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Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters

March 27, 2024   Left Wing Lock Staff   0 Comments

Introduction

Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

Player G A S S/GP 3YS/GP SH% CSH% DEV
David Savard 6 12 51 1.0 1.4 11.8 4.9 140
Luke Glendening 10 1 49 0.7 1.3 20.4 8.9 129
Marc-Edouard Vlasic 6 4 57 1.2 0.9 10.5 5.0 111
Jake McCabe 7 18 64 1.0 1.6 10.9 5.4 102
Sonny Milano 13 7 41 1.1 2.2 31.7 16.0 99
Olli Maatta 4 13 44 0.7 1.1 9.1 4.8 90
Drew Doughty 14 30 119 1.7 2.4 11.8 6.4 84
Jake Walman 12 9 106 1.7 2.9 11.3 6.6 73
Jason Dickinson 20 13 111 1.5 1.5 18.0 10.5 72
Adam Fox 15 48 112 1.8 2.0 13.4 7.8 72
MacKenzie Weegar 17 24 179 2.5 2.2 9.5 5.6 70
Nils Hoglander 22 11 105 1.5 3.6 21.0 12.5 68
Damon Severson 7 15 72 1.3 1.6 9.7 5.8 67
Sam Reinhart 51 33 196 2.7 2.6 26.0 15.6 67
Sam Lafferty 12 11 71 1.0 1.8 16.9 10.2 65
Connor Dewar 10 5 67 1.0 1.6 14.9 9.1 64
Anthony Mantha 21 18 103 1.6 2.9 20.4 12.5 63
Cal Clutterbuck 7 12 50 0.7 1.5 14.0 8.7 62
Logan O'Connor 13 12 85 1.5 1.7 15.3 9.5 61
Valeri Nichushkin 26 24 147 3.1 3.3 17.7 11.0 60
Blake Coleman 28 23 169 2.4 2.4 16.6 10.4 59
Colton Parayko 10 14 141 2.0 2.0 7.1 4.4 59
Teuvo Teravainen 21 26 126 1.8 3.1 16.7 10.6 58
Phillip Di Giuseppe 5 5 51 1.0 NA 9.8 6.3 57
Michael McLeod 10 9 73 1.6 1.1 13.7 8.7 57
Anze Kopitar 24 40 119 1.7 2.3 20.2 13.0 56
Noah Hanifin 11 29 147 2.1 2.3 7.5 4.8 55
Jake Middleton 7 15 79 1.1 NA 8.9 5.8 53
Alex Pietrangelo 4 28 137 2.2 3.1 2.9 5.9 -50
Ty Dellandrea 2 7 53 1.3 2.2 3.8 7.9 -52
Barrett Hayton 3 7 66 2.0 2.4 4.6 9.6 -53
Ryan Suter 2 15 95 1.3 1.3 2.1 4.5 -53
Noah Cates 3 10 61 1.2 2.2 4.9 11.0 -55
Yanni Gourde 8 18 134 1.9 1.9 6.0 13.3 -55
Frederick Gaudreau 4 10 95 1.6 2.0 4.2 9.3 -55
Adam Pelech 1 12 57 1.2 1.6 1.8 4.0 -56
Taylor Raddysh 5 9 113 1.7 1.7 4.4 10.4 -58
Andre Burakovsky 4 8 69 1.8 2.4 5.8 13.8 -58
Torey Krug 3 31 154 2.2 2.5 2.0 4.8 -59
Anthony Beauvillier 4 11 88 1.7 2.3 4.6 11.0 -59
Kevin Labanc 2 7 54 1.3 3.0 3.7 9.3 -60
Jamie Oleksiak 2 10 98 1.4 1.4 2.0 5.4 -62
Calen Addison 1 16 78 1.3 1.6 1.3 3.4 -62
Max Pacioretty 3 16 72 2.0 8.9 4.2 11.1 -63
Jakub Vrana 2 4 42 2.0 4.9 4.8 14.0 -66
Mark Giordano 1 6 46 1.2 2.0 2.2 6.7 -68
Justin Faulk 2 25 115 2.1 2.3 1.7 5.9 -70
Connor Brown 3 6 95 1.6 NA 3.2 10.7 -71
Nicolas Deslauriers 1 3 49 0.8 1.1 2.0 7.6 -73
Adam Boqvist 1 9 45 1.3 2.1 2.2 8.6 -74
Ross Johnston 1 3 40 0.7 0.8 2.5 9.7 -74
Tyson Barrie 1 13 63 1.6 2.2 1.6 6.2 -74
Barclay Goodrow 1 8 51 0.7 1.3 2.0 8.8 -78
Hampus Lindholm 1 23 86 1.3 2.5 1.2 5.5 -79
Dmitry Kulikov 0 17 61 0.9 1.2 0.0 4.1 -100
TJ Brodie 0 20 42 0.6 1.0 0.0 5.6 -100

Legend

G: Goals

A: Assists

S: Shots on goal

S/GP: Shots on goal per game

3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game

SH%: 2023-2024 shooting percentage

CSH%: Career shooting percentage

DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage

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