Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 50 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joonas Donskoi | 15 | 13 | 61 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 24.6 | 12.3 | 100 |
| Brendan Smith | 5 | 5 | 54 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 9.3 | 4.8 | 91 |
| Brandon Saad | 15 | 9 | 68 | 1.5 | 2.8 | 22.1 | 11.9 | 85 |
| Jonas Brodin | 6 | 12 | 65 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 9.2 | 5.0 | 84 |
| Alex Wennberg | 12 | 11 | 72 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 16.7 | 9.1 | 84 |
| Cody Ceci | 4 | 13 | 50 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 8.0 | 4.4 | 82 |
| Pierre-Edouard Bellemare | 7 | 1 | 56 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 12.5 | 7.0 | 79 |
| Joel Eriksson Ek | 15 | 10 | 97 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 15.5 | 8.7 | 78 |
| Ryan O'Reilly | 20 | 25 | 102 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 19.6 | 11.3 | 74 |
| Mikael Granlund | 13 | 12 | 71 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 18.3 | 10.7 | 71 |
| Adam Erne | 11 | 8 | 67 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 16.4 | 9.7 | 70 |
| Jared McCann | 13 | 13 | 80 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 16.3 | 9.7 | 68 |
| Rocco Grimaldi | 9 | 3 | 61 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 14.8 | 8.8 | 67 |
| Dmitry Orlov | 7 | 9 | 70 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 10.0 | 6.1 | 65 |
| Jeff Petry | 11 | 22 | 111 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 9.9 | 6.0 | 65 |
| Tyler Toffoli | 25 | 11 | 139 | 3.2 | 3.0 | 18.0 | 11.0 | 63 |
| Jean-Gabriel Pageau | 14 | 14 | 76 | 1.6 | 2.6 | 18.4 | 11.4 | 61 |
| Aaron Ekblad | 11 | 11 | 101 | 2.9 | 2.3 | 10.9 | 6.9 | 59 |
| Drew Doughty | 8 | 25 | 83 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 9.6 | 6.1 | 58 |
| Miles Wood | 17 | 8 | 119 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 14.3 | 9.3 | 53 |
| Jakob Chychrun | 16 | 20 | 143 | 2.9 | 3.1 | 11.2 | 7.4 | 52 |
| Phil Kessel | 17 | 20 | 101 | 2.1 | 2.7 | 16.8 | 11.1 | 52 |
| Shayne Gostisbehere | 8 | 8 | 81 | 2.2 | 2.8 | 9.9 | 6.5 | 52 |
| Jordan Staal | 16 | 21 | 92 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 17.4 | 11.5 | 51 |
| Matt Duchene | 4 | 7 | 64 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 6.3 | 12.5 | -50 |
| Alex Galchenyuk | 3 | 5 | 51 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 5.9 | 11.8 | -50 |
| Vladimir Tarasenko | 4 | 9 | 64 | 2.9 | 5.2 | 6.3 | 12.6 | -51 |
| Tyson Jost | 3 | 10 | 76 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 8.2 | -52 |
| Chris Wagner | 2 | 3 | 52 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 3.9 | 8.0 | -52 |
| Jake Muzzin | 2 | 17 | 86 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 4.9 | -53 |
| Nikita Gusev | 2 | 6 | 62 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 3.2 | 6.8 | -53 |
| Travis Sanheim | 2 | 10 | 85 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 5.4 | -57 |
| Philippe Myers | 1 | 9 | 65 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 3.6 | -57 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 2 | 18 | 66 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 3.0 | 7.4 | -59 |
| Kevin Shattenkirk | 2 | 13 | 85 | 1.7 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 5.7 | -59 |
| Mikhail Sergachev | 2 | 26 | 96 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 5.6 | -63 |
| David Savard | 1 | 5 | 58 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 4.6 | -63 |
| Filip Hronek | 2 | 21 | 105 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 5.3 | -64 |
| Ben Chiarot | 1 | 4 | 68 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4.2 | -65 |
| Jack Eichel | 2 | 16 | 61 | 2.9 | 4.1 | 3.3 | 10.5 | -69 |
| Jonathan Drouin | 2 | 21 | 76 | 1.7 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 9.0 | -71 |
| David Kampf | 1 | 10 | 57 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 6.4 | -73 |
| Ryan Graves | 1 | 12 | 85 | 1.9 | 2.7 | 1.2 | 5.3 | -78 |
| Torey Krug | 1 | 25 | 102 | 2.2 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 4.7 | -79 |
| Ryan Pulock | 1 | 14 | 102 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 5.0 | -80 |
| Alexander Edler | 0 | 6 | 77 | 2.0 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 5.0 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2020-2021 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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