Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 50 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Lewis | 14 | 11 | 119 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 11.8 | 6.1 | 93 |
| Matt Nieto | 13 | 9 | 71 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 18.3 | 9.5 | 93 |
| Brett Connolly | 14 | 10 | 62 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 22.6 | 12.8 | 76 |
| Eric Staal | 39 | 32 | 208 | 2.8 | 2.7 | 18.8 | 11.2 | 67 |
| Carl Gunnarsson | 5 | 4 | 57 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 8.8 | 5.3 | 66 |
| Nicolas Deslauriers | 8 | 4 | 66 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 12.1 | 7.4 | 64 |
| William Karlsson | 39 | 27 | 166 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 23.5 | 14.3 | 64 |
| Andrew MacDonald | 6 | 11 | 73 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 8.2 | 5.1 | 60 |
| Austin Watson | 12 | 3 | 84 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 14.3 | 9.0 | 58 |
| Nathan MacKinnon | 38 | 53 | 251 | 3.9 | 3.5 | 15.1 | 9.6 | 58 |
| Barclay Goodrow | 7 | 5 | 53 | 1.2 | 27.3 | 13.2 | 8.4 | 57 |
| Danny DeKeyser | 5 | 4 | 57 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 8.8 | 5.7 | 53 |
| Matt Stajan | 4 | 7 | 63 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 6.3 | 12.7 | -50 |
| Zack Smith | 5 | 13 | 105 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 4.8 | 9.7 | -51 |
| Francois Beauchemin | 2 | 9 | 82 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 5.0 | -52 |
| Brent Burns | 10 | 48 | 290 | 4.0 | 3.7 | 3.4 | 7.1 | -52 |
| Jacob Trouba | 3 | 19 | 133 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 5.0 | -55 |
| Dustin Byfuglien | 5 | 34 | 160 | 2.6 | 3.2 | 3.1 | 6.9 | -55 |
| Fredrik Claesson | 1 | 6 | 50 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 4.4 | -55 |
| Jakob Chychrun | 2 | 9 | 86 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 5.2 | -56 |
| Tomas Plekanec | 6 | 18 | 137 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 4.4 | 9.9 | -56 |
| Derek MacKenzie | 3 | 11 | 82 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 3.7 | 8.2 | -56 |
| Jason Chimera | 3 | 10 | 74 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 4.1 | 9.3 | -56 |
| Andrew Cogliano | 7 | 20 | 154 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 4.5 | 10.6 | -57 |
| Alexander Edler | 3 | 25 | 144 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 2.1 | 4.9 | -58 |
| Jason Spezza | 7 | 18 | 129 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 5.4 | 13.0 | -58 |
| Jussi Jokinen | 3 | 6 | 60 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 5.0 | 11.9 | -58 |
| Ryan Callahan | 4 | 11 | 97 | 1.5 | 3.2 | 4.1 | 10.1 | -59 |
| Brad Richardson | 3 | 10 | 93 | 1.4 | 2.5 | 3.2 | 8.0 | -60 |
| Cody Franson | 1 | 6 | 51 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 5.0 | -61 |
| Brendan Smith | 1 | 7 | 66 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 3.9 | -61 |
| Braydon Coburn | 1 | 10 | 66 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3.9 | -62 |
| Michael Cammalleri | 5 | 22 | 114 | 1.8 | 3.4 | 4.4 | 11.9 | -63 |
| Joakim Nordstrom | 2 | 4 | 92 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 5.8 | -63 |
| Marc Staal | 1 | 7 | 60 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 4.6 | -64 |
| Connor Murphy | 1 | 10 | 93 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 3.7 | -71 |
| Henrik Sedin | 2 | 41 | 58 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 3.4 | 12.9 | -73 |
| Jannik Hansen | 1 | 9 | 50 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 11.0 | -82 |
| Duncan Keith | 1 | 30 | 172 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 4.4 | -87 |
| Nick Jensen | 0 | 13 | 95 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.6 | -100 |
| Kevin Bieksa | 0 | 8 | 66 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 4.4 | -100 |
| Dylan DeMelo | 0 | 18 | 58 | 1.1 | 4.2 | 0.0 | 2.3 | -100 |
| Tony DeAngelo | 0 | 8 | 68 | 2.1 | 3.2 | 0.0 | 3.9 | -100 |
| Brandon Carlo | 0 | 6 | 69 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 3.8 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2017-2018 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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