Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters | Fantasy Hockey Advice and Analysis | leftwinglock.com

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Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters

Introduction

Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 50 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

Shot Production and Shooting Percentage Data

Player G A S S/GP 3YS/GP SH% CSH% DEV
Trevor Lewis 14 11 119 2.0 2.1 11.8 6.1 93
Matt Nieto 13 9 71 1.1 1.9 18.3 9.5 93
Brett Connolly 14 10 62 1.0 1.7 22.6 12.8 76
Eric Staal 39 32 208 2.8 2.7 18.8 11.2 67
Carl Gunnarsson 5 4 57 0.9 0.9 8.8 5.3 66
Nicolas Deslauriers 8 4 66 1.3 1.1 12.1 7.4 64
William Karlsson 39 27 166 2.3 1.7 23.5 14.3 64
Andrew MacDonald 6 11 73 1.3 1.4 8.2 5.1 60
Austin Watson 12 3 84 1.2 1.3 14.3 9.0 58
Nathan MacKinnon 38 53 251 3.9 3.5 15.1 9.6 58
Barclay Goodrow 7 5 53 1.2 27.3 13.2 8.4 57
Danny DeKeyser 5 4 57 1.0 1.1 8.8 5.7 53
Matt Stajan 4 7 63 1.0 0.8 6.3 12.7 -50
Zack Smith 5 13 105 1.8 2.0 4.8 9.7 -51
Francois Beauchemin 2 9 82 1.4 1.8 2.4 5.0 -52
Brent Burns 10 48 290 4.0 3.7 3.4 7.1 -52
Jacob Trouba 3 19 133 2.6 2.4 2.3 5.0 -55
Dustin Byfuglien 5 34 160 2.6 3.2 3.1 6.9 -55
Fredrik Claesson 1 6 50 0.9 1.9 2.0 4.4 -55
Jakob Chychrun 2 9 86 2.0 1.5 2.3 5.2 -56
Tomas Plekanec 6 18 137 2.0 2.4 4.4 9.9 -56
Derek MacKenzie 3 11 82 1.2 1.1 3.7 8.2 -56
Jason Chimera 3 10 74 1.1 1.6 4.1 9.3 -56
Andrew Cogliano 7 20 154 2.2 1.8 4.5 10.6 -57
Alexander Edler 3 25 144 2.4 2.8 2.1 4.9 -58
Jason Spezza 7 18 129 1.8 2.7 5.4 13.0 -58
Jussi Jokinen 3 6 60 1.2 1.9 5.0 11.9 -58
Ryan Callahan 4 11 97 1.5 3.2 4.1 10.1 -59
Brad Richardson 3 10 93 1.4 2.5 3.2 8.0 -60
Cody Franson 1 6 51 2.2 1.8 2.0 5.0 -61
Brendan Smith 1 7 66 1.5 1.6 1.5 3.9 -61
Braydon Coburn 1 10 66 1.0 1.4 1.5 3.9 -62
Michael Cammalleri 5 22 114 1.8 3.4 4.4 11.9 -63
Joakim Nordstrom 2 4 92 1.4 1.5 2.2 5.8 -63
Marc Staal 1 7 60 1.0 1.1 1.7 4.6 -64
Connor Murphy 1 10 93 1.4 1.2 1.1 3.7 -71
Henrik Sedin 2 41 58 0.8 1.3 3.4 12.9 -73
Jannik Hansen 1 9 50 1.3 2.3 2.0 11.0 -82
Duncan Keith 1 30 172 2.3 2.3 0.6 4.4 -87
Nick Jensen 0 13 95 1.3 2.0 0.0 2.6 -100
Kevin Bieksa 0 8 66 1.1 1.6 0.0 4.4 -100
Dylan DeMelo 0 18 58 1.1 4.2 0.0 2.3 -100
Tony DeAngelo 0 8 68 2.1 3.2 0.0 3.9 -100
Brandon Carlo 0 6 69 1.0 1.1 0.0 3.8 -100
Legend
G
Goals
A
Assists
S
Shots on goal
S/GP
Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP
Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%
2017-2018 shooting percentage
CSH%
Career shooting percentage
DEV
Deviation from career shooting percentage