Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 30 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aliaksei Protas | 7 | 11 | 32 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 21.9 | 7.6 | 187 |
| Mikhail Sergachev | 6 | 9 | 35 | 1.6 | 2.4 | 17.1 | 6.1 | 182 |
| Jakob Chychrun | 6 | 5 | 31 | 1.9 | 3.8 | 19.4 | 7.1 | 171 |
| Rasmus Andersson | 5 | 8 | 39 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 12.8 | 4.8 | 166 |
| Matt Duchene | 11 | 14 | 35 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 31.4 | 13.5 | 133 |
| Stefan Noesen | 10 | 9 | 43 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 23.3 | 11.0 | 111 |
| Morgan Rielly | 4 | 9 | 41 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 9.8 | 4.7 | 106 |
| Brendan Gallagher | 8 | 4 | 40 | 1.9 | 3.3 | 20.0 | 9.9 | 102 |
| Colton Parayko | 4 | 8 | 44 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 9.1 | 4.5 | 100 |
| Dylan Larkin | 12 | 6 | 54 | 2.6 | 3.5 | 22.2 | 11.2 | 99 |
| Brayden Point | 12 | 5 | 33 | 2.1 | 3.0 | 36.4 | 18.7 | 94 |
| Tyler Seguin | 8 | 10 | 37 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 21.6 | 11.2 | 93 |
| Martin Necas | 12 | 23 | 51 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 23.5 | 12.3 | 92 |
| Cole Caufield | 12 | 5 | 50 | 2.4 | 4.3 | 24.0 | 12.6 | 91 |
| Jordan Martinook | 6 | 7 | 38 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 15.8 | 8.5 | 86 |
| Alexander Wennberg | 6 | 7 | 30 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 20.0 | 10.8 | 85 |
| Alex Ovechkin | 15 | 10 | 63 | 3.5 | 4.2 | 23.8 | 13.0 | 84 |
| Fabian Zetterlund | 9 | 7 | 48 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 18.8 | 10.3 | 81 |
| Jack Roslovic | 12 | 1 | 54 | 2.6 | 1.9 | 22.2 | 12.4 | 79 |
| Damon Severson | 4 | 5 | 37 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 10.8 | 6.1 | 78 |
| Alex Laferriere | 9 | 6 | 47 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 19.2 | 10.8 | 77 |
| Matt Coronato | 6 | 4 | 38 | 2.2 | 4.1 | 15.8 | 9.0 | 75 |
| Will Cuylle | 9 | 8 | 37 | 1.9 | 2.7 | 24.3 | 14.0 | 74 |
| Sam Reinhart | 16 | 15 | 58 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 27.6 | 16.0 | 72 |
| Lars Eller | 6 | 4 | 35 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 17.1 | 10.0 | 71 |
| Evan Rodrigues | 5 | 5 | 38 | 1.7 | 2.8 | 13.2 | 7.8 | 70 |
| Anthony Cirelli | 9 | 13 | 38 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 23.7 | 13.9 | 70 |
| Brandon Montour | 7 | 8 | 69 | 3.3 | 2.7 | 10.1 | 6.1 | 67 |
| Tage Thompson | 11 | 7 | 51 | 3.2 | 3.8 | 21.6 | 13.0 | 67 |
| Brett Howden | 8 | 1 | 39 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 20.5 | 12.4 | 65 |
| Paul Cotter | 7 | 5 | 32 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 21.9 | 13.2 | 65 |
| Ryan Donato | 8 | 3 | 48 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 16.7 | 10.1 | 65 |
| Jonathan Huberdeau | 7 | 5 | 35 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 20.0 | 12.3 | 62 |
| Ross Colton | 8 | 1 | 37 | 3.7 | 2.0 | 21.6 | 13.3 | 62 |
| Shayne Gostisbehere | 5 | 11 | 43 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 11.6 | 7.3 | 60 |
| Connor McMichael | 13 | 7 | 62 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 21.0 | 13.1 | 60 |
| Craig Smith | 5 | 3 | 33 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 15.2 | 9.5 | 59 |
| Mason Marchment | 7 | 13 | 37 | 1.9 | 2.5 | 18.9 | 12.0 | 58 |
| Nick Foligno | 6 | 3 | 34 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 17.7 | 11.3 | 56 |
| Nico Hischier | 13 | 11 | 65 | 2.7 | 2.9 | 20.0 | 12.8 | 56 |
| Miro Heiskanen | 4 | 5 | 47 | 2.4 | 2.7 | 8.5 | 5.5 | 55 |
| Owen Power | 3 | 12 | 37 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 8.1 | 5.3 | 54 |
| Nino Niederreiter | 9 | 6 | 46 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 19.6 | 12.7 | 54 |
| Leo Carlsson | 6 | 5 | 30 | 1.5 | 3.0 | 20.0 | 12.9 | 54 |
| Adam Lowry | 5 | 10 | 30 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 16.7 | 10.9 | 53 |
| Hampus Lindholm | 3 | 4 | 35 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 8.6 | 5.6 | 52 |
| Kiefer Sherwood | 6 | 6 | 41 | 2.1 | 3.5 | 14.6 | 9.6 | 52 |
| Pius Suter | 6 | 4 | 33 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 18.2 | 12.1 | 51 |
| Noah Hanifin | 3 | 9 | 40 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 7.5 | 5.0 | 50 |
| Tim Stuetzle | 9 | 16 | 45 | 2.1 | 2.7 | 20.0 | 13.3 | 50 |
| Pavel Zacha | 3 | 4 | 52 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 5.8 | 11.7 | -51 |
| Viktor Arvidsson | 2 | 3 | 38 | 2.4 | 4.9 | 5.3 | 10.9 | -52 |
| Jesperi Kotkaniemi | 2 | 10 | 41 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 4.9 | 10.1 | -52 |
| Taylor Hall | 2 | 4 | 42 | 2.1 | 4.1 | 4.8 | 10.0 | -53 |
| Frank Vatrano | 3 | 5 | 61 | 3.2 | 3.0 | 4.9 | 10.6 | -54 |
| Carter Verhaeghe | 5 | 10 | 76 | 3.5 | 3.1 | 6.6 | 14.2 | -54 |
| Zach Hyman | 3 | 5 | 51 | 2.6 | 3.5 | 5.9 | 13.4 | -56 |
| K'Andre Miller | 1 | 3 | 31 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 3.2 | 7.4 | -57 |
| Wyatt Johnston | 3 | 8 | 54 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 5.6 | 13.7 | -59 |
| Shea Theodore | 1 | 16 | 44 | 2.1 | 3.4 | 2.3 | 5.5 | -59 |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 2 | 7 | 44 | 2.0 | 2.6 | 4.6 | 11.9 | -62 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 1 | 7 | 39 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 6.7 | -62 |
| Justin Faulk | 1 | 4 | 46 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 5.7 | -62 |
| Adam Henrique | 2 | 4 | 35 | 1.6 | 2.5 | 5.7 | 15.3 | -63 |
| Brent Burns | 1 | 5 | 42 | 2.0 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 6.5 | -64 |
| Vasily Podkolzin | 1 | 5 | 31 | 1.4 | 3.0 | 3.2 | 9.2 | -65 |
| Thomas Chabot | 1 | 10 | 55 | 2.6 | 3.6 | 1.8 | 5.7 | -68 |
| Kirby Dach | 1 | 7 | 37 | 1.8 | 3.3 | 2.7 | 8.7 | -69 |
| Morgan Geekie | 1 | 3 | 30 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 3.3 | 10.8 | -69 |
| Alexander Holtz | 1 | 7 | 32 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 3.1 | 10.7 | -71 |
| Jack Quinn | 1 | 4 | 30 | 1.5 | 2.9 | 3.3 | 11.5 | -71 |
| Phillip Danault | 1 | 9 | 34 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 2.9 | 10.0 | -71 |
| Noah Dobson | 1 | 8 | 64 | 2.9 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 5.5 | -72 |
| Andre Burakovsky | 1 | 8 | 30 | 1.4 | 2.7 | 3.3 | 13.5 | -75 |
| Ryan Pulock | 0 | 7 | 35 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 4.6 | -100 |
| Jacob Trouba | 0 | 6 | 42 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 4.4 | -100 |
| Nick Schmaltz | 0 | 17 | 44 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 13.5 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2024-2025 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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