Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 20 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmus Andersson | 4 | 7 | 27 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 14.8 | 4.8 | 211 |
| Ryan Donato | 7 | 2 | 23 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 30.4 | 10.3 | 195 |
| Morgan Rielly | 4 | 5 | 29 | 2.1 | 2.7 | 13.8 | 4.8 | 189 |
| Matt Duchene | 7 | 8 | 20 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 35.0 | 13.4 | 160 |
| Stefan Noesen | 6 | 7 | 22 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 27.3 | 10.7 | 154 |
| Colton Parayko | 3 | 5 | 27 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 11.1 | 4.5 | 145 |
| Gustav Forsling | 3 | 5 | 21 | 1.6 | 2.4 | 14.3 | 6.0 | 138 |
| Shayne Gostisbehere | 4 | 5 | 23 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 17.4 | 7.3 | 137 |
| Martin Necas | 7 | 13 | 26 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 26.9 | 12.0 | 124 |
| Cole Caufield | 10 | 1 | 36 | 2.8 | 4.3 | 27.8 | 12.5 | 122 |
| Owen Power | 3 | 6 | 25 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 12.0 | 5.5 | 118 |
| Alex Laferriere | 8 | 5 | 33 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 24.2 | 11.1 | 118 |
| Dylan Larkin | 7 | 1 | 30 | 2.7 | 3.5 | 23.3 | 11.0 | 111 |
| Brayden Point | 8 | 5 | 21 | 1.8 | 3.0 | 38.1 | 18.6 | 105 |
| Fabian Zetterlund | 6 | 4 | 29 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 20.7 | 10.1 | 105 |
| Paul Cotter | 6 | 3 | 22 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 27.3 | 13.4 | 104 |
| Jordan Eberle | 6 | 3 | 23 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 26.1 | 12.8 | 103 |
| Nikolaj Ehlers | 8 | 9 | 34 | 2.6 | 4.2 | 23.5 | 11.9 | 98 |
| Joel Eriksson Ek | 5 | 2 | 25 | 2.5 | 3.4 | 20.0 | 10.3 | 94 |
| Jack Roslovic | 7 | 0 | 30 | 2.7 | 1.9 | 23.3 | 12.2 | 92 |
| Damon Severson | 3 | 4 | 26 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 11.5 | 6.0 | 91 |
| Tom Wilson | 6 | 3 | 26 | 2.4 | 2.9 | 23.1 | 12.1 | 90 |
| Craig Smith | 4 | 2 | 22 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 18.2 | 9.6 | 90 |
| Tim Stuetzle | 6 | 11 | 24 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 25.0 | 13.3 | 88 |
| Anton Lundell | 6 | 7 | 31 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 19.4 | 10.3 | 87 |
| Brendan Gallagher | 5 | 1 | 28 | 2.2 | 3.3 | 17.9 | 9.8 | 82 |
| Sam Bennett | 8 | 5 | 42 | 3.2 | 3.6 | 19.1 | 10.6 | 79 |
| JJ Peterka | 6 | 5 | 28 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 21.4 | 12.0 | 78 |
| Travis Sanheim | 3 | 3 | 28 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 10.7 | 6.0 | 77 |
| William Nylander | 10 | 5 | 45 | 3.2 | 3.5 | 22.2 | 12.6 | 76 |
| Brett Howden | 6 | 1 | 28 | 2.3 | 1.4 | 21.4 | 12.3 | 75 |
| Ivan Barbashev | 7 | 5 | 23 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 30.4 | 17.6 | 73 |
| Claude Giroux | 5 | 6 | 25 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 20.0 | 11.6 | 73 |
| Connor McMichael | 7 | 5 | 33 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 21.2 | 12.3 | 72 |
| Brock Boeser | 6 | 5 | 25 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 24.0 | 14.0 | 72 |
| Dylan Holloway | 4 | 2 | 22 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 18.2 | 10.7 | 71 |
| MacKenzie Weegar | 3 | 2 | 30 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 10.0 | 5.9 | 70 |
| Nico Hischier | 10 | 6 | 46 | 3.1 | 2.9 | 21.7 | 12.8 | 70 |
| Travis Konecny | 7 | 7 | 33 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 21.2 | 12.7 | 67 |
| Sam Reinhart | 10 | 11 | 38 | 2.9 | 2.7 | 26.3 | 15.8 | 66 |
| Mats Zuccarello | 5 | 6 | 27 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 18.5 | 11.3 | 64 |
| Brady Tkachuk | 7 | 9 | 44 | 3.7 | 4.1 | 15.9 | 9.8 | 63 |
| Drake Batherson | 5 | 7 | 24 | 2.0 | 3.1 | 20.8 | 12.8 | 62 |
| Ross Colton | 8 | 1 | 37 | 3.7 | 2.0 | 21.6 | 13.3 | 62 |
| Nino Niederreiter | 7 | 5 | 34 | 2.6 | 2.3 | 20.6 | 12.7 | 62 |
| Alex DeBrincat | 5 | 4 | 22 | 2.0 | 3.1 | 22.7 | 14.1 | 61 |
| Mason Appleton | 4 | 6 | 24 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 16.7 | 10.5 | 59 |
| Barrett Hayton | 5 | 2 | 31 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 16.1 | 10.2 | 59 |
| Chris Kreider | 7 | 0 | 29 | 2.6 | 3.1 | 24.1 | 15.3 | 58 |
| Alexis Lafreniere | 5 | 5 | 22 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 22.7 | 14.5 | 57 |
| Artemi Panarin | 9 | 9 | 39 | 3.5 | 2.9 | 23.1 | 14.8 | 56 |
| Kiefer Sherwood | 3 | 4 | 21 | 1.9 | 3.5 | 14.3 | 9.2 | 55 |
| Jared McCann | 6 | 10 | 31 | 2.2 | 2.8 | 19.4 | 12.5 | 55 |
| Lars Eller | 4 | 3 | 26 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 15.4 | 9.9 | 55 |
| Teuvo Teravainen | 4 | 4 | 24 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 16.7 | 10.8 | 54 |
| Brandon Montour | 4 | 6 | 44 | 3.4 | 2.7 | 9.1 | 5.9 | 53 |
| Leon Draisaitl | 9 | 7 | 32 | 2.5 | 3.2 | 28.1 | 18.4 | 53 |
| Alex Ovechkin | 7 | 7 | 36 | 3.3 | 4.2 | 19.4 | 12.9 | 51 |
| Cole Koepke | 3 | 4 | 21 | 1.5 | 9.1 | 14.3 | 9.5 | 50 |
| Matthew Knies | 7 | 2 | 32 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 21.9 | 14.6 | 50 |
| Casey Mittelstadt | 6 | 9 | 33 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 18.2 | 12.1 | 50 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 1 | 5 | 30 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 3.3 | 6.8 | -51 |
| Jonathan Marchessault | 2 | 5 | 38 | 3.2 | 3.4 | 5.3 | 11.5 | -54 |
| Jake Walman | 1 | 8 | 35 | 2.7 | 2.6 | 2.9 | 6.2 | -54 |
| Anders Lee | 3 | 4 | 49 | 3.8 | 2.4 | 6.1 | 13.6 | -55 |
| Jesperi Kotkaniemi | 1 | 7 | 22 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 4.6 | 10.2 | -55 |
| Luke Evangelista | 1 | 4 | 23 | 1.9 | 3.4 | 4.4 | 9.6 | -55 |
| Trent Frederic | 1 | 2 | 20 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 5.0 | 11.2 | -56 |
| Mitch Marner | 2 | 14 | 36 | 2.6 | 2.9 | 5.6 | 12.8 | -57 |
| Rasmus Dahlin | 1 | 8 | 36 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 2.8 | 6.5 | -57 |
| Kirby Dach | 1 | 4 | 26 | 2.0 | 3.3 | 3.9 | 9.0 | -57 |
| Brandon Tanev | 1 | 1 | 21 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 4.8 | 11.3 | -58 |
| Zach Hyman | 2 | 2 | 35 | 2.7 | 3.5 | 5.7 | 13.5 | -58 |
| Erik Karlsson | 1 | 7 | 35 | 2.5 | 2.9 | 2.9 | 6.7 | -58 |
| Phillip Danault | 1 | 6 | 24 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 4.2 | 10.1 | -59 |
| Logan Stankoven | 1 | 9 | 27 | 2.5 | 7.3 | 3.7 | 9.0 | -59 |
| Pierre-Luc Dubois | 1 | 5 | 20 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 5.0 | 12.4 | -60 |
| Morgan Frost | 1 | 5 | 28 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 3.6 | 9.2 | -61 |
| Trevor Zegras | 1 | 2 | 24 | 2.0 | 3.1 | 4.2 | 10.9 | -62 |
| Connor Brown | 1 | 0 | 26 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 3.9 | 10.5 | -63 |
| Steven Stamkos | 2 | 3 | 33 | 2.8 | 3.2 | 6.1 | 16.6 | -63 |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 1 | 4 | 23 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 4.4 | 11.9 | -64 |
| Quinton Byfield | 1 | 6 | 30 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 3.3 | 9.3 | -64 |
| Trevor Moore | 1 | 6 | 32 | 2.3 | 3.0 | 3.1 | 9.4 | -67 |
| Frank Vatrano | 1 | 3 | 28 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 3.6 | 10.7 | -67 |
| Dougie Hamilton | 1 | 7 | 48 | 3.2 | 4.9 | 2.1 | 6.3 | -67 |
| Viktor Arvidsson | 1 | 3 | 29 | 2.2 | 4.9 | 3.5 | 10.9 | -68 |
| Wyatt Johnston | 1 | 5 | 25 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 4.0 | 14.2 | -72 |
| Roman Josi | 1 | 6 | 53 | 4.4 | 3.9 | 1.9 | 6.6 | -72 |
| Pavel Zacha | 1 | 2 | 32 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 3.1 | 11.7 | -73 |
| Carter Verhaeghe | 2 | 6 | 52 | 4.0 | 3.1 | 3.9 | 14.3 | -73 |
| Michael Bunting | 1 | 1 | 29 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 3.5 | 13.1 | -74 |
| Dylan Cozens | 1 | 3 | 38 | 2.9 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 10.0 | -74 |
| Brayden Schenn | 1 | 4 | 30 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 3.3 | 13.4 | -75 |
| Noah Dobson | 0 | 6 | 45 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 5.5 | -100 |
| Jonas Brodin | 0 | 5 | 26 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 4.9 | -100 |
| Jacob Trouba | 0 | 5 | 21 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 4.5 | -100 |
| Nick Schmaltz | 0 | 11 | 28 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 13.8 | -100 |
| Darnell Nurse | 0 | 5 | 36 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 4.9 | -100 |
| Brent Burns | 0 | 5 | 28 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 6.5 | -100 |
| Parker Kelly | 0 | 1 | 20 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 7.9 | -100 |
| Michael Eyssimont | 0 | 1 | 20 | 1.7 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 5.4 | -100 |
| Nikita Zadorov | 0 | 4 | 21 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 5.9 | -100 |
| Miro Heiskanen | 0 | 4 | 25 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 5.2 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2024-2025 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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