Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters

November 27, 2024 Left Wing Lock Staff 0 Comments

Introduction

Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 30 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

Player	G	A	S	S/GP	3YS/GP	SH%	CSH%	DEV
Aliaksei Protas	7	11	32	1.5	2.0	21.9	7.6	187
Mikhail Sergachev	6	9	35	1.6	2.4	17.1	6.1	182
Jakob Chychrun	6	5	31	1.9	3.8	19.4	7.1	171
Rasmus Andersson	5	8	39	1.8	2.0	12.8	4.8	166
Matt Duchene	11	14	35	1.8	2.7	31.4	13.5	133
Stefan Noesen	10	9	43	1.8	2.4	23.3	11.0	111
Morgan Rielly	4	9	41	2.0	2.7	9.8	4.7	106
Brendan Gallagher	8	4	40	1.9	3.3	20.0	9.9	102
Colton Parayko	4	8	44	1.9	1.8	9.1	4.5	100
Dylan Larkin	12	6	54	2.6	3.5	22.2	11.2	99
Brayden Point	12	5	33	2.1	3.0	36.4	18.7	94
Tyler Seguin	8	10	37	2.3	2.7	21.6	11.2	93
Martin Necas	12	23	51	2.4	2.8	23.5	12.3	92
Cole Caufield	12	5	50	2.4	4.3	24.0	12.6	91
Jordan Martinook	6	7	38	1.8	1.9	15.8	8.5	86
Alexander Wennberg	6	7	30	1.3	1.2	20.0	10.8	85
Alex Ovechkin	15	10	63	3.5	4.2	23.8	13.0	84
Fabian Zetterlund	9	7	48	2.0	2.4	18.8	10.3	81
Jack Roslovic	12	1	54	2.6	1.9	22.2	12.4	79
Damon Severson	4	5	37	1.9	1.6	10.8	6.1	78
Alex Laferriere	9	6	47	2.1	1.8	19.2	10.8	77
Matt Coronato	6	4	38	2.2	4.1	15.8	9.0	75
Will Cuylle	9	8	37	1.9	2.7	24.3	14.0	74
Sam Reinhart	16	15	58	2.6	2.7	27.6	16.0	72
Lars Eller	6	4	35	1.5	1.8	17.1	10.0	71
Evan Rodrigues	5	5	38	1.7	2.8	13.2	7.8	70
Anthony Cirelli	9	13	38	1.9	2.1	23.7	13.9	70
Brandon Montour	7	8	69	3.3	2.7	10.1	6.1	67
Tage Thompson	11	7	51	3.2	3.8	21.6	13.0	67
Brett Howden	8	1	39	1.8	1.4	20.5	12.4	65
Paul Cotter	7	5	32	1.3	1.7	21.9	13.2	65
Ryan Donato	8	3	48	2.5	2.1	16.7	10.1	65
Jonathan Huberdeau	7	5	35	1.6	2.1	20.0	12.3	62
Ross Colton	8	1	37	3.7	2.0	21.6	13.3	62
Shayne Gostisbehere	5	11	43	2.0	1.9	11.6	7.3	60
Connor McMichael	13	7	62	3.0	3.0	21.0	13.1	60
Craig Smith	5	3	33	1.7	2.2	15.2	9.5	59
Mason Marchment	7	13	37	1.9	2.5	18.9	12.0	58
Nick Foligno	6	3	34	1.6	2.0	17.7	11.3	56
Nico Hischier	13	11	65	2.7	2.9	20.0	12.8	56
Miro Heiskanen	4	5	47	2.4	2.7	8.5	5.5	55
Owen Power	3	12	37	1.8	1.6	8.1	5.3	54
Nino Niederreiter	9	6	46	2.1	2.3	19.6	12.7	54
Leo Carlsson	6	5	30	1.5	3.0	20.0	12.9	54
Adam Lowry	5	10	30	1.4	1.5	16.7	10.9	53
Hampus Lindholm	3	4	35	2.1	1.9	8.6	5.6	52
Kiefer Sherwood	6	6	41	2.1	3.5	14.6	9.6	52
Pius Suter	6	4	33	1.7	1.8	18.2	12.1	51
Noah Hanifin	3	9	40	1.8	2.2	7.5	5.0	50
Tim Stuetzle	9	16	45	2.1	2.7	20.0	13.3	50
Pavel Zacha	3	4	52	2.3	2.0	5.8	11.7	-51
Viktor Arvidsson	2	3	38	2.4	4.9	5.3	10.9	-52
Jesperi Kotkaniemi	2	10	41	2.0	1.6	4.9	10.1	-52
Taylor Hall	2	4	42	2.1	4.1	4.8	10.0	-53
Frank Vatrano	3	5	61	3.2	3.0	4.9	10.6	-54
Carter Verhaeghe	5	10	76	3.5	3.1	6.6	14.2	-54
Zach Hyman	3	5	51	2.6	3.5	5.9	13.4	-56
K'Andre Miller	1	3	31	1.6	1.3	3.2	7.4	-57
Wyatt Johnston	3	8	54	2.7	2.3	5.6	13.7	-59
Shea Theodore	1	16	44	2.1	3.4	2.3	5.5	-59
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins	2	7	44	2.0	2.6	4.6	11.9	-62
Oliver Ekman-Larsson	1	7	39	1.9	2.1	2.6	6.7	-62
Justin Faulk	1	4	46	2.0	2.5	2.2	5.7	-62
Adam Henrique	2	4	35	1.6	2.5	5.7	15.3	-63
Brent Burns	1	5	42	2.0	2.6	2.4	6.5	-64
Vasily Podkolzin	1	5	31	1.4	3.0	3.2	9.2	-65
Thomas Chabot	1	10	55	2.6	3.6	1.8	5.7	-68
Kirby Dach	1	7	37	1.8	3.3	2.7	8.7	-69
Morgan Geekie	1	3	30	1.7	1.6	3.3	10.8	-69
Alexander Holtz	1	7	32	1.5	2.3	3.1	10.7	-71
Jack Quinn	1	4	30	1.5	2.9	3.3	11.5	-71
Phillip Danault	1	9	34	1.5	2.2	2.9	10.0	-71
Noah Dobson	1	8	64	2.9	2.5	1.6	5.5	-72
Andre Burakovsky	1	8	30	1.4	2.7	3.3	13.5	-75
Ryan Pulock	0	7	35	1.6	2.2	0.0	4.6	-100
Jacob Trouba	0	6	42	2.1	2.4	0.0	4.4	-100
Nick Schmaltz	0	17	44	2.0	2.4	0.0	13.5	-100

Legend

G: Goals

A: Assists

S: Shots on goal

S/GP: Shots on goal per game

3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game

SH%: 2024-2025 shooting percentage

CSH%: Career shooting percentage

DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage

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Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters

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