Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 50 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Nieto | 13 | 8 | 66 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 19.7 | 9.6 | 105 |
| Trevor Lewis | 14 | 11 | 116 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 12.1 | 6.1 | 97 |
| Brett Connolly | 14 | 9 | 61 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 23.0 | 12.8 | 79 |
| Carl Gunnarsson | 5 | 3 | 55 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 9.1 | 5.3 | 71 |
| William Karlsson | 36 | 26 | 154 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 23.4 | 14.0 | 67 |
| Danny DeKeyser | 5 | 3 | 52 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 9.6 | 5.8 | 66 |
| Eric Staal | 37 | 31 | 199 | 2.8 | 2.7 | 18.6 | 11.2 | 66 |
| Austin Watson | 12 | 3 | 82 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 14.6 | 9.1 | 61 |
| Torey Krug | 13 | 35 | 158 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 8.2 | 5.1 | 61 |
| Nathan MacKinnon | 33 | 49 | 227 | 3.7 | 3.5 | 14.5 | 9.3 | 56 |
| Nicolas Deslauriers | 7 | 4 | 63 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 11.1 | 7.1 | 56 |
| Barclay Goodrow | 6 | 4 | 50 | 1.3 | 27.3 | 12.0 | 7.8 | 54 |
| Jonas Brodin | 5 | 11 | 61 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 8.2 | 5.4 | 51 |
| Tom Wilson | 11 | 19 | 99 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 11.1 | 7.4 | 51 |
| Brent Burns | 10 | 43 | 280 | 4.1 | 3.7 | 3.6 | 7.1 | -50 |
| Matt Stajan | 4 | 6 | 63 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 6.3 | 12.7 | -50 |
| Dustin Byfuglien | 5 | 33 | 149 | 2.6 | 3.2 | 3.4 | 6.9 | -52 |
| Max Domi | 5 | 26 | 129 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 3.9 | 8.1 | -52 |
| Jakob Chychrun | 2 | 9 | 78 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 2.6 | 5.5 | -53 |
| Derek MacKenzie | 3 | 10 | 76 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 3.9 | 8.3 | -53 |
| Jacob Trouba | 3 | 17 | 129 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 5.1 | -54 |
| Tomas Plekanec | 6 | 18 | 131 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 4.6 | 9.9 | -54 |
| Andrew Cogliano | 7 | 19 | 147 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 4.8 | 10.6 | -55 |
| Jason Spezza | 7 | 18 | 121 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 5.8 | 13.0 | -56 |
| Jussi Jokinen | 3 | 6 | 59 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 5.1 | 11.9 | -57 |
| Brad Richardson | 3 | 10 | 88 | 1.4 | 2.5 | 3.4 | 8.1 | -58 |
| Ryan Callahan | 4 | 11 | 93 | 1.6 | 3.2 | 4.3 | 10.1 | -58 |
| Joakim Nordstrom | 2 | 2 | 87 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 5.9 | -61 |
| Marc Staal | 1 | 6 | 55 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 4.6 | -61 |
| Braydon Coburn | 1 | 10 | 64 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 3.9 | -61 |
| Brendan Smith | 1 | 7 | 66 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 3.9 | -61 |
| Cody Franson | 1 | 6 | 51 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 5.0 | -61 |
| Michael Cammalleri | 5 | 22 | 113 | 1.9 | 3.4 | 4.4 | 11.9 | -63 |
| Trevor van Riemsdyk | 1 | 10 | 91 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 3.3 | -67 |
| Connor Murphy | 1 | 9 | 85 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 3.8 | -69 |
| Jason Chimera | 2 | 9 | 72 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2.8 | 9.2 | -70 |
| Alexander Edler | 2 | 24 | 137 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 4.9 | -70 |
| Henrik Sedin | 2 | 41 | 56 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 3.6 | 13.0 | -72 |
| Duncan Keith | 1 | 28 | 165 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 4.4 | -86 |
| Tony DeAngelo | 0 | 8 | 68 | 2.1 | 3.2 | 0.0 | 3.9 | -100 |
| Brandon Carlo | 0 | 6 | 67 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 3.9 | -100 |
| Dylan DeMelo | 0 | 15 | 56 | 1.1 | 4.2 | 0.0 | 2.3 | -100 |
| Nick Jensen | 0 | 13 | 91 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.7 | -100 |
| Kevin Bieksa | 0 | 8 | 66 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 4.4 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2017-2018 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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