Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 30 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colton Parayko | 4 | 2 | 38 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 10.5 | 4.3 | 143 |
| Noah Hanifin | 4 | 6 | 37 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 10.8 | 4.7 | 131 |
| Trevor Moore | 11 | 8 | 53 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 20.8 | 9.5 | 119 |
| Teuvo Teravainen | 10 | 6 | 45 | 2.1 | 3.1 | 22.2 | 10.4 | 114 |
| Drew Doughty | 4 | 6 | 31 | 1.6 | 2.4 | 12.9 | 6.2 | 108 |
| Quinn Hughes | 8 | 25 | 71 | 3.1 | 2.0 | 11.3 | 5.6 | 101 |
| Sean Durzi | 5 | 7 | 40 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 12.5 | 6.3 | 98 |
| Brock Boeser | 17 | 9 | 65 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 26.2 | 13.4 | 95 |
| Shayne Gostisbehere | 5 | 13 | 35 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 14.3 | 7.3 | 94 |
| Charlie Coyle | 9 | 10 | 42 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 21.4 | 11.0 | 94 |
| Anze Kopitar | 10 | 9 | 41 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 24.4 | 12.8 | 90 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 5 | 6 | 38 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 13.2 | 6.9 | 90 |
| MacKenzie Weegar | 5 | 6 | 56 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 8.9 | 4.9 | 83 |
| Nicholas Paul | 8 | 3 | 46 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 17.4 | 9.6 | 81 |
| Ryan O'Reilly | 10 | 9 | 47 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 21.3 | 11.8 | 80 |
| Sam Reinhart | 15 | 12 | 57 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 26.3 | 14.6 | 80 |
| Ryan Johansen | 9 | 1 | 42 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 21.4 | 12.1 | 78 |
| Sean Kuraly | 5 | 4 | 38 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 13.2 | 7.5 | 76 |
| Lawson Crouse | 10 | 3 | 47 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 21.3 | 12.2 | 74 |
| Mason Appleton | 6 | 9 | 33 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 18.2 | 10.4 | 74 |
| Seth Jarvis | 9 | 9 | 45 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 20.0 | 11.7 | 71 |
| Carl Grundstrom | 7 | 1 | 33 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 21.2 | 12.4 | 71 |
| Jakob Chychrun | 5 | 7 | 42 | 2.5 | 4.5 | 11.9 | 7.0 | 70 |
| Valeri Nichushkin | 10 | 10 | 57 | 2.7 | 3.3 | 17.5 | 10.4 | 69 |
| J.T. Miller | 13 | 22 | 53 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 24.5 | 14.7 | 66 |
| Trevor Lewis | 3 | 3 | 30 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 10.0 | 6.0 | 66 |
| Phillip Di Giuseppe | 3 | 5 | 30 | 1.3 | NA | 10.0 | 6.1 | 64 |
| Erik Karlsson | 6 | 12 | 52 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 11.5 | 7.0 | 64 |
| Chris Kreider | 13 | 7 | 52 | 2.6 | 2.9 | 25.0 | 15.3 | 63 |
| Rasmus Andersson | 3 | 8 | 43 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 7.0 | 4.3 | 62 |
| Sean Walker | 3 | 7 | 42 | 1.9 | 3.0 | 7.1 | 4.4 | 61 |
| Fabian Zetterlund | 6 | 3 | 51 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 11.8 | 7.3 | 61 |
| Pavel Zacha | 7 | 9 | 37 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 18.9 | 11.9 | 59 |
| Evander Kane | 11 | 9 | 69 | 3.3 | 5.5 | 15.9 | 10.1 | 58 |
| Noah Dobson | 5 | 13 | 50 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 10.0 | 6.3 | 58 |
| Tyler Johnson | 6 | 2 | 30 | 1.5 | 2.7 | 20.0 | 12.9 | 56 |
| Joe Pavelski | 10 | 10 | 50 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 20.0 | 12.9 | 55 |
| Boone Jenner | 11 | 5 | 67 | 2.9 | 3.5 | 16.4 | 10.6 | 54 |
| Tyler Seguin | 7 | 8 | 42 | 2.1 | 3.6 | 16.7 | 10.9 | 53 |
| Frank Vatrano | 13 | 8 | 81 | 3.7 | 2.8 | 16.1 | 10.6 | 52 |
| Joel Eriksson Ek | 11 | 7 | 71 | 3.6 | 2.9 | 15.5 | 10.2 | 52 |
| Ilya Mikheyev | 7 | 5 | 40 | 2.1 | 3.2 | 17.5 | 11.6 | 51 |
| Erik Gustafsson | 3 | 12 | 31 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 9.7 | 6.4 | 51 |
| Cole Perfetti | 7 | 10 | 42 | 2.0 | 2.8 | 16.7 | 11.1 | 50 |
| Vladislav Namestnikov | 2 | 9 | 33 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 6.1 | 12.2 | -50 |
| Drew O'Connor | 1 | 4 | 32 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 3.1 | 6.3 | -51 |
| Jonas Brodin | 1 | 8 | 43 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 4.8 | -52 |
| Miro Heiskanen | 1 | 11 | 40 | 2.0 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 5.2 | -52 |
| Anthony Beauvillier | 2 | 6 | 37 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 5.4 | 11.3 | -52 |
| Johnny Gaudreau | 3 | 8 | 53 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 5.7 | 12.3 | -54 |
| Nick Foligno | 2 | 7 | 40 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 5.0 | 11.0 | -55 |
| Dmitry Orlov | 1 | 7 | 35 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 2.9 | 6.3 | -55 |
| Anton Lundell | 2 | 7 | 45 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 4.4 | 9.9 | -55 |
| Jordan Kyrou | 4 | 9 | 72 | 3.4 | 2.8 | 5.6 | 12.7 | -56 |
| Torey Krug | 1 | 8 | 46 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 5.0 | -56 |
| Matt Boldy | 2 | 7 | 39 | 3.0 | 3.7 | 5.1 | 11.8 | -57 |
| Conor Garland | 2 | 5 | 49 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 4.1 | 10.2 | -60 |
| Kris Letang | 1 | 10 | 42 | 2.0 | 2.9 | 2.4 | 5.9 | -60 |
| John Carlson | 1 | 10 | 41 | 2.3 | 3.4 | 2.4 | 6.4 | -62 |
| Alex Pietrangelo | 1 | 8 | 44 | 2.4 | 3.1 | 2.3 | 6.0 | -62 |
| Cole Sillinger | 1 | 8 | 39 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2.6 | 7.1 | -64 |
| Jakob Silfverberg | 1 | 5 | 30 | 1.4 | 2.4 | 3.3 | 9.1 | -64 |
| Jakub Vrana | 2 | 4 | 41 | 2.4 | 4.9 | 4.9 | 14.1 | -65 |
| Lukas Reichel | 1 | 4 | 33 | 1.7 | 6.5 | 3.0 | 8.9 | -66 |
| Tyson Foerster | 1 | 4 | 42 | 2.0 | 19.3 | 2.4 | 7.0 | -66 |
| Trevor Zegras | 1 | 1 | 30 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 3.3 | 11.2 | -70 |
| Zach Werenski | 1 | 14 | 50 | 2.4 | 5.5 | 2.0 | 7.0 | -72 |
| Jordan Staal | 1 | 5 | 32 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 3.1 | 11.4 | -73 |
| Marcus Johansson | 1 | 7 | 30 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 3.3 | 12.6 | -73 |
| Matthew Tkachuk | 3 | 15 | 91 | 4.1 | 3.4 | 3.3 | 12.6 | -74 |
| T.J. Oshie | 1 | 1 | 30 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 3.3 | 14.6 | -77 |
| Scott Laughton | 1 | 9 | 52 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 9.4 | -80 |
| Josh Anderson | 0 | 2 | 42 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 11.1 | -100 |
| Rickard Rakell | 0 | 4 | 44 | 2.6 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 10.9 | -100 |
| Jordan Martinook | 0 | 5 | 50 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 7.5 | -100 |
| Justin Faulk | 0 | 10 | 36 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 6.0 | -100 |
| Seth Jones | 0 | 8 | 44 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 5.0 | -100 |
| Calen Addison | 0 | 9 | 30 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 3.9 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2023-2024 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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