Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valeri Nichushkin | 10 | 6 | 47 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 21.3 | 9.4 | 126 |
| Marcus Foligno | 13 | 7 | 46 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 28.3 | 13.3 | 112 |
| Erik Karlsson | 8 | 12 | 61 | 2.4 | 3.2 | 13.1 | 6.6 | 100 |
| Dylan Larkin | 15 | 14 | 78 | 2.9 | 3.7 | 19.2 | 9.7 | 99 |
| Ben Chiarot | 5 | 2 | 59 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 8.5 | 4.5 | 88 |
| Jared McCann | 12 | 5 | 62 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 19.4 | 10.4 | 86 |
| Torey Krug | 4 | 10 | 44 | 1.7 | 2.7 | 9.1 | 4.9 | 85 |
| Ryan Johansen | 8 | 16 | 40 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 20.0 | 11.1 | 80 |
| Troy Terry | 18 | 12 | 74 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 24.3 | 13.5 | 80 |
| Cale Makar | 13 | 13 | 64 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 20.3 | 11.4 | 78 |
| Vladislav Namestnikov | 9 | 7 | 40 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 22.5 | 13.0 | 73 |
| Filip Forsberg | 13 | 9 | 61 | 2.9 | 4.1 | 21.3 | 12.4 | 71 |
| Tony DeAngelo | 5 | 16 | 46 | 2.1 | 3.1 | 10.9 | 6.5 | 68 |
| Alexandre Texier | 9 | 7 | 48 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 18.8 | 11.2 | 67 |
| Kevin Shattenkirk | 6 | 12 | 62 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 9.7 | 5.8 | 66 |
| Jonathan Marchessault | 16 | 8 | 88 | 3.1 | 3.5 | 18.2 | 11.0 | 65 |
| Tom Wilson | 9 | 15 | 48 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 18.8 | 11.4 | 64 |
| Rasmus Dahlin | 6 | 12 | 69 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 8.7 | 5.3 | 63 |
| Jacob Trouba | 6 | 8 | 75 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 8.0 | 4.9 | 63 |
| Brady Tkachuk | 12 | 10 | 80 | 3.2 | 3.7 | 15.0 | 9.3 | 61 |
| Jordan Eberle | 12 | 9 | 56 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 21.4 | 13.3 | 61 |
| Brock Nelson | 10 | 3 | 46 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 21.7 | 13.5 | 61 |
| Anthony Duclair | 9 | 8 | 44 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 20.5 | 12.9 | 59 |
| Andre Burakovsky | 12 | 9 | 50 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 24.0 | 15.2 | 57 |
| Brandon Tanev | 9 | 6 | 51 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 17.7 | 11.3 | 57 |
| Danton Heinen | 9 | 5 | 54 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 16.7 | 10.7 | 56 |
| Aleksander Barkov | 10 | 8 | 47 | 2.9 | 2.9 | 21.3 | 13.8 | 54 |
| Boone Jenner | 11 | 7 | 72 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 15.3 | 9.9 | 54 |
| Joe Pavelski | 12 | 15 | 62 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 19.4 | 12.8 | 51 |
| Josh Manson | 3 | 3 | 43 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 7.0 | 4.6 | 51 |
| Tanner Pearson | 4 | 8 | 77 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 5.2 | 11.1 | -53 |
| Craig Smith | 2 | 5 | 45 | 2.4 | 2.7 | 4.4 | 9.5 | -53 |
| Nathan MacKinnon | 3 | 21 | 66 | 3.9 | 4.6 | 4.6 | 9.8 | -54 |
| Marco Scandella | 1 | 5 | 43 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 5.1 | -54 |
| Ross Colton | 3 | 9 | 58 | 1.9 | 2.9 | 5.2 | 11.5 | -55 |
| Dustin Brown | 4 | 8 | 92 | 3.1 | 2.8 | 4.4 | 9.7 | -55 |
| Brady Skjei | 1 | 6 | 57 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 4.1 | -57 |
| Nate Schmidt | 1 | 16 | 45 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 5.2 | -58 |
| Jamie Oleksiak | 1 | 9 | 41 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 2.4 | 5.7 | -58 |
| Jonathan Toews | 3 | 10 | 53 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 5.7 | 13.7 | -59 |
| Jason Zucker | 4 | 7 | 81 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 4.9 | 12.2 | -60 |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 3 | 22 | 65 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 4.6 | 11.6 | -60 |
| Brent Burns | 2 | 15 | 80 | 2.6 | 3.2 | 2.5 | 6.6 | -62 |
| Jaccob Slavin | 1 | 14 | 63 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 4.2 | -62 |
| Mattias Ekholm | 1 | 5 | 49 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 5.3 | -62 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 2 | 3 | 77 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 7.2 | -64 |
| Jakob Chychrun | 2 | 5 | 84 | 3.2 | 3.1 | 2.4 | 6.7 | -65 |
| Jordan Staal | 2 | 6 | 52 | 1.9 | 2.5 | 3.9 | 11.2 | -66 |
| Esa Lindell | 1 | 5 | 62 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 5.2 | -69 |
| Carl Hagelin | 1 | 4 | 43 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 7.7 | -70 |
| Cole Caufield | 1 | 6 | 58 | 2.4 | 16.4 | 1.7 | 5.7 | -70 |
| Kris Letang | 1 | 19 | 63 | 2.4 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 5.9 | -73 |
| Darnell Nurse | 1 | 12 | 86 | 3.7 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 4.6 | -75 |
| Nick Ritchie | 1 | 7 | 44 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 9.0 | -75 |
| Thomas Chabot | 1 | 16 | 75 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 5.4 | -76 |
| Jakub Voracek | 1 | 21 | 49 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 9.0 | -77 |
| Joel Armia | 1 | 4 | 50 | 1.7 | 3.1 | 2.0 | 9.0 | -78 |
| Zach Parise | 1 | 5 | 41 | 1.6 | 2.8 | 2.4 | 11.4 | -79 |
| Erik Haula | 1 | 4 | 44 | 1.8 | 3.2 | 2.3 | 11.8 | -81 |
| Jakob Silfverberg | 1 | 11 | 59 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 9.6 | -82 |
| Blake Wheeler | 1 | 16 | 55 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 1.8 | 10.6 | -83 |
| Alexander Radulov | 1 | 11 | 47 | 1.7 | 3.8 | 2.1 | 13.1 | -84 |
| Ryan Getzlaf | 1 | 20 | 61 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 11.1 | -85 |
| Kyle Palmieri | 1 | 6 | 57 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 12.1 | -86 |
| Gustav Forsling | 0 | 13 | 45 | 1.9 | NA | 0.0 | 4.0 | -100 |
| MacKenzie Weegar | 0 | 15 | 66 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 4.9 | -100 |
| Keith Yandle | 0 | 10 | 56 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 4.3 | -100 |
| Tyler Myers | 0 | 9 | 50 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 6.4 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2021-2022 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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