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Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters

December 11, 2024   Left Wing Lock Staff   1 Comments

Introduction

Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

Player G A S S/GP 3YS/GP SH% CSH% DEV
Mikhail Sergachev 7 13 46 1.6 2.4 15.2 6.1 149
Aliaksei Protas 9 15 46 1.7 2.0 19.6 8.0 146
Jakob Chychrun 8 8 48 2.2 3.8 16.7 7.2 132
Rasmus Andersson 6 9 57 2.0 2.0 10.5 4.8 118
Colton Parayko 5 10 54 1.9 1.8 9.3 4.6 102
Brayden Point 18 12 49 2.2 3.0 36.7 18.9 94
Matt Duchene 12 17 46 1.7 2.7 26.1 13.5 93
Damon Severson 6 10 51 1.8 1.6 11.8 6.2 91
Tyler Seguin 9 11 43 2.3 2.7 20.9 11.2 87
Alex Ovechkin 15 10 63 3.5 4.2 23.8 13.0 84
Evan Rodrigues 7 8 49 1.7 2.8 14.3 7.9 82
Stefan Noesen 13 9 65 2.1 2.4 20.0 11.1 80
Pius Suter 11 6 49 1.9 1.8 22.5 12.6 78
Luke Kunin 8 4 42 1.4 1.9 19.1 10.9 75
Alex Laferriere 12 9 59 2.1 1.8 20.3 11.7 75
Jack Roslovic 13 4 60 2.1 1.9 21.7 12.5 74
Cole Caufield 17 8 77 2.8 4.3 22.1 12.8 73
Brett Howden 10 1 46 1.6 1.4 21.7 12.7 71
Jonathan Huberdeau 10 9 48 1.7 2.1 20.8 12.4 68
Martin Necas 14 29 70 2.5 2.8 20.0 12.2 64
Jordan Martinook 6 7 44 1.6 1.9 13.6 8.4 62
Morgan Rielly 4 11 53 1.9 2.7 7.6 4.7 60
Ross Colton 9 1 42 3.2 2.0 21.4 13.4 60
Alexander Wennberg 7 8 41 1.3 1.2 17.1 10.8 59
Matt Coronato 7 5 49 2.0 4.1 14.3 9.0 59
Kiefer Sherwood 8 6 51 1.9 3.5 15.7 9.9 58
Jake DeBrusk 13 9 65 2.4 2.8 20.0 12.9 56
Ivan Barbashev 13 15 47 1.7 1.5 27.7 17.9 55
Marco Rossi 10 14 49 1.8 2.9 20.4 13.2 54
Mason Marchment 12 15 63 2.4 2.5 19.1 12.3 54
Sam Reinhart 19 20 77 2.7 2.7 24.7 16.0 54
Nick Foligno 7 4 41 1.5 2.0 17.1 11.3 51
Brendan Gallagher 8 5 54 1.9 3.3 14.8 9.8 51
Luke Evangelista 2 9 47 1.7 3.4 4.3 9.2 -53
Nick Schmaltz 4 17 64 2.3 2.4 6.3 13.7 -54
Alexander Holtz 2 7 40 1.4 2.3 5.0 10.8 -54
Sam Malinski 1 3 41 1.4 4.8 2.4 5.6 -56
Phillip Danault 2 11 46 1.6 2.2 4.4 10.0 -57
Erik Karlsson 2 17 69 2.3 2.9 2.9 6.7 -57
Jake Sanderson 1 13 55 2.0 1.9 1.8 4.3 -58
Noah Dobson 2 13 89 3.0 2.5 2.3 5.5 -59
Justin Faulk 1 7 51 1.9 2.5 2.0 5.7 -66
Oliver Ekman-Larsson 1 9 48 1.7 2.1 2.1 6.7 -69
Aaron Ekblad 1 13 49 1.7 3.6 2.0 6.7 -69
Adam Henrique 2 7 46 1.6 2.5 4.4 15.2 -71
Thomas Chabot 1 12 65 2.4 3.6 1.5 5.7 -73
Jack Quinn 1 4 43 1.8 2.9 2.3 10.8 -78
Adam Fox 0 22 40 1.5 2.1 0.0 7.4 -100
Jacob Trouba 0 6 47 1.9 2.4 0.0 4.4 -100
Ryan Pulock 0 9 43 1.4 2.2 0.0 4.6 -100

Legend

G: Goals

A: Assists

S: Shots on goal

S/GP: Shots on goal per game

3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game

SH%: 2024-2025 shooting percentage

CSH%: Career shooting percentage

DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage

Comments (1)

  • December 11, 2024 11:41 am

    Still no Danny DeVito on the list? Why??

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