Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 50 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Paul | 16 | 10 | 75 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 21.3 | 9.6 | 123 |
| Jared McCann | 22 | 9 | 86 | 2.0 | 2.8 | 25.6 | 11.8 | 116 |
| Brady Skjei | 10 | 12 | 101 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 9.9 | 5.0 | 98 |
| Sean Kuraly | 9 | 4 | 65 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 13.9 | 7.3 | 91 |
| Erik Karlsson | 15 | 49 | 127 | 2.6 | 2.9 | 11.8 | 6.8 | 75 |
| Connor Murphy | 4 | 2 | 51 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 7.8 | 4.5 | 73 |
| Barclay Goodrow | 9 | 13 | 56 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 16.1 | 9.6 | 68 |
| Lawson Crouse | 16 | 11 | 82 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 19.5 | 11.6 | 68 |
| Nikita Zadorov | 7 | 5 | 78 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 9.0 | 5.4 | 66 |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 22 | 35 | 112 | 2.3 | 3.0 | 19.6 | 12.0 | 64 |
| Calle Jarnkrok | 11 | 12 | 56 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 19.6 | 12.2 | 61 |
| Filip Chytil | 13 | 13 | 83 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 15.7 | 9.8 | 60 |
| Rasmus Dahlin | 14 | 39 | 133 | 2.9 | 2.1 | 10.5 | 6.6 | 60 |
| Vince Dunn | 9 | 25 | 83 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 10.8 | 6.8 | 59 |
| Bo Horvat | 31 | 19 | 140 | 3.0 | 2.8 | 22.1 | 14.0 | 58 |
| Trent Frederic | 10 | 8 | 66 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 15.2 | 9.6 | 58 |
| Sam Lafferty | 7 | 9 | 56 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 12.5 | 8.0 | 56 |
| Ryan Donato | 11 | 8 | 67 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 16.4 | 10.5 | 56 |
| Josh Morrissey | 8 | 43 | 85 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 9.4 | 6.1 | 55 |
| Esa Lindell | 6 | 9 | 73 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 8.2 | 5.4 | 52 |
| Alex Tuch | 23 | 30 | 138 | 2.9 | 3.6 | 16.7 | 11.0 | 52 |
| Evgeny Kuznetsov | 6 | 34 | 115 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 5.2 | 11.2 | -53 |
| Anthony Cirelli | 3 | 8 | 51 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 5.9 | 12.9 | -54 |
| Joel Edmundson | 1 | 5 | 53 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 4.1 | -54 |
| Jack Roslovic | 4 | 22 | 71 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 5.6 | 12.4 | -55 |
| Cody Ceci | 1 | 6 | 53 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 4.3 | -56 |
| Cole Sillinger | 2 | 5 | 54 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 3.7 | 8.9 | -58 |
| Dante Fabbro | 1 | 7 | 62 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 3.9 | -59 |
| Denis Gurianov | 2 | 5 | 54 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 3.7 | 9.5 | -61 |
| Erik Haula | 4 | 17 | 88 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 4.6 | 11.7 | -61 |
| Ryan Suter | 1 | 12 | 60 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4.5 | -63 |
| Tanner Jeannot | 4 | 8 | 75 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 5.3 | 14.9 | -64 |
| Jonas Brodin | 1 | 6 | 59 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 4.9 | -66 |
| Victor Hedman | 2 | 29 | 87 | 2.0 | 2.6 | 2.3 | 6.9 | -67 |
| Tyler Myers | 1 | 9 | 61 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 6.0 | -73 |
| MacKenzie Weegar | 1 | 12 | 81 | 1.7 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 4.7 | -74 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 1 | 18 | 82 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 6.8 | -82 |
| Morgan Rielly | 0 | 21 | 62 | 1.9 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 4.6 | -100 |
| Erik Johnson | 0 | 7 | 72 | 1.6 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 4.8 | -100 |
| Kevin Shattenkirk | 0 | 11 | 90 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 5.3 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2022-2023 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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