Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Rielly | 9 | 18 | 68 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 13.2 | 4.8 | 175 |
| Jeff Skinner | 19 | 8 | 81 | 3.2 | 3.4 | 23.5 | 11.2 | 109 |
| Max Domi | 11 | 15 | 56 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 19.6 | 10.0 | 96 |
| Elias Lindholm | 11 | 12 | 59 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 18.6 | 9.6 | 94 |
| Ryan O'Reilly | 12 | 14 | 58 | 2.6 | 2.8 | 20.7 | 11.0 | 88 |
| Mikael Granlund | 10 | 13 | 51 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 19.6 | 10.7 | 83 |
| Gabriel Landeskog | 14 | 12 | 69 | 2.9 | 2.5 | 20.3 | 11.2 | 81 |
| Brad Richardson | 6 | 3 | 41 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 14.6 | 8.2 | 79 |
| Matthew Tkachuk | 12 | 15 | 54 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 22.2 | 12.8 | 74 |
| Joe Pavelski | 15 | 4 | 72 | 2.9 | 2.8 | 20.8 | 12.2 | 71 |
| Carl Soderberg | 7 | 9 | 47 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 14.9 | 8.9 | 67 |
| Pontus Aberg | 6 | 4 | 40 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 15.0 | 9.0 | 66 |
| Timo Meier | 13 | 10 | 81 | 3.2 | 3.6 | 16.0 | 9.8 | 63 |
| T.J. Oshie | 9 | 5 | 40 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 22.5 | 13.8 | 63 |
| Damon Severson | 3 | 11 | 42 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 7.1 | 4.4 | 62 |
| Frank Vatrano | 7 | 1 | 45 | 2.1 | 4.2 | 15.6 | 9.6 | 61 |
| Nathan MacKinnon | 17 | 20 | 106 | 4.4 | 3.7 | 16.0 | 9.9 | 61 |
| Alex Ovechkin | 18 | 10 | 90 | 3.8 | 4.4 | 20.0 | 12.5 | 60 |
| Alex Tuch | 8 | 11 | 50 | 2.8 | 4.2 | 16.0 | 10.0 | 59 |
| Brayden Point | 18 | 14 | 68 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 26.5 | 16.7 | 58 |
| John Klingberg | 5 | 8 | 43 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 11.6 | 7.3 | 58 |
| Josh Bailey | 7 | 14 | 40 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 17.5 | 11.1 | 57 |
| John Carlson | 5 | 21 | 55 | 2.4 | 3.0 | 9.1 | 5.8 | 56 |
| Jake Virtanen | 8 | 4 | 61 | 2.3 | 3.2 | 13.1 | 8.4 | 56 |
| Keith Yandle | 4 | 16 | 55 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 7.3 | 4.6 | 56 |
| Tyler Johnson | 10 | 7 | 50 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 20.0 | 12.9 | 55 |
| Ryan Hartman | 7 | 4 | 43 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 16.3 | 10.5 | 55 |
| Jason Pominville | 9 | 9 | 56 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 16.1 | 10.6 | 51 |
| Matt Dumba | 10 | 8 | 78 | 3.3 | 2.0 | 12.8 | 8.5 | 51 |
| Dustin Byfuglien | 2 | 15 | 60 | 2.9 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 6.8 | -51 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 2 | 10 | 55 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 3.6 | 7.5 | -51 |
| Marc-Edouard Vlasic | 1 | 5 | 41 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 5.0 | -51 |
| Gustav Nyquist | 3 | 14 | 57 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 5.3 | 11.1 | -53 |
| Tyler Bozak | 3 | 8 | 49 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 6.1 | 13.5 | -55 |
| Miles Wood | 2 | 4 | 52 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 3.8 | 8.8 | -56 |
| Artturi Lehkonen | 2 | 10 | 54 | 2.2 | 2.7 | 3.7 | 8.5 | -57 |
| Erik Karlsson | 2 | 13 | 70 | 2.8 | 3.1 | 2.9 | 6.7 | -57 |
| James Neal | 3 | 2 | 61 | 2.5 | 3.3 | 4.9 | 11.9 | -59 |
| Erik Johnson | 1 | 7 | 49 | 2.0 | 3.3 | 2.0 | 5.0 | -59 |
| Rickard Rakell | 4 | 12 | 78 | 3.0 | 2.9 | 5.1 | 12.8 | -60 |
| Mark Giordano | 2 | 20 | 69 | 2.9 | 2.4 | 2.9 | 7.2 | -60 |
| Brendan Perlini | 2 | 4 | 41 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 4.9 | 12.6 | -61 |
| Ryan Pulock | 1 | 6 | 51 | 2.2 | 6.3 | 2.0 | 5.2 | -62 |
| Sami Vatanen | 1 | 9 | 49 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 5.7 | -64 |
| Kevin Shattenkirk | 1 | 7 | 47 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 6.3 | -66 |
| Tyler Myers | 1 | 3 | 41 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 2.4 | 7.1 | -66 |
| Oscar Klefbom | 1 | 10 | 81 | 3.4 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 3.9 | -68 |
| Nick Cousins | 1 | 5 | 48 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 8.0 | -74 |
| Ryan Ellis | 1 | 11 | 53 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 1.9 | 7.2 | -74 |
| Justin Faulk | 1 | 7 | 74 | 3.1 | 3.3 | 1.4 | 5.9 | -77 |
| Duncan Keith | 0 | 9 | 44 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 4.3 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2018-2019 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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