 101 2.9 2.3 10.9 6.9 59
Drew Doughty 8 25 83 1.8 2.2 9.6 6.1 58
Miles Wood 17 8 119 2.4 2.5 14.3 9.3 53
Jakob Chychrun 16 20 143 2.9 3.1 11.2 7.4 52
Phil Kessel 17 20 101 2.1 2.7 16.8 11.1 52
Shayne Gostisbehere 8 8 81 2.2 2.8 9.9 6.5 52
Jordan Staal 16 21 92 2.0 2.4 17.4 11.5 51
Matt Duchene 4 7 64 2.2 2.4 6.3 12.5 -50
Alex Galchenyuk 3 5 51 2.0 2.3 5.9 11.8 -50
Vladimir Tarasenko 4 9 64 2.9 5.2 6.3 12.6 -51
Tyson Jost 3 10 76 1.7 2.0 4.0 8.2 -52
Chris Wagner 2 3 52 1.4 1.4 3.9 8.0 -52
Jake Muzzin 2 17 86 1.9 2.1 2.3 4.9 -53
Nikita Gusev 2 6 62 2.2 2.5 3.2 6.8 -53
Travis Sanheim 2 10 85 1.8 1.8 2.4 5.4 -57
Philippe Myers 1 9 65 1.8 2.2 1.5 3.6 -57
Oliver Ekman-Larsson 2 18 66 1.7 2.3 3.0 7.4 -59
Kevin Shattenkirk 2 13 85 1.7 2.5 2.4 5.7 -59
Mikhail Sergachev 2 26 96 2.0 1.8 2.1 5.6 -63
David Savard 1 5 58 1.2 1.6 1.7 4.6 -63
Filip Hronek 2 21 105 2.1 2.4 1.9 5.3 -64
Ben Chiarot 1 4 68 2.1 1.7 1.5 4.2 -65
Jack Eichel 2 16 61 2.9 4.1 3.3 10.5 -69
Jonathan Drouin 2 21 76 1.7 2.8 2.6 9.0 -71
David Kampf 1 10 57 1.2 1.5 1.8 6.4 -73
Ryan Graves 1 12 85 1.9 2.7 1.2 5.3 -78
Torey Krug 1 25 102 2.2 2.9 1.0 4.7 -79
Ryan Pulock 1 14 102 2.1 2.6 1.0 5.0 -80
Alexander Edler 0 6 77 2.0 2.8 0.0 5.0 -100
Legend
G
Goals
A
Assists
S
Shots on goal
S/GP
Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP
Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%
2020-2021 shooting percentage
CSH%
Career shooting percentage
DEV
Deviation from career shooting percentage