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Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters

January 1, 2025   Left Wing Lock Staff   0 Comments

Introduction

Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

Player G A S S/GP 3YS/GP SH% CSH% DEV
Aliaksei Protas 16 16 69 1.9 2.0 23.2 9.7 139
Artturi Lehkonen 14 6 58 2.2 3.0 24.1 11.1 118
Mikhail Sergachev 8 19 61 1.6 2.4 13.1 6.1 114
Jakob Chychrun 11 14 71 2.2 3.8 15.5 7.3 112
Joel Kiviranta 10 3 49 1.3 1.4 20.4 10.2 101
Eric Robinson 9 11 43 1.2 1.9 20.9 10.4 101
Mathieu Olivier 9 6 43 1.1 2.0 20.9 10.5 99
Anze Kopitar 12 27 46 1.3 2.1 26.1 13.2 98
Jonathan Huberdeau 16 13 65 1.8 2.1 24.6 12.6 95
Tyler Seguin 9 11 43 2.3 2.7 20.9 11.2 87
Keegan Kolesar 9 7 45 1.2 1.1 20.0 10.9 84
Valeri Nichushkin 11 6 52 2.5 4.3 21.2 11.6 83
Nick Paul 9 11 45 1.6 1.8 20.0 11.0 82
Brett Howden 15 4 61 1.6 1.4 24.6 13.5 82
Colton Parayko 6 15 73 1.9 1.8 8.2 4.6 79
Rasmus Andersson 6 10 71 1.9 2.0 8.5 4.8 78
Jack Roslovic 17 8 75 2.0 1.9 22.7 12.7 78
Noah Hanifin 6 12 67 1.8 2.2 9.0 5.1 75
Vladislav Namestnikov 9 10 41 1.1 1.4 22.0 12.7 73
Dmitry Kulikov 3 5 41 1.1 1.1 7.3 4.3 71
Brock Boeser 14 11 58 2.0 2.8 24.1 14.2 70
Alex Ovechkin 17 10 77 3.7 4.2 22.1 13.0 70
Brayden Point 23 20 72 2.4 3.0 31.9 19.0 68
Damon Severson 6 11 59 1.6 1.6 10.2 6.1 66
Kiefer Sherwood 12 7 69 1.9 3.5 17.4 10.6 64
Rickard Rakell 17 14 91 2.3 3.0 18.7 11.4 64
Ivan Barbashev 15 15 51 1.6 1.5 29.4 18.1 63
Matt Duchene 14 19 64 1.8 2.7 21.9 13.5 62
Stefan Noesen 16 11 89 2.2 2.4 18.0 11.1 61
Luke Kunin 10 6 58 1.5 1.9 17.2 10.9 58
Brendan Gallagher 10 7 65 1.8 3.3 15.4 9.9 56
Anthony Cirelli 14 18 64 1.9 2.1 21.9 14.1 55
Jake DeBrusk 16 11 81 2.3 2.8 19.8 12.9 53
Pius Suter 11 8 58 1.7 1.8 19.0 12.4 53
Charlie Coyle 10 3 57 1.5 1.7 17.5 11.6 52
Andrew Copp 7 8 42 1.1 1.9 16.7 11.1 51
Jordan Martinook 8 9 63 1.7 1.9 12.7 8.5 50
Connor Murphy 1 12 45 1.2 1.5 2.2 4.5 -51
Jan Rutta 1 4 45 1.1 1.3 2.2 4.5 -51
Christian Dvorak 3 9 48 1.3 2.3 6.3 12.8 -51
Ryan Hartman 4 4 81 2.5 3.0 4.9 10.3 -52
Erik Karlsson 3 23 94 2.4 2.9 3.2 6.7 -52
Arber Xhekaj 1 4 41 1.2 2.4 2.4 5.1 -52
Adam Larsson 1 6 52 1.4 1.6 1.9 4.1 -53
Andre Burakovsky 3 10 50 1.4 2.7 6.0 13.4 -55
Michael Carcone 3 6 49 1.8 3.0 6.1 14.2 -57
Thomas Chabot 2 15 83 2.3 3.6 2.4 5.7 -58
Aaron Ekblad 2 18 72 1.9 3.6 2.8 6.6 -58
Ryan Pulock 1 11 53 1.4 2.2 1.9 4.6 -59
Alexander Holtz 2 7 49 1.3 2.3 4.1 10.3 -60
Sam Malinski 1 4 57 1.5 4.8 1.8 4.5 -61
Carson Soucy 1 5 42 1.2 1.6 2.4 6.5 -64
Adam Henrique 3 7 57 1.5 2.5 5.3 15.2 -65
Oliver Ekman-Larsson 1 12 63 1.7 2.1 1.6 6.7 -76
Adam Fox 1 27 59 1.6 2.1 1.7 7.3 -77
Nils Lundkvist 0 3 41 1.5 1.9 0.0 3.8 -100
Jacob Trouba 0 7 60 1.7 2.4 0.0 4.4 -100

Legend

G: Goals

A: Assists

S: Shots on goal

S/GP: Shots on goal per game

3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game

SH%: 2024-2025 shooting percentage

CSH%: Career shooting percentage

DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage

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