Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Dickinson | 11 | 5 | 47 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 23.4 | 10.0 | 134 |
| Nils Hoglander | 10 | 5 | 42 | 1.3 | 3.6 | 23.8 | 11.2 | 112 |
| Stefan Noesen | 10 | 10 | 45 | 1.3 | 4.3 | 22.2 | 10.6 | 109 |
| Colton Parayko | 6 | 5 | 66 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 9.1 | 4.4 | 107 |
| Drew Doughty | 7 | 10 | 56 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 12.5 | 6.3 | 100 |
| Quinn Hughes | 10 | 34 | 91 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 5.8 | 91 |
| Jake Walman | 6 | 7 | 56 | 1.8 | 2.9 | 10.7 | 5.7 | 87 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 7 | 9 | 54 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 13.0 | 7.0 | 86 |
| MacKenzie Weegar | 8 | 12 | 85 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 9.4 | 5.1 | 85 |
| Yegor Chinakhov | 9 | 6 | 46 | 1.9 | 2.8 | 19.6 | 10.6 | 84 |
| Noah Hanifin | 5 | 12 | 59 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 8.5 | 4.7 | 81 |
| Teuvo Teravainen | 13 | 8 | 70 | 2.1 | 3.1 | 18.6 | 10.4 | 78 |
| Brock Boeser | 24 | 14 | 99 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 24.2 | 13.6 | 78 |
| Anthony Mantha | 10 | 5 | 47 | 1.7 | 2.9 | 21.3 | 12.1 | 75 |
| Anze Kopitar | 13 | 18 | 59 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 22.0 | 12.9 | 71 |
| Sean Kuraly | 6 | 5 | 47 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 12.8 | 7.5 | 69 |
| Trevor Moore | 16 | 9 | 99 | 3.3 | 2.6 | 16.2 | 9.6 | 69 |
| Quinton Byfield | 10 | 15 | 60 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 16.7 | 9.9 | 69 |
| Sean Durzi | 5 | 11 | 50 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 6.1 | 64 |
| Rasmus Andersson | 5 | 13 | 69 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 7.3 | 4.4 | 64 |
| Nicholas Paul | 11 | 8 | 69 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 15.9 | 9.7 | 64 |
| Sam Reinhart | 19 | 21 | 80 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 23.8 | 14.7 | 62 |
| Ryan Johansen | 10 | 2 | 51 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 19.6 | 12.1 | 62 |
| Shayne Gostisbehere | 7 | 18 | 60 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 11.7 | 7.4 | 59 |
| Rasmus Dahlin | 10 | 19 | 96 | 2.8 | 2.3 | 10.4 | 6.6 | 59 |
| Michael McLeod | 7 | 7 | 53 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 13.2 | 8.3 | 59 |
| Valeri Nichushkin | 16 | 17 | 97 | 3.0 | 3.3 | 16.5 | 10.6 | 56 |
| Lawson Crouse | 14 | 6 | 73 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 19.2 | 12.3 | 55 |
| Boone Jenner | 13 | 5 | 81 | 2.8 | 3.5 | 16.1 | 10.7 | 51 |
| Tyler Seguin | 10 | 13 | 61 | 1.9 | 3.6 | 16.4 | 10.9 | 50 |
| Fabian Zetterlund | 9 | 5 | 77 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 11.7 | 7.8 | 50 |
| Jake Bean | 1 | 2 | 41 | 1.3 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 4.9 | -50 |
| Ryan Strome | 3 | 15 | 58 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 5.2 | 10.6 | -51 |
| Jake DeBrusk | 4 | 7 | 67 | 2.2 | 3.1 | 6.0 | 12.4 | -52 |
| Jordan Eberle | 4 | 12 | 65 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 6.2 | 12.7 | -52 |
| Frederick Gaudreau | 2 | 4 | 41 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 4.9 | 10.1 | -52 |
| Nick Cousins | 2 | 3 | 57 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3.5 | 7.8 | -55 |
| Justin Faulk | 2 | 15 | 76 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 6.0 | -56 |
| Jonas Brodin | 1 | 8 | 48 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 4.8 | -57 |
| Jean-Gabriel Pageau | 2 | 11 | 41 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 4.9 | 11.4 | -57 |
| Scott Laughton | 3 | 12 | 76 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 4.0 | 9.4 | -58 |
| Brandon Montour | 1 | 5 | 42 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 5.9 | -59 |
| Conor Garland | 3 | 13 | 75 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 4.0 | 10.0 | -60 |
| Alex Ovechkin | 6 | 14 | 119 | 3.8 | 4.7 | 5.0 | 12.8 | -61 |
| Jesper Fast | 2 | 6 | 40 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 5.0 | 12.7 | -61 |
| Yanni Gourde | 4 | 8 | 75 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 5.3 | 13.7 | -61 |
| Anton Lundell | 2 | 10 | 55 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 3.6 | 9.6 | -62 |
| Andrei Svechnikov | 2 | 12 | 49 | 2.6 | 3.4 | 4.1 | 11.2 | -63 |
| Hampus Lindholm | 1 | 6 | 50 | 1.6 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 5.6 | -64 |
| Jakub Vrana | 2 | 4 | 41 | 2.2 | 4.9 | 4.9 | 14.1 | -65 |
| T.J. Oshie | 2 | 2 | 40 | 1.9 | 2.8 | 5.0 | 14.5 | -66 |
| Matthew Tkachuk | 5 | 19 | 119 | 3.6 | 3.4 | 4.2 | 12.5 | -67 |
| Marcus Johansson | 2 | 13 | 52 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 3.9 | 12.4 | -69 |
| Dmitry Orlov | 1 | 12 | 56 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 6.2 | -71 |
| Torey Krug | 1 | 15 | 75 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 4.9 | -73 |
| Alex Pietrangelo | 1 | 13 | 72 | 2.4 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 5.9 | -76 |
| Jakob Silfverberg | 1 | 6 | 47 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 9.1 | -76 |
| John Carlson | 1 | 18 | 68 | 2.2 | 3.4 | 1.5 | 6.3 | -77 |
| Jordan Martinook | 1 | 8 | 69 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 7.5 | -81 |
| Rickard Rakell | 1 | 5 | 53 | 2.7 | 3.0 | 1.9 | 10.9 | -83 |
| Zach Werenski | 1 | 24 | 87 | 2.6 | 5.5 | 1.2 | 6.8 | -83 |
| Ryan Suter | 0 | 6 | 47 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 4.5 | -100 |
| Seth Jones | 0 | 11 | 60 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 4.9 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2023-2024 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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