Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 25 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Paul | 7 | 2 | 29 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 24.1 | 9.7 | 148 |
| Sean Durzi | 4 | 4 | 26 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 15.4 | 6.3 | 145 |
| Teuvo Teravainen | 8 | 1 | 32 | 2.5 | 3.1 | 25.0 | 10.3 | 142 |
| Ryan O'Reilly | 7 | 4 | 25 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 28.0 | 11.8 | 138 |
| Noah Dobson | 4 | 7 | 28 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 14.3 | 6.4 | 123 |
| Ryan Hartman | 7 | 3 | 30 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 23.3 | 10.7 | 117 |
| Brock Boeser | 10 | 5 | 35 | 2.9 | 2.8 | 28.6 | 13.2 | 117 |
| Frank Vatrano | 9 | 3 | 40 | 3.3 | 2.8 | 22.5 | 10.6 | 113 |
| Quinn Hughes | 5 | 15 | 45 | 3.8 | 2.0 | 11.1 | 5.4 | 108 |
| Jesper Bratt | 7 | 12 | 26 | 2.2 | 2.7 | 26.9 | 13.2 | 104 |
| Trevor Moore | 6 | 5 | 34 | 3.1 | 2.6 | 17.7 | 8.9 | 98 |
| Brady Tkachuk | 8 | 3 | 42 | 4.2 | 4.0 | 19.1 | 9.7 | 96 |
| Jaccob Slavin | 3 | 4 | 38 | 2.9 | 2.0 | 7.9 | 4.3 | 82 |
| Chris Kreider | 9 | 3 | 33 | 2.8 | 2.9 | 27.3 | 15.3 | 79 |
| J.T. Miller | 7 | 11 | 27 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 25.9 | 14.6 | 78 |
| Dougie Hamilton | 5 | 5 | 44 | 3.7 | 3.6 | 11.4 | 6.5 | 75 |
| Joel Eriksson Ek | 7 | 6 | 40 | 3.3 | 2.9 | 17.5 | 10.1 | 73 |
| Rasmus Dahlin | 3 | 8 | 29 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 10.3 | 6.2 | 66 |
| Victor Hedman | 3 | 13 | 26 | 2.0 | 2.6 | 11.5 | 7.0 | 66 |
| Tyler Toffoli | 8 | 5 | 43 | 3.6 | 3.1 | 18.6 | 11.4 | 64 |
| Travis Konecny | 9 | 3 | 44 | 3.4 | 3.2 | 20.5 | 12.6 | 62 |
| JJ Peterka | 5 | 3 | 30 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 16.7 | 10.8 | 55 |
| Alex Iafallo | 4 | 6 | 27 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 14.8 | 9.8 | 52 |
| Shea Theodore | 3 | 9 | 34 | 2.6 | 3.2 | 8.8 | 5.8 | 52 |
| Joel Farabee | 6 | 4 | 30 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 20.0 | 13.3 | 51 |
| Sam Reinhart | 8 | 5 | 37 | 3.4 | 2.6 | 21.6 | 14.3 | 51 |
| Connor McDavid | 2 | 8 | 26 | 2.9 | 4.0 | 7.7 | 15.5 | -50 |
| Jason Robertson | 2 | 7 | 27 | 2.5 | 3.4 | 7.4 | 15.3 | -52 |
| Mika Zibanejad | 2 | 8 | 33 | 2.8 | 2.9 | 6.1 | 13.2 | -54 |
| Tim Stuetzle | 2 | 9 | 32 | 3.2 | 2.6 | 6.3 | 13.7 | -54 |
| Nazem Kadri | 2 | 5 | 41 | 3.4 | 3.4 | 4.9 | 10.8 | -55 |
| Mathew Barzal | 2 | 6 | 41 | 3.7 | 2.8 | 4.9 | 10.8 | -55 |
| Kirill Marchenko | 2 | 4 | 31 | 3.1 | 3.1 | 6.5 | 14.2 | -55 |
| Sebastian Aho | 2 | 8 | 34 | 3.4 | NA | 5.9 | 14.8 | -60 |
| Lars Eller | 1 | 4 | 27 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 3.7 | 9.8 | -62 |
| Jordan Kyrou | 2 | 4 | 42 | 3.8 | 2.8 | 4.8 | 13.0 | -63 |
| Alex Ovechkin | 2 | 6 | 43 | 4.3 | 4.7 | 4.7 | 12.9 | -64 |
| Barrett Hayton | 1 | 0 | 28 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 3.6 | 10.2 | -65 |
| Gustav Nyquist | 1 | 4 | 26 | 2.2 | NA | 3.9 | 11.3 | -66 |
| Scott Laughton | 1 | 7 | 31 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 3.2 | 9.6 | -66 |
| Filip Forsberg | 2 | 10 | 46 | 3.8 | 4.5 | 4.4 | 12.7 | -66 |
| Evgeny Kuznetsov | 1 | 4 | 27 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 3.7 | 11.0 | -66 |
| Kevin Fiala | 1 | 11 | 29 | 2.6 | 3.4 | 3.5 | 11.2 | -69 |
| Jake DeBrusk | 1 | 4 | 26 | 2.4 | 3.1 | 3.9 | 12.6 | -69 |
| Trevor Zegras | 1 | 1 | 30 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 3.3 | 11.2 | -70 |
| Tomas Hertl | 1 | 6 | 25 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 4.0 | 13.3 | -70 |
| Matthew Tkachuk | 2 | 8 | 54 | 4.9 | 3.4 | 3.7 | 12.9 | -71 |
| Jordan Eberle | 1 | 3 | 28 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 3.6 | 12.8 | -72 |
| Johnny Gaudreau | 1 | 4 | 36 | 3.0 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 12.4 | -77 |
| Jordan Martinook | 0 | 2 | 31 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 7.7 | -100 |
| Tyson Foerster | 0 | 2 | 25 | 2.1 | 19.3 | 0.0 | 7.5 | -100 |
| Rickard Rakell | 0 | 3 | 34 | 3.1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | -100 |
| Josh Anderson | 0 | 1 | 25 | 2.1 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 11.2 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2023-2024 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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