Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 20 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Karlsson | 9 | 6 | 32 | 2.7 | 2.9 | 28.1 | 6.8 | 316 |
| Rasmus Dahlin | 6 | 6 | 31 | 3.4 | 2.1 | 19.4 | 6.3 | 205 |
| Valeri Nichushkin | 7 | 5 | 26 | 3.7 | 2.4 | 26.9 | 10.3 | 161 |
| Alex Tuch | 6 | 3 | 24 | 2.7 | 3.6 | 25.0 | 10.4 | 141 |
| Shea Theodore | 3 | 5 | 22 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 13.6 | 5.9 | 133 |
| Trevor Zegras | 6 | 2 | 21 | 2.1 | 3.3 | 28.6 | 12.5 | 128 |
| Taylor Hall | 5 | 2 | 22 | 2.2 | 3.1 | 22.7 | 10.2 | 123 |
| Michael Stone | 2 | 3 | 20 | 2.5 | 5.9 | 10.0 | 4.6 | 118 |
| Shayne Gostisbehere | 4 | 4 | 26 | 2.9 | 2.4 | 15.4 | 7.2 | 115 |
| Brady Tkachuk | 6 | 6 | 31 | 3.4 | 3.8 | 19.4 | 9.5 | 104 |
| Darnell Nurse | 2 | 4 | 20 | 2.0 | 2.8 | 10.0 | 4.9 | 104 |
| Brandon Montour | 3 | 5 | 25 | 3.1 | 2.0 | 12.0 | 6.0 | 100 |
| Andrei Svechnikov | 8 | 2 | 33 | 3.7 | 3.0 | 24.2 | 12.1 | 100 |
| Dylan Larkin | 5 | 6 | 25 | 2.8 | 3.4 | 20.0 | 10.1 | 99 |
| David Perron | 5 | 1 | 20 | 2.2 | 2.7 | 25.0 | 13.1 | 90 |
| Connor McDavid | 11 | 11 | 38 | 3.8 | 3.8 | 29.0 | 15.3 | 89 |
| Jared McCann | 5 | 3 | 25 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 20.0 | 10.8 | 86 |
| Noah Dobson | 3 | 3 | 26 | 2.6 | 2.3 | 11.5 | 6.2 | 86 |
| Bo Horvat | 8 | 2 | 32 | 3.2 | 2.8 | 25.0 | 13.4 | 86 |
| Justin Faulk | 3 | 6 | 26 | 3.3 | 2.2 | 11.5 | 6.2 | 85 |
| Dylan Cozens | 4 | 2 | 26 | 2.9 | 2.1 | 15.4 | 8.5 | 82 |
| Phillip Danault | 4 | 3 | 22 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 18.2 | 10.1 | 80 |
| Arthur Kaliyev | 4 | 3 | 26 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 15.4 | 8.6 | 79 |
| Nick Suzuki | 5 | 6 | 24 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 20.8 | 11.8 | 77 |
| Oliver Wahlstrom | 4 | 2 | 23 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 17.4 | 10.2 | 70 |
| Joe Pavelski | 5 | 4 | 24 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 20.8 | 12.7 | 64 |
| Adrian Kempe | 6 | 3 | 32 | 2.7 | 2.6 | 18.8 | 11.7 | 61 |
| Roope Hintz | 5 | 7 | 20 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 25.0 | 15.6 | 60 |
| Victor Olofsson | 6 | 1 | 29 | 3.2 | 2.6 | 20.7 | 13.0 | 59 |
| Gabriel Vilardi | 8 | 5 | 31 | 2.6 | 2.3 | 25.8 | 16.7 | 55 |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 5 | 7 | 28 | 2.8 | 3.0 | 17.9 | 11.6 | 54 |
| Scott Laughton | 3 | 0 | 20 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 15.0 | 9.8 | 52 |
| Mark Scheifele | 6 | 0 | 24 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 25.0 | 16.4 | 52 |
| Martin Necas | 5 | 8 | 26 | 2.9 | 2.0 | 19.2 | 12.7 | 51 |
| Timo Meier | 3 | 4 | 62 | 5.2 | 3.5 | 4.8 | 9.8 | -51 |
| Reilly Smith | 2 | 5 | 36 | 3.3 | 2.8 | 5.6 | 11.9 | -53 |
| Ryan Hartman | 1 | 4 | 21 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 4.8 | 10.3 | -54 |
| Patric Hornqvist | 1 | 0 | 24 | 2.4 | 3.8 | 4.2 | 9.4 | -56 |
| Phil Kessel | 1 | 2 | 22 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 4.6 | 10.7 | -58 |
| Alexis Lafreniere | 2 | 3 | 31 | 2.8 | 1.4 | 6.5 | 15.9 | -59 |
| Kevin Hayes | 1 | 9 | 21 | 2.3 | 3.0 | 4.8 | 11.9 | -60 |
| Auston Matthews | 3 | 5 | 48 | 4.8 | 4.7 | 6.3 | 16.1 | -61 |
| Luke Kunin | 1 | 4 | 28 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 3.6 | 10.0 | -64 |
| Roman Josi | 1 | 5 | 46 | 4.6 | 3.6 | 2.2 | 6.4 | -66 |
| Tomas Hertl | 1 | 7 | 22 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 4.6 | 13.5 | -66 |
| Alex DeBrincat | 2 | 6 | 40 | 4.4 | 3.1 | 5.0 | 15.1 | -67 |
| Boone Jenner | 1 | 3 | 31 | 3.1 | 3.0 | 3.2 | 10.0 | -68 |
| Anton Lundell | 1 | 3 | 26 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 3.9 | 12.6 | -69 |
| Tomas Tatar | 1 | 3 | 26 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 3.9 | 12.7 | -70 |
| Trevor Moore | 1 | 7 | 39 | 3.3 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 8.7 | -70 |
| Sam Bennett | 1 | 4 | 35 | 3.5 | 3.1 | 2.9 | 10.3 | -72 |
| Oliver Bjorkstrand | 1 | 5 | 41 | 3.7 | 3.2 | 2.4 | 11.6 | -79 |
| Aleksander Barkov | 1 | 7 | 34 | 3.4 | 3.5 | 2.9 | 14.0 | -79 |
| Kyle Connor | 1 | 3 | 33 | 3.7 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 14.9 | -80 |
| K'Andre Miller | 0 | 3 | 22 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 6.5 | -100 |
| Jacob Trouba | 0 | 3 | 34 | 3.1 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 4.7 | -100 |
| Cale Makar | 0 | 8 | 21 | 2.3 | 3.1 | 0.0 | 9.9 | -100 |
| Alex Pietrangelo | 0 | 9 | 22 | 2.0 | 3.3 | 0.0 | 5.9 | -100 |
| Mathew Barzal | 0 | 10 | 27 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 10.8 | -100 |
| Erik Haula | 0 | 3 | 27 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 12.1 | -100 |
| Kevin Shattenkirk | 0 | 4 | 22 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 5.5 | -100 |
| Sam Reinhart | 0 | 2 | 29 | 2.9 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 13.9 | -100 |
| Evan Bouchard | 0 | 5 | 26 | 2.6 | 3.8 | 0.0 | 5.4 | -100 |
| Teuvo Teravainen | 0 | 3 | 22 | 2.4 | 3.2 | 0.0 | 10.0 | -100 |
| Jordan Harris | 0 | 3 | 21 | 2.1 | 7.4 | 0.0 | 3.3 | -100 |
| Seth Jones | 0 | 4 | 22 | 2.8 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 4.8 | -100 |
| Dmitry Orlov | 0 | 5 | 24 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 6.4 | -100 |
| Jamie Benn | 0 | 5 | 22 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 12.8 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2022-2023 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
Comments (0)
Leave a comment
In order to leave a comment, you must be a registered user at our website and logged in.