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Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters

January 22, 2025   Left Wing Lock Staff   0 Comments

Introduction

Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

Player G A S S/GP 3YS/GP SH% CSH% DEV
Jake Evans 11 14 47 1.0 1.5 23.4 10.1 132
Aliaksei Protas 19 20 81 1.7 2.0 23.5 10.3 128
Colton Parayko 10 17 91 1.9 1.8 11.0 4.8 128
Artturi Lehkonen 18 8 80 2.2 3.0 22.5 11.2 101
Tyler Seguin 9 11 43 2.3 2.7 20.9 11.2 87
Mikhail Sergachev 8 22 72 1.6 2.4 11.1 6.0 84
Valeri Nichushkin 11 6 52 2.5 4.3 21.2 11.6 83
Jakob Chychrun 13 18 98 2.3 3.8 13.3 7.3 81
Joel Kiviranta 10 5 56 1.2 1.4 17.9 9.9 80
Zach Bogosian 4 6 53 1.1 1.9 7.6 4.2 80
Jonathan Huberdeau 18 14 79 1.8 2.1 22.8 12.6 80
Vince Dunn 8 12 59 2.1 2.1 13.6 7.6 79
Jamie Oleksiak 4 7 40 0.8 1.3 10.0 5.6 78
Cam Fowler 5 12 45 1.3 1.6 11.1 6.3 75
Mathieu Olivier 10 7 56 1.2 2.0 17.9 10.4 72
Nick Perbix 4 8 46 1.1 1.3 8.7 5.1 69
Keegan Kolesar 10 9 55 1.2 1.1 18.2 10.8 68
Rickard Rakell 23 17 122 2.5 3.0 18.9 11.5 64
Kevin Hayes 8 4 43 1.3 2.8 18.6 11.4 64
Eric Robinson 10 12 60 1.3 1.9 16.7 10.3 62
Anze Kopitar 12 31 57 1.3 2.1 21.1 13.1 61
Nick Paul 13 14 73 1.8 1.8 17.8 11.1 60
Vladislav Namestnikov 9 11 45 1.0 1.4 20.0 12.6 58
Matt Duchene 18 27 85 1.8 2.7 21.2 13.5 57
Ryan McLeod 10 14 48 1.1 1.5 20.8 13.2 57
Jason Zucker 16 19 82 1.8 3.1 19.5 12.6 55
Patrik Laine 12 5 52 2.7 5.8 23.1 15.0 54
Stefan Noesen 17 11 101 2.1 2.4 16.8 11.1 52
Adam Lowry 11 15 66 1.4 1.5 16.7 11.1 51
Erik Karlsson 4 28 121 2.5 2.9 3.3 6.6 -50
Justin Faulk 2 15 72 1.6 2.5 2.8 5.7 -51
Connor Murphy 1 12 45 1.2 1.5 2.2 4.5 -51
Jake Sanderson 2 23 101 2.1 1.9 2.0 4.1 -52
Patrick Maroon 2 9 41 1.0 1.2 4.9 10.6 -54
Phillip Danault 3 19 66 1.5 2.2 4.6 9.9 -54
K'Andre Miller 2 7 63 1.5 1.3 3.2 7.1 -55
Arber Xhekaj 1 4 46 1.0 2.4 2.2 4.9 -56
Josh Manson 1 11 47 1.3 2.2 2.1 4.9 -56
Ryan McDonagh 1 13 45 1.0 1.3 2.2 5.2 -57
Jake McCabe 1 12 45 1.2 1.2 2.2 5.3 -58
Andre Burakovsky 4 13 72 1.6 2.7 5.6 13.3 -58
Michael Carcone 3 6 50 1.7 3.0 6.0 14.2 -58
Martin Fehervary 1 10 41 0.9 1.4 2.4 6.1 -60
Aaron Ekblad 2 18 76 1.9 3.6 2.6 6.6 -60
Adam Fox 2 36 75 1.6 2.1 2.7 7.3 -63
Sam Malinski 1 4 63 1.4 4.8 1.6 4.3 -63
Carson Soucy 1 6 49 1.1 1.6 2.0 6.4 -68
Carl Grundstrom 1 4 43 1.3 2.5 2.3 9.8 -76
Jacob Trouba 0 9 73 1.6 2.4 0.0 4.3 -100
Nils Lundkvist 0 5 52 1.3 1.9 0.0 3.6 -100
Zemgus Girgensons 0 2 50 1.1 1.7 0.0 8.4 -100

Legend

G: Goals

A: Assists

S: Shots on goal

S/GP: Shots on goal per game

3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game

SH%: 2024-2025 shooting percentage

CSH%: Career shooting percentage

DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage

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