Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 50 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Paul | 16 | 10 | 82 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 19.5 | 9.5 | 106 |
| Jared McCann | 25 | 13 | 108 | 2.1 | 2.8 | 23.2 | 11.9 | 95 |
| Connor Murphy | 5 | 3 | 57 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 8.8 | 4.6 | 90 |
| Erik Karlsson | 18 | 55 | 143 | 2.6 | 2.9 | 12.6 | 6.8 | 84 |
| Filip Chytil | 19 | 14 | 99 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 19.2 | 10.6 | 82 |
| Sean Kuraly | 10 | 4 | 76 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 13.2 | 7.3 | 81 |
| Brady Skjei | 10 | 14 | 119 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 8.4 | 4.9 | 71 |
| Lawson Crouse | 19 | 12 | 95 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 20.0 | 11.8 | 69 |
| Nikita Zadorov | 8 | 5 | 87 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 9.2 | 5.5 | 68 |
| Josh Morrissey | 11 | 45 | 107 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 10.3 | 6.3 | 64 |
| Blake Wheeler | 15 | 26 | 84 | 1.9 | 2.8 | 17.9 | 11.0 | 63 |
| Jordan Staal | 14 | 12 | 77 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 18.2 | 11.7 | 56 |
| John Klingberg | 7 | 13 | 68 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 10.3 | 6.6 | 56 |
| William Carrier | 14 | 8 | 104 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 13.5 | 8.7 | 55 |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 24 | 39 | 131 | 2.4 | 3.0 | 18.3 | 12.0 | 53 |
| Nate Schmidt | 5 | 6 | 62 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 8.1 | 5.4 | 51 |
| Bo Horvat | 34 | 24 | 160 | 3.0 | 2.8 | 21.3 | 14.0 | 51 |
| Matt Martin | 6 | 9 | 51 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 11.8 | 7.8 | 50 |
| Patrick Kane | 9 | 26 | 161 | 3.3 | 3.7 | 5.6 | 11.4 | -51 |
| Yanni Gourde | 6 | 26 | 87 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 6.9 | 14.5 | -52 |
| Carson Soucy | 2 | 7 | 57 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3.5 | 7.5 | -53 |
| Joel Edmundson | 1 | 5 | 53 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 4.1 | -54 |
| Evgenii Dadonov | 4 | 13 | 66 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 6.1 | 13.2 | -54 |
| Jordan Greenway | 2 | 4 | 54 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 3.7 | 8.4 | -56 |
| Jack Roslovic | 4 | 24 | 74 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 5.4 | 12.3 | -56 |
| Tanner Jeannot | 5 | 9 | 83 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 6.0 | 14.8 | -59 |
| Cody Ceci | 1 | 6 | 59 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 4.2 | -60 |
| Dante Fabbro | 1 | 7 | 65 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3.9 | -60 |
| Cole Sillinger | 2 | 6 | 66 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 3.0 | 8.4 | -64 |
| Denis Gurianov | 2 | 6 | 64 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 3.1 | 9.3 | -66 |
| Erik Haula | 4 | 19 | 104 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 3.9 | 11.6 | -67 |
| Ryan Suter | 1 | 12 | 67 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 4.5 | -67 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 2 | 20 | 90 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 6.8 | -67 |
| Nick Holden | 1 | 9 | 52 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 6.7 | -71 |
| Tyler Myers | 1 | 9 | 70 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 5.9 | -76 |
| MacKenzie Weegar | 1 | 15 | 96 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 4.5 | -77 |
| Parker Kelly | 1 | 3 | 56 | 1.1 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 8.6 | -79 |
| Jack Johnson | 0 | 4 | 58 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 4.7 | -100 |
| Kevin Shattenkirk | 0 | 12 | 99 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 5.3 | -100 |
| Erik Johnson | 0 | 7 | 80 | 1.6 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 4.8 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2022-2023 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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