Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 50 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Paul | 16 | 9 | 74 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 21.6 | 9.6 | 125 |
| Jared McCann | 22 | 8 | 84 | 2.0 | 2.8 | 26.2 | 11.9 | 121 |
| Brady Skjei | 9 | 11 | 99 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 9.1 | 4.9 | 85 |
| Sean Kuraly | 8 | 4 | 61 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 13.1 | 7.1 | 84 |
| Barclay Goodrow | 9 | 12 | 53 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 17.0 | 9.6 | 77 |
| Josh Morrissey | 8 | 41 | 75 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 10.7 | 6.1 | 74 |
| Erik Karlsson | 14 | 44 | 121 | 2.7 | 2.9 | 11.6 | 6.7 | 72 |
| Lawson Crouse | 16 | 11 | 82 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 19.5 | 11.6 | 68 |
| Vince Dunn | 9 | 24 | 78 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 11.5 | 6.9 | 68 |
| Nikita Zadorov | 7 | 4 | 77 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 9.1 | 5.4 | 68 |
| Bo Horvat | 30 | 18 | 129 | 3.0 | 2.8 | 23.3 | 14.1 | 65 |
| Trent Frederic | 9 | 8 | 58 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 15.5 | 9.5 | 64 |
| Scott Mayfield | 5 | 7 | 68 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 7.4 | 4.5 | 64 |
| Rasmus Dahlin | 13 | 35 | 122 | 2.9 | 2.1 | 10.7 | 6.5 | 63 |
| Alex Killorn | 14 | 16 | 71 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 19.7 | 12.3 | 61 |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 21 | 32 | 110 | 2.4 | 3.0 | 19.1 | 11.9 | 60 |
| Filip Chytil | 12 | 12 | 78 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 15.4 | 9.7 | 59 |
| Nick Bjugstad | 11 | 9 | 76 | 1.7 | 2.8 | 14.5 | 9.3 | 56 |
| Nick Suzuki | 16 | 21 | 81 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 19.8 | 12.6 | 56 |
| Alex Tuch | 21 | 26 | 125 | 2.9 | 3.6 | 16.8 | 10.9 | 54 |
| Daniel Sprong | 15 | 13 | 80 | 2.2 | 3.9 | 18.8 | 12.3 | 52 |
| Travis Konecny | 24 | 24 | 127 | 3.3 | 2.5 | 18.9 | 12.4 | 52 |
| Torey Krug | 5 | 12 | 65 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 7.7 | 5.1 | 51 |
| Brock McGinn | 10 | 5 | 63 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 15.9 | 10.5 | 51 |
| Noel Acciari | 10 | 8 | 57 | 1.3 | 2.7 | 17.5 | 11.7 | 51 |
| Pavel Buchnevich | 15 | 22 | 68 | 1.9 | 2.5 | 22.1 | 14.7 | 50 |
| Patrick Kane | 8 | 20 | 141 | 3.6 | 3.7 | 5.7 | 11.5 | -50 |
| Evgeny Kuznetsov | 6 | 31 | 108 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 5.6 | 11.2 | -51 |
| Vladislav Namestnikov | 3 | 6 | 52 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 5.8 | 12.6 | -54 |
| Cody Ceci | 1 | 6 | 51 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 4.3 | -54 |
| Alexis Lafreniere | 5 | 13 | 76 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 6.6 | 14.2 | -54 |
| Dante Fabbro | 1 | 7 | 55 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 4.0 | -55 |
| Cole Sillinger | 2 | 5 | 52 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 3.9 | 9.0 | -57 |
| Ryan Suter | 1 | 12 | 54 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 4.5 | -59 |
| Ivan Provorov | 2 | 13 | 83 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 5.9 | -59 |
| Teuvo Teravainen | 3 | 15 | 77 | 2.3 | 3.2 | 3.9 | 9.8 | -60 |
| Jack Roslovic | 3 | 21 | 62 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4.8 | 12.4 | -61 |
| Jonas Brodin | 1 | 5 | 53 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 4.9 | -62 |
| Victor Hedman | 2 | 26 | 82 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 6.9 | -65 |
| Erik Haula | 3 | 17 | 84 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 3.6 | 11.7 | -69 |
| Tanner Jeannot | 3 | 8 | 71 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 4.2 | 14.7 | -71 |
| Tyler Myers | 1 | 9 | 57 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 6.0 | -71 |
| MacKenzie Weegar | 1 | 11 | 79 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 4.7 | -73 |
| Mark Giordano | 1 | 13 | 56 | 1.2 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 6.8 | -74 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 1 | 18 | 70 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 6.8 | -79 |
| Owen Power | 0 | 15 | 64 | 1.6 | 12.9 | 0.0 | 2.7 | -100 |
| Kevin Shattenkirk | 0 | 10 | 83 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 5.3 | -100 |
| Morgan Rielly | 0 | 20 | 54 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 4.6 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2022-2023 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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