Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 50 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamie Oleksiak | 8 | 9 | 52 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 15.4 | 6.1 | 152 |
| Nicholas Paul | 17 | 12 | 91 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 18.7 | 9.5 | 97 |
| Jared McCann | 27 | 16 | 123 | 2.2 | 2.8 | 22.0 | 11.9 | 84 |
| Erik Karlsson | 19 | 58 | 155 | 2.5 | 2.9 | 12.3 | 6.8 | 79 |
| Connor Murphy | 5 | 4 | 61 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 8.2 | 4.6 | 78 |
| Brady Skjei | 11 | 14 | 131 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 8.4 | 4.9 | 70 |
| Nikita Zadorov | 8 | 5 | 90 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 8.9 | 5.5 | 63 |
| Sean Kuraly | 10 | 7 | 86 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 11.6 | 7.2 | 62 |
| Josh Morrissey | 13 | 50 | 126 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 10.3 | 6.4 | 62 |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 28 | 44 | 144 | 2.4 | 3.0 | 19.4 | 12.1 | 61 |
| Jordan Staal | 15 | 13 | 81 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 18.5 | 11.7 | 59 |
| Lawson Crouse | 19 | 12 | 104 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 18.3 | 11.7 | 56 |
| William Carrier | 16 | 8 | 116 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 13.8 | 8.9 | 56 |
| Filip Chytil | 19 | 17 | 120 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 15.8 | 10.2 | 55 |
| John Klingberg | 8 | 16 | 78 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 10.3 | 6.6 | 55 |
| Barclay Goodrow | 10 | 14 | 68 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 14.7 | 9.5 | 54 |
| Alex Tuch | 28 | 34 | 164 | 2.9 | 3.6 | 17.1 | 11.2 | 52 |
| Trent Frederic | 13 | 9 | 85 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 15.3 | 10.0 | 52 |
| Blake Wheeler | 15 | 29 | 91 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 16.5 | 11.0 | 50 |
| Evgenii Dadonov | 5 | 14 | 77 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 6.5 | 13.2 | -51 |
| Morgan Rielly | 2 | 27 | 90 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 4.7 | -52 |
| Casey Cizikas | 4 | 10 | 79 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 5.1 | 10.7 | -53 |
| Joel Edmundson | 1 | 5 | 53 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 4.1 | -54 |
| Drew Doughty | 3 | 36 | 111 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 5.9 | -55 |
| Tyler Bertuzzi | 4 | 10 | 62 | 2.1 | 3.1 | 6.5 | 14.5 | -55 |
| Nicolas Aube-Kubel | 2 | 6 | 50 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 4.0 | 9.6 | -58 |
| Carson Soucy | 2 | 8 | 67 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3.0 | 7.2 | -59 |
| Tanner Jeannot | 5 | 9 | 87 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 5.8 | 14.5 | -60 |
| Dante Fabbro | 1 | 7 | 69 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3.8 | -62 |
| Marc-Edouard Vlasic | 1 | 16 | 55 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 4.8 | -62 |
| Chris Tanev | 1 | 12 | 51 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.3 | -63 |
| Ryan McDonagh | 1 | 13 | 50 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 5.5 | -63 |
| Jordan Greenway | 2 | 5 | 67 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 3.0 | 8.2 | -64 |
| Erik Haula | 5 | 21 | 120 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 4.2 | 11.5 | -64 |
| Cody Ceci | 1 | 9 | 66 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 4.2 | -64 |
| Pat Maroon | 2 | 9 | 54 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 3.7 | 10.8 | -66 |
| Teddy Blueger | 2 | 8 | 62 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 3.2 | 9.7 | -67 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 2 | 20 | 90 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 6.8 | -67 |
| Kevin Shattenkirk | 2 | 15 | 113 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 5.3 | -67 |
| Cole Sillinger | 2 | 6 | 76 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 2.6 | 8.0 | -67 |
| Ryan Suter | 1 | 13 | 70 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 4.5 | -68 |
| Colin Blackwell | 2 | 8 | 53 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 3.8 | 11.7 | -68 |
| Denis Gurianov | 2 | 7 | 76 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 9.1 | -71 |
| Nick Holden | 1 | 11 | 54 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 6.7 | -72 |
| Alec Martinez | 1 | 9 | 53 | 0.9 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 7.2 | -74 |
| Tyler Myers | 1 | 9 | 78 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 5.9 | -78 |
| MacKenzie Weegar | 1 | 17 | 107 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 4.5 | -79 |
| Parker Kelly | 1 | 3 | 58 | 1.1 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 8.4 | -80 |
| Erik Johnson | 0 | 7 | 80 | 1.6 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 4.8 | -100 |
| Jonathan Drouin | 0 | 18 | 52 | 1.4 | 3.6 | 0.0 | 8.5 | -100 |
| Jack Johnson | 0 | 4 | 64 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 4.6 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2022-2023 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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