Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 25 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Chiarot | 4 | 1 | 31 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 12.9 | 4.6 | 183 |
| Alex Killorn | 7 | 7 | 25 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 28.0 | 11.8 | 138 |
| Kevin Shattenkirk | 4 | 10 | 29 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 13.8 | 5.8 | 137 |
| Torey Krug | 3 | 6 | 26 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 11.5 | 4.9 | 136 |
| Troy Terry | 11 | 10 | 39 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 28.2 | 12.4 | 127 |
| Vladislav Namestnikov | 7 | 3 | 25 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 28.0 | 13.0 | 115 |
| Roman Josi | 6 | 10 | 47 | 2.9 | 3.5 | 12.8 | 6.4 | 99 |
| Jonathan Marchessault | 9 | 4 | 43 | 2.9 | 3.5 | 20.9 | 10.9 | 92 |
| Dylan Larkin | 8 | 6 | 45 | 3.2 | 3.7 | 17.8 | 9.4 | 89 |
| Leon Draisaitl | 17 | 16 | 51 | 3.4 | 3.0 | 33.3 | 17.8 | 88 |
| Anthony Duclair | 8 | 6 | 33 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 24.2 | 13.0 | 87 |
| Josh Morrissey | 3 | 5 | 30 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 10.0 | 5.5 | 82 |
| Boone Jenner | 7 | 2 | 40 | 3.1 | 2.5 | 17.5 | 9.8 | 78 |
| Pavel Zacha | 7 | 4 | 35 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 20.0 | 11.5 | 74 |
| Tyler Bertuzzi | 9 | 8 | 33 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 27.3 | 15.8 | 73 |
| Trevor Zegras | 6 | 4 | 34 | 2.3 | NA | 17.7 | 10.3 | 71 |
| Brandon Tanev | 6 | 2 | 32 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 18.8 | 11.1 | 70 |
| Charlie Coyle | 5 | 3 | 28 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 17.9 | 10.6 | 68 |
| Evan Rodrigues | 6 | 5 | 45 | 3.0 | 2.7 | 13.3 | 8.0 | 68 |
| Chris Kreider | 12 | 3 | 50 | 3.1 | 2.6 | 24.0 | 14.3 | 68 |
| Adam Fox | 4 | 12 | 37 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 10.8 | 6.4 | 68 |
| Jesse Puljujarvi | 6 | 8 | 36 | 2.4 | NA | 16.7 | 10.0 | 67 |
| Tage Thompson | 5 | 4 | 40 | 2.7 | 8.1 | 12.5 | 7.7 | 63 |
| Andrew Mangiapane | 10 | 2 | 36 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 27.8 | 17.2 | 61 |
| Brad Marchand | 8 | 11 | 31 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 25.8 | 16.2 | 59 |
| Jordan Eberle | 8 | 4 | 38 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 21.1 | 13.2 | 59 |
| Cam Fowler | 3 | 10 | 31 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 9.7 | 6.2 | 57 |
| Joel Eriksson Ek | 6 | 2 | 40 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 15.0 | 9.6 | 56 |
| Tony DeAngelo | 3 | 11 | 31 | 2.2 | 3.1 | 9.7 | 6.3 | 55 |
| Brock Nelson | 7 | 2 | 34 | 2.6 | 2.3 | 20.6 | 13.4 | 54 |
| Gabriel Landeskog | 5 | 7 | 28 | 2.8 | 3.5 | 17.9 | 11.7 | 53 |
| Matt Duchene | 9 | 7 | 47 | 2.9 | 2.7 | 19.2 | 12.7 | 51 |
| David Pastrnak | 4 | 9 | 58 | 4.5 | 4.2 | 6.9 | 14.0 | -51 |
| Jamie Drysdale | 1 | 6 | 29 | 1.7 | 2.7 | 3.5 | 7.0 | -51 |
| James van Riemsdyk | 2 | 4 | 36 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 5.6 | 11.9 | -53 |
| Christian Dvorak | 2 | 5 | 34 | 1.9 | 2.5 | 5.9 | 13.1 | -55 |
| Tanner Pearson | 2 | 4 | 39 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 5.1 | 11.3 | -55 |
| Kirill Kaprizov | 3 | 8 | 49 | 3.3 | 2.9 | 6.1 | 14.6 | -58 |
| Elias Pettersson | 3 | 6 | 44 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 6.8 | 16.5 | -59 |
| Dustin Brown | 2 | 5 | 51 | 3.4 | 2.8 | 3.9 | 9.7 | -60 |
| Trevor Moore | 1 | 1 | 27 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 3.7 | 9.5 | -61 |
| Lars Eller | 1 | 7 | 26 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 3.9 | 9.9 | -61 |
| Seth Jones | 1 | 12 | 50 | 3.3 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 5.1 | -61 |
| Kevin Fiala | 2 | 7 | 48 | 3.2 | 2.7 | 4.2 | 10.6 | -61 |
| Tim Stuetzle | 1 | 5 | 28 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 3.6 | 9.4 | -62 |
| Jakob Silfverberg | 1 | 8 | 31 | 2.8 | 2.5 | 3.2 | 9.7 | -67 |
| Bryan Rust | 1 | 4 | 25 | 3.1 | 2.8 | 4.0 | 12.5 | -68 |
| Jakob Chychrun | 1 | 1 | 47 | 2.9 | 3.1 | 2.1 | 6.9 | -69 |
| Dillon Dube | 1 | 6 | 36 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 2.8 | 9.4 | -70 |
| Brent Burns | 1 | 11 | 50 | 3.3 | 3.2 | 2.0 | 6.6 | -70 |
| Wayne Simmonds | 1 | 2 | 28 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 3.6 | 12.5 | -71 |
| Joel Armia | 1 | 2 | 40 | 2.2 | 3.1 | 2.5 | 9.1 | -72 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 1 | 2 | 49 | 3.1 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 7.3 | -72 |
| Pierre Engvall | 1 | 3 | 38 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 9.4 | -72 |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 1 | 18 | 32 | 2.1 | 2.7 | 3.1 | 11.7 | -73 |
| Ross Colton | 1 | 1 | 28 | 2.0 | 2.9 | 3.6 | 13.5 | -74 |
| Kyle Palmieri | 1 | 5 | 34 | 2.6 | 2.8 | 2.9 | 12.3 | -76 |
| Eeli Tolvanen | 1 | 3 | 40 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 11.8 | -79 |
| Ryan Getzlaf | 1 | 17 | 50 | 2.9 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 11.2 | -82 |
| Jonathan Toews | 0 | 8 | 29 | 1.9 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 13.7 | -100 |
| MacKenzie Weegar | 0 | 7 | 31 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 5.4 | -100 |
| Keith Yandle | 0 | 5 | 28 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 4.4 | -100 |
| Mattias Ekholm | 0 | 3 | 25 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 5.4 | -100 |
| Jaccob Slavin | 0 | 8 | 26 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 4.2 | -100 |
| Gustav Forsling | 0 | 10 | 36 | 2.3 | NA | 0.0 | 4.1 | -100 |
| Darnell Nurse | 0 | 11 | 51 | 3.4 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 4.6 | -100 |
| Thomas Chabot | 0 | 6 | 43 | 2.9 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 5.6 | -100 |
| Matt Grzelcyk | 0 | 2 | 32 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.8 | -100 |
| Erik Cernak | 0 | 3 | 29 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 4.3 | -100 |
| Noah Hanifin | 0 | 3 | 29 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 4.2 | -100 |
| Marco Scandella | 0 | 4 | 25 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 5.1 | -100 |
| Nick Ritchie | 0 | 2 | 26 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 9.1 | -100 |
| Danny DeKeyser | 0 | 2 | 26 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 6.0 | -100 |
| Corey Perry | 0 | 1 | 27 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 12.7 | -100 |
| Esa Lindell | 0 | 2 | 31 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 5.3 | -100 |
| Keegan Kolesar | 0 | 3 | 33 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 3.8 | -100 |
| Artturi Lehkonen | 0 | 5 | 25 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 8.2 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2021-2022 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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