Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 20 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Mayfield | 4 | 2 | 26 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 15.4 | 4.6 | 231 |
| Erik Karlsson | 10 | 14 | 55 | 3.1 | 2.9 | 18.2 | 6.7 | 169 |
| Nick Ritchie | 6 | 3 | 22 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 27.3 | 10.5 | 161 |
| Valeri Nichushkin | 7 | 5 | 26 | 3.7 | 2.4 | 26.9 | 10.3 | 161 |
| Logan O'Connor | 5 | 1 | 22 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 22.7 | 8.9 | 155 |
| Brett Ritchie | 4 | 2 | 20 | 1.3 | 2.6 | 20.0 | 7.9 | 152 |
| Mikhail Sergachev | 4 | 11 | 29 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 13.8 | 5.9 | 133 |
| Nicholas Paul | 6 | 5 | 32 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 18.8 | 8.4 | 125 |
| Nick Suzuki | 10 | 9 | 37 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 27.0 | 12.5 | 116 |
| Ryan Graves | 3 | 4 | 24 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 12.5 | 5.8 | 115 |
| Darnell Nurse | 3 | 6 | 29 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 10.3 | 4.9 | 109 |
| Jeff Petry | 3 | 4 | 24 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 12.5 | 6.0 | 108 |
| Michael Stone | 2 | 3 | 21 | 2.1 | 5.9 | 9.5 | 4.6 | 108 |
| Adam Fox | 5 | 14 | 35 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 14.3 | 6.9 | 107 |
| Hampus Lindholm | 4 | 13 | 33 | 2.1 | 2.8 | 12.1 | 5.9 | 106 |
| Nikita Zadorov | 3 | 1 | 29 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 10.3 | 5.2 | 100 |
| Adam Larsson | 2 | 1 | 24 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 8.3 | 4.2 | 96 |
| Ryan Johansen | 5 | 5 | 22 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 22.7 | 11.9 | 92 |
| Alex Tuch | 8 | 6 | 40 | 2.5 | 3.6 | 20.0 | 10.4 | 92 |
| Joe Pavelski | 9 | 10 | 37 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 24.3 | 12.8 | 90 |
| Tyson Barrie | 3 | 9 | 25 | 1.6 | 2.4 | 12.0 | 6.3 | 90 |
| Clayton Keller | 6 | 11 | 29 | 1.9 | 2.7 | 20.7 | 11.0 | 88 |
| Rasmus Dahlin | 7 | 11 | 60 | 4.0 | 2.1 | 11.7 | 6.2 | 88 |
| Andrei Svechnikov | 12 | 6 | 52 | 3.3 | 3.0 | 23.1 | 12.3 | 87 |
| Kirby Dach | 4 | 10 | 25 | 1.6 | 2.5 | 16.0 | 8.6 | 86 |
| Claude Giroux | 8 | 9 | 39 | 2.6 | 2.8 | 20.5 | 11.2 | 82 |
| Barclay Goodrow | 4 | 4 | 24 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 16.7 | 9.2 | 81 |
| Alex Killorn | 5 | 8 | 23 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 21.7 | 12.0 | 81 |
| John Marino | 2 | 6 | 21 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 9.5 | 5.3 | 81 |
| Jordan Martinook | 4 | 5 | 27 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 14.8 | 8.2 | 80 |
| Sam Lafferty | 3 | 4 | 23 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 13.0 | 7.3 | 79 |
| Jared McCann | 5 | 3 | 26 | 2.0 | 2.8 | 19.2 | 10.8 | 79 |
| Lawson Crouse | 6 | 2 | 31 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 19.4 | 10.9 | 78 |
| David Kampf | 3 | 4 | 22 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 13.6 | 7.8 | 74 |
| J.T. Miller | 10 | 6 | 39 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 25.6 | 14.7 | 74 |
| Charlie Coyle | 5 | 3 | 27 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 18.5 | 10.8 | 71 |
| Arthur Kaliyev | 6 | 7 | 39 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 15.4 | 9.0 | 71 |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 8 | 9 | 40 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 20.0 | 11.7 | 71 |
| Evan Rodrigues | 5 | 2 | 38 | 2.7 | 3.0 | 13.2 | 7.8 | 68 |
| Esa Lindell | 2 | 5 | 23 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 8.7 | 5.2 | 66 |
| Nino Niederreiter | 7 | 2 | 33 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 21.2 | 12.9 | 64 |
| Ryan Strome | 5 | 6 | 28 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 17.9 | 10.9 | 64 |
| Shayne Gostisbehere | 4 | 6 | 35 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 11.4 | 7.1 | 61 |
| Bo Horvat | 14 | 6 | 64 | 3.8 | 2.8 | 21.9 | 13.5 | 61 |
| Phillip Danault | 5 | 7 | 31 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 16.1 | 10.1 | 60 |
| Mark Scheifele | 10 | 2 | 38 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 26.3 | 16.5 | 59 |
| Taylor Raddysh | 4 | 3 | 21 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 19.1 | 12.0 | 59 |
| Brock McGinn | 4 | 3 | 25 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 16.0 | 10.2 | 57 |
| Logan Couture | 7 | 6 | 35 | 1.9 | 2.8 | 20.0 | 12.7 | 57 |
| Noah Dobson | 5 | 7 | 50 | 2.9 | 2.3 | 10.0 | 6.4 | 57 |
| Jani Hakanpaa | 2 | 1 | 21 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 9.5 | 6.1 | 55 |
| Trevor Zegras | 7 | 8 | 37 | 2.3 | 3.3 | 18.9 | 12.2 | 55 |
| Thomas Chabot | 3 | 3 | 34 | 2.4 | 3.1 | 8.8 | 5.7 | 55 |
| Blake Lizotte | 4 | 1 | 28 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 14.3 | 9.2 | 55 |
| Connor McDavid | 15 | 17 | 64 | 4.0 | 3.8 | 23.4 | 15.3 | 53 |
| Tony DeAngelo | 3 | 6 | 31 | 1.9 | 3.4 | 9.7 | 6.3 | 53 |
| Nicolas Roy | 4 | 6 | 23 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 17.4 | 11.4 | 53 |
| Nico Sturm | 6 | 2 | 31 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 19.4 | 12.7 | 53 |
| Torey Krug | 2 | 4 | 26 | 1.9 | 2.5 | 7.7 | 5.0 | 53 |
| Oliver Wahlstrom | 5 | 4 | 32 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 15.6 | 10.3 | 52 |
| Victor Olofsson | 9 | 1 | 45 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 20.0 | 13.2 | 52 |
| Josh Anderson | 4 | 2 | 23 | 1.6 | 3.3 | 17.4 | 11.4 | 52 |
| Zack MacEwen | 3 | 2 | 26 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 11.5 | 7.6 | 52 |
| Trevor Lewis | 3 | 2 | 33 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 9.1 | 6.0 | 52 |
| Brandon Montour | 4 | 12 | 44 | 3.1 | 2.0 | 9.1 | 6.0 | 52 |
| Eetu Luostarinen | 4 | 4 | 25 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 16.0 | 10.5 | 52 |
| Dylan Cozens | 4 | 7 | 32 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 12.5 | 8.3 | 51 |
| Jordan Staal | 4 | 3 | 23 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 17.4 | 11.5 | 51 |
| Max Domi | 4 | 6 | 26 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 15.4 | 10.2 | 50 |
| Jack Eichel | 10 | 10 | 62 | 3.6 | 5.7 | 16.1 | 10.7 | 50 |
| Ryan Donato | 1 | 2 | 21 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 4.8 | 9.6 | -50 |
| Denis Gurianov | 1 | 2 | 20 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 5.0 | 10.0 | -50 |
| Aleksander Barkov | 4 | 10 | 58 | 3.6 | 3.5 | 6.9 | 14.0 | -51 |
| Drew Doughty | 1 | 9 | 34 | 1.9 | 2.7 | 2.9 | 6.1 | -51 |
| Jesperi Kotkaniemi | 1 | 2 | 23 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 4.4 | 9.2 | -53 |
| Blake Coleman | 1 | 4 | 23 | 1.5 | 2.7 | 4.4 | 9.3 | -53 |
| Andrew Cogliano | 1 | 2 | 22 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 4.6 | 9.7 | -53 |
| Ryan Hartman | 1 | 4 | 21 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 4.8 | 10.3 | -54 |
| Patrik Laine | 2 | 2 | 29 | 3.6 | 3.4 | 6.9 | 14.9 | -54 |
| Alexander Barabanov | 1 | 9 | 24 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 4.2 | 9.3 | -55 |
| Yakov Trenin | 1 | 3 | 22 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 4.6 | 10.2 | -55 |
| Corey Perry | 2 | 3 | 35 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 5.7 | 12.7 | -55 |
| Ivan Barbashev | 2 | 3 | 24 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 8.3 | 18.5 | -55 |
| Ivan Provorov | 1 | 7 | 37 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 2.7 | 6.0 | -55 |
| Mason Appleton | 1 | 5 | 23 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 4.4 | 9.9 | -56 |
| Patrick Kane | 2 | 10 | 39 | 2.6 | 3.7 | 5.1 | 11.6 | -56 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 1 | 6 | 33 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 3.0 | 6.9 | -56 |
| Yanni Gourde | 2 | 7 | 31 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 6.5 | 15.1 | -57 |
| Victor Hedman | 1 | 8 | 33 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 3.0 | 7.0 | -57 |
| Alex Pietrangelo | 1 | 13 | 39 | 2.3 | 3.3 | 2.6 | 5.9 | -57 |
| Sam Reinhart | 3 | 3 | 51 | 3.2 | 2.4 | 5.9 | 13.9 | -58 |
| Trevor Moore | 2 | 10 | 55 | 3.1 | 2.3 | 3.6 | 8.6 | -58 |
| Nick Bjugstad | 1 | 3 | 27 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 3.7 | 8.8 | -58 |
| Cole Sillinger | 1 | 3 | 25 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 4.0 | 9.8 | -59 |
| Patric Hornqvist | 1 | 1 | 27 | 2.1 | 3.8 | 3.7 | 9.4 | -61 |
| Dillon Dube | 1 | 3 | 23 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 4.4 | 11.1 | -61 |
| Evgeny Kuznetsov | 2 | 11 | 46 | 2.7 | 2.6 | 4.4 | 11.5 | -62 |
| Mikael Granlund | 1 | 11 | 26 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 3.9 | 10.4 | -63 |
| Alexis Lafreniere | 2 | 5 | 36 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 5.6 | 15.5 | -64 |
| Jack Roslovic | 1 | 5 | 22 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 4.6 | 13.0 | -65 |
| Kyle Okposo | 1 | 8 | 29 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 3.5 | 10.3 | -66 |
| Kyle Connor | 2 | 10 | 48 | 3.4 | 3.5 | 4.2 | 14.8 | -72 |
| Alexander Kerfoot | 1 | 5 | 29 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 3.5 | 13.0 | -74 |
| Anton Lundell | 1 | 8 | 37 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 2.7 | 11.7 | -77 |
| Oliver Bjorkstrand | 1 | 8 | 52 | 3.3 | 3.2 | 1.9 | 11.5 | -83 |
| Oskar Lindblom | 0 | 4 | 20 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 10.5 | -100 |
| Mark Giordano | 0 | 3 | 21 | 1.2 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 6.9 | -100 |
| Dmitry Orlov | 0 | 5 | 26 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 6.4 | -100 |
| Evan Bouchard | 0 | 5 | 36 | 2.3 | 3.8 | 0.0 | 5.2 | -100 |
| Nick Leddy | 0 | 3 | 21 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 5.6 | -100 |
| Brock Boeser | 0 | 9 | 26 | 2.4 | 3.1 | 0.0 | 12.8 | -100 |
| Calen Addison | 0 | 8 | 21 | 1.3 | 6.2 | 0.0 | 4.8 | -100 |
| Cam Fowler | 0 | 3 | 28 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 6.1 | -100 |
| Colton Parayko | 0 | 3 | 26 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 4.2 | -100 |
| Barrett Hayton | 0 | 3 | 25 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 9.0 | -100 |
| MacKenzie Weegar | 0 | 4 | 29 | 1.9 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 4.9 | -100 |
| Derek Stepan | 0 | 1 | 29 | 1.9 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 9.2 | -100 |
| Teuvo Teravainen | 0 | 7 | 32 | 2.3 | 3.2 | 0.0 | 9.9 | -100 |
| Seth Jones | 0 | 4 | 22 | 2.8 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 4.8 | -100 |
| Owen Power | 0 | 8 | 21 | 1.3 | 12.9 | 0.0 | 6.5 | -100 |
| Erik Haula | 0 | 5 | 37 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 12.0 | -100 |
| Jonas Brodin | 0 | 2 | 24 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 5.0 | -100 |
| Morgan Rielly | 0 | 14 | 28 | 1.6 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 4.7 | -100 |
| Brett Pesce | 0 | 3 | 27 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 4.1 | -100 |
| K'Andre Miller | 0 | 4 | 27 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 6.3 | -100 |
| Mathew Barzal | 0 | 18 | 44 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 10.6 | -100 |
| Jordan Harris | 0 | 4 | 23 | 1.4 | 7.4 | 0.0 | 3.1 | -100 |
| Quinn Hughes | 0 | 14 | 23 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 4.7 | -100 |
| Erik Johnson | 0 | 3 | 25 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 4.9 | -100 |
| Kevin Shattenkirk | 0 | 5 | 25 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 5.5 | -100 |
| Vladislav Namestnikov | 0 | 4 | 22 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 12.7 | -100 |
| Jacob Trouba | 0 | 4 | 52 | 3.1 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 4.6 | -100 |
| Kris Letang | 0 | 8 | 31 | 2.1 | 2.9 | 0.0 | 5.8 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2022-2023 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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