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Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters

March 20, 2024   Left Wing Lock Staff   0 Comments

Introduction

Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

Player G A S S/GP 3YS/GP SH% CSH% DEV
David Savard 6 11 48 1.0 1.4 12.5 4.9 154
Marc-Edouard Vlasic 6 4 54 1.3 0.9 11.1 5.0 122
Luke Glendening 9 1 47 0.7 1.3 19.2 8.8 117
Olli Maatta 4 13 42 0.7 1.1 9.5 4.8 98
Drew Doughty 14 28 115 1.7 2.4 12.2 6.4 90
Jake McCabe 6 18 60 1.0 1.6 10.0 5.3 89
Anthony Mantha 21 14 96 1.5 2.9 21.9 12.6 74
Jake Walman 12 9 106 1.7 2.9 11.3 6.6 73
MacKenzie Weegar 16 24 173 2.5 2.2 9.3 5.5 68
Sam Reinhart 48 31 186 2.7 2.6 25.8 15.5 67
Noah Hanifin 11 28 136 2.0 2.3 8.1 4.9 66
Nils Hoglander 20 11 100 1.5 3.6 20.0 12.1 65
Blake Coleman 28 23 163 2.4 2.4 17.2 10.4 64
Valeri Nichushkin 25 24 140 3.1 3.3 17.9 11.0 62
Sam Lafferty 11 10 68 1.0 1.8 16.2 10.0 61
Logan O'Connor 13 12 85 1.5 1.7 15.3 9.5 61
Teuvo Teravainen 21 26 124 1.9 3.1 16.9 10.6 60
Artturi Lehkonen 12 12 73 2.3 2.5 16.4 10.3 59
Jake Middleton 7 14 74 1.1 NA 9.5 5.9 59
Adam Fox 12 45 102 1.7 2.0 11.8 7.4 58
Michael McLeod 10 9 73 1.6 1.1 13.7 8.7 57
Phillip Di Giuseppe 5 5 51 1.1 NA 9.8 6.3 57
Colton Parayko 9 14 134 1.9 2.0 6.7 4.4 53
Charlie Coyle 23 31 133 1.9 1.7 17.3 11.3 53
Damon Severson 6 15 69 1.3 1.6 8.7 5.8 51
Ryan Carpenter 5 7 49 1.0 1.8 10.2 6.8 50
Alex Pietrangelo 4 28 137 2.2 3.1 2.9 5.9 -50
Alexander Barabanov 3 9 59 1.4 1.9 5.1 10.2 -50
Peyton Krebs 3 11 64 0.9 1.3 4.7 9.5 -51
Ty Dellandrea 2 7 51 1.3 2.2 3.9 8.0 -51
Andre Burakovsky 4 8 59 1.7 2.4 6.8 13.9 -51
Kevin Bahl 1 9 55 0.8 1.3 1.8 3.9 -53
Barrett Hayton 3 7 66 2.0 2.4 4.6 9.6 -53
Adam Pelech 1 11 54 1.2 1.6 1.9 4.0 -54
Yanni Gourde 8 18 131 2.0 1.9 6.1 13.3 -54
Frederick Gaudreau 4 10 92 1.6 2.0 4.4 9.4 -54
Noah Cates 3 10 59 1.3 2.2 5.1 11.1 -54
Zach Werenski 5 38 165 2.9 5.5 3.0 6.7 -55
Taylor Raddysh 5 7 109 1.7 1.7 4.6 10.5 -56
Anthony Beauvillier 4 11 85 1.7 2.3 4.7 11.0 -57
Torey Krug 3 31 148 2.1 2.5 2.0 4.8 -58
Kevin Labanc 2 7 54 1.3 3.0 3.7 9.3 -60
Jamie Oleksiak 2 8 93 1.4 1.4 2.2 5.5 -61
Max Pacioretty 3 14 69 2.2 8.9 4.4 11.1 -61
Calen Addison 1 15 75 1.3 1.6 1.3 3.5 -62
Mikey Anderson 1 14 75 1.3 1.2 1.3 3.5 -62
Jakub Vrana 2 4 42 2.0 4.9 4.8 14.0 -66
Mark Giordano 1 6 46 1.2 2.0 2.2 6.7 -68
Justin Faulk 2 24 110 2.1 2.3 1.8 5.9 -69
Tyson Barrie 1 12 56 1.5 2.2 1.8 6.2 -71
Nicolas Deslauriers 1 3 49 0.8 1.1 2.0 7.6 -73
Adam Boqvist 1 9 45 1.3 2.1 2.2 8.6 -74
Barclay Goodrow 1 8 48 0.7 1.3 2.1 8.8 -76
Hampus Lindholm 1 23 78 1.3 2.5 1.3 5.5 -77
Connor Brown 1 5 89 1.6 NA 1.1 10.6 -89
Dmitry Kulikov 0 16 61 1.0 1.2 0.0 4.1 -100

Legend

G: Goals

A: Assists

S: Shots on goal

S/GP: Shots on goal per game

3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game

SH%: 2023-2024 shooting percentage

CSH%: Career shooting percentage

DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage

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