Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 25 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Walman | 4 | 3 | 27 | 1.8 | 2.9 | 14.8 | 5.6 | 163 |
| Sean Kuraly | 5 | 1 | 26 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 19.2 | 7.6 | 152 |
| Teuvo Teravainen | 9 | 1 | 35 | 2.3 | 3.1 | 25.7 | 10.4 | 148 |
| Sean Durzi | 5 | 6 | 31 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 16.1 | 6.5 | 147 |
| Drew Doughty | 4 | 2 | 28 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 14.3 | 6.2 | 130 |
| Nicholas Paul | 7 | 2 | 32 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 21.9 | 9.7 | 126 |
| William Karlsson | 8 | 10 | 28 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 28.6 | 12.8 | 124 |
| Brock Boeser | 12 | 6 | 43 | 2.9 | 2.8 | 27.9 | 13.3 | 111 |
| Erik Karlsson | 5 | 10 | 34 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 14.7 | 7.0 | 109 |
| Frank Vatrano | 11 | 5 | 51 | 3.4 | 2.8 | 21.6 | 10.7 | 103 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 4 | 6 | 29 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 13.8 | 6.9 | 100 |
| Trevor Moore | 7 | 5 | 39 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 18.0 | 9.0 | 100 |
| Lawson Crouse | 6 | 3 | 25 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 24.0 | 12.0 | 99 |
| Quinn Hughes | 5 | 18 | 47 | 3.1 | 2.0 | 10.6 | 5.3 | 99 |
| Fabian Zetterlund | 4 | 3 | 29 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 13.8 | 7.1 | 94 |
| Carl Grundstrom | 6 | 1 | 25 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 24.0 | 12.4 | 93 |
| Jakob Chychrun | 5 | 7 | 37 | 2.8 | 4.5 | 13.5 | 7.0 | 92 |
| Jesper Bratt | 7 | 13 | 29 | 2.1 | 2.7 | 24.1 | 13.1 | 84 |
| Ilya Mikheyev | 6 | 3 | 28 | 2.5 | 3.2 | 21.4 | 11.7 | 84 |
| Charlie Coyle | 5 | 7 | 25 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 20.0 | 10.9 | 84 |
| Ryan O'Reilly | 8 | 6 | 37 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 21.6 | 11.8 | 84 |
| J.T. Miller | 9 | 14 | 34 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 26.5 | 14.7 | 81 |
| Noah Dobson | 4 | 8 | 35 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 11.4 | 6.3 | 81 |
| Chris Kreider | 10 | 4 | 37 | 2.6 | 2.9 | 27.0 | 15.3 | 77 |
| Sean Walker | 2 | 4 | 26 | 1.7 | 3.0 | 7.7 | 4.4 | 76 |
| Anze Kopitar | 7 | 7 | 32 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 21.9 | 12.8 | 71 |
| Sam Reinhart | 12 | 11 | 49 | 3.3 | 2.6 | 24.5 | 14.5 | 69 |
| Ryan Hartman | 7 | 4 | 39 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 18.0 | 10.7 | 68 |
| Brady Tkachuk | 8 | 4 | 50 | 3.8 | 4.0 | 16.0 | 9.7 | 66 |
| Shayne Gostisbehere | 3 | 6 | 25 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 12.0 | 7.2 | 66 |
| Rasmus Andersson | 2 | 4 | 29 | 2.6 | 1.9 | 6.9 | 4.2 | 63 |
| Jaccob Slavin | 3 | 5 | 43 | 2.9 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 4.3 | 62 |
| Reilly Smith | 6 | 6 | 30 | 2.1 | 2.8 | 20.0 | 12.5 | 60 |
| Erik Haula | 5 | 3 | 26 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 19.2 | 12.0 | 60 |
| Darnell Nurse | 3 | 2 | 37 | 2.6 | 2.8 | 8.1 | 5.1 | 60 |
| Jesperi Kotkaniemi | 6 | 7 | 34 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 17.7 | 11.2 | 58 |
| Zach Hyman | 8 | 6 | 40 | 2.9 | 3.4 | 20.0 | 12.7 | 57 |
| Joel Eriksson Ek | 8 | 6 | 51 | 3.4 | 2.9 | 15.7 | 10.1 | 56 |
| Dougie Hamilton | 5 | 6 | 50 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 10.0 | 6.5 | 55 |
| Mason Appleton | 4 | 7 | 26 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 15.4 | 10.1 | 53 |
| Vincent Trocheck | 4 | 7 | 25 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 16.0 | 10.6 | 51 |
| Kiefer Sherwood | 4 | 2 | 28 | 1.9 | 5.7 | 14.3 | 9.5 | 50 |
| Jakub Vrana | 2 | 4 | 28 | 2.3 | 4.9 | 7.1 | 14.3 | -50 |
| Yanni Gourde | 2 | 5 | 29 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 6.9 | 14.3 | -52 |
| Josh Morrissey | 1 | 13 | 35 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 2.9 | 6.2 | -54 |
| Elias Lindholm | 2 | 6 | 40 | 2.7 | 2.6 | 5.0 | 12.3 | -59 |
| Mika Zibanejad | 2 | 8 | 39 | 2.8 | 2.9 | 5.1 | 13.2 | -61 |
| Zach Werenski | 1 | 8 | 36 | 2.6 | 5.5 | 2.8 | 7.1 | -61 |
| Anton Lundell | 1 | 5 | 25 | 1.7 | 2.4 | 4.0 | 10.3 | -61 |
| Blake Wheeler | 1 | 2 | 25 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 4.0 | 10.8 | -63 |
| Luke Evangelista | 1 | 8 | 27 | 1.8 | 7.7 | 3.7 | 9.9 | -63 |
| Matthew Tkachuk | 3 | 14 | 63 | 4.2 | 3.4 | 4.8 | 12.9 | -63 |
| Jordan Staal | 1 | 4 | 25 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 4.0 | 11.5 | -65 |
| Barrett Hayton | 1 | 2 | 31 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 3.2 | 10.1 | -68 |
| Marcus Johansson | 1 | 7 | 25 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 4.0 | 12.6 | -68 |
| Gustav Nyquist | 1 | 8 | 30 | 2.0 | NA | 3.3 | 11.3 | -70 |
| Trevor Zegras | 1 | 1 | 30 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 3.3 | 11.2 | -70 |
| Scott Laughton | 1 | 8 | 38 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 9.6 | -72 |
| Jordan Eberle | 1 | 3 | 28 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 3.6 | 12.8 | -72 |
| Jake DeBrusk | 1 | 4 | 30 | 2.1 | 3.1 | 3.3 | 12.5 | -73 |
| Matty Beniers | 1 | 6 | 26 | 1.6 | 3.4 | 3.9 | 14.6 | -74 |
| Anders Lee | 1 | 1 | 30 | 2.1 | 2.9 | 3.3 | 13.9 | -76 |
| Johnny Gaudreau | 1 | 5 | 38 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 12.3 | -79 |
| Ryan Graves | 0 | 4 | 26 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 5.2 | -100 |
| Yakov Trenin | 0 | 0 | 25 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 9.3 | -100 |
| Filip Hronek | 0 | 16 | 26 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 5.0 | -100 |
| Rickard Rakell | 0 | 4 | 39 | 2.8 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | -100 |
| Cole Sillinger | 0 | 5 | 28 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 7.1 | -100 |
| Mikhail Sergachev | 0 | 8 | 25 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 5.6 | -100 |
| Tyson Foerster | 0 | 3 | 29 | 2.1 | 19.3 | 0.0 | 6.8 | -100 |
| Jordan Martinook | 0 | 4 | 36 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 7.6 | -100 |
| T.J. Oshie | 0 | 1 | 28 | 2.0 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 14.5 | -100 |
| Seth Jones | 0 | 6 | 25 | 1.9 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 5.0 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2023-2024 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
Comments (0)
Leave a comment
In order to leave a comment, you must be a registered user at our website and logged in.