Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters | Fantasy Hockey Advice and Analysis | leftwinglock.com

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Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters

Introduction

Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

Shot Production and Shooting Percentage Data

Player G A S S/GP 3YS/GP SH% CSH% DEV
Morgan Rielly 9 18 68 2.7 2.3 13.2 4.8 175
Jeff Skinner 19 8 81 3.2 3.4 23.5 11.2 109
Max Domi 11 15 56 2.2 2.1 19.6 10.0 96
Elias Lindholm 11 12 59 2.5 2.1 18.6 9.6 94
Ryan O'Reilly 12 14 58 2.6 2.8 20.7 11.0 88
Mikael Granlund 10 13 51 2.1 2.3 19.6 10.7 83
Gabriel Landeskog 14 12 69 2.9 2.5 20.3 11.2 81
Brad Richardson 6 3 41 1.8 2.0 14.6 8.2 79
Matthew Tkachuk 12 15 54 2.3 2.6 22.2 12.8 74
Joe Pavelski 15 4 72 2.9 2.8 20.8 12.2 71
Carl Soderberg 7 9 47 2.0 1.9 14.9 8.9 67
Pontus Aberg 6 4 40 2.0 2.0 15.0 9.0 66
Timo Meier 13 10 81 3.2 3.6 16.0 9.8 63
T.J. Oshie 9 5 40 2.2 2.3 22.5 13.8 63
Damon Severson 3 11 42 1.8 1.6 7.1 4.4 62
Frank Vatrano 7 1 45 2.1 4.2 15.6 9.6 61
Nathan MacKinnon 17 20 106 4.4 3.7 16.0 9.9 61
Alex Ovechkin 18 10 90 3.8 4.4 20.0 12.5 60
Alex Tuch 8 11 50 2.8 4.2 16.0 10.0 59
Brayden Point 18 14 68 2.7 2.5 26.5 16.7 58
John Klingberg 5 8 43 2.7 2.2 11.6 7.3 58
Josh Bailey 7 14 40 1.7 1.8 17.5 11.1 57
John Carlson 5 21 55 2.4 3.0 9.1 5.8 56
Jake Virtanen 8 4 61 2.3 3.2 13.1 8.4 56
Keith Yandle 4 16 55 2.5 2.1 7.3 4.6 56
Tyler Johnson 10 7 50 2.1 2.5 20.0 12.9 55
Ryan Hartman 7 4 43 1.7 2.1 16.3 10.5 55
Jason Pominville 9 9 56 2.2 2.4 16.1 10.6 51
Matt Dumba 10 8 78 3.3 2.0 12.8 8.5 51
Dustin Byfuglien 2 15 60 2.9 3.2 3.3 6.8 -51
Oliver Ekman-Larsson 2 10 55 2.4 2.5 3.6 7.5 -51
Marc-Edouard Vlasic 1 5 41 1.6 2.1 2.4 5.0 -51
Gustav Nyquist 3 14 57 2.4 2.3 5.3 11.1 -53
Tyler Bozak 3 8 49 2.2 2.1 6.1 13.5 -55
Miles Wood 2 4 52 2.3 2.4 3.8 8.8 -56
Artturi Lehkonen 2 10 54 2.2 2.7 3.7 8.5 -57
Erik Karlsson 2 13 70 2.8 3.1 2.9 6.7 -57
James Neal 3 2 61 2.5 3.3 4.9 11.9 -59
Erik Johnson 1 7 49 2.0 3.3 2.0 5.0 -59
Rickard Rakell 4 12 78 3.0 2.9 5.1 12.8 -60
Mark Giordano 2 20 69 2.9 2.4 2.9 7.2 -60
Brendan Perlini 2 4 41 1.8 2.1 4.9 12.6 -61
Ryan Pulock 1 6 51 2.2 6.3 2.0 5.2 -62
Sami Vatanen 1 9 49 2.5 2.2 2.0 5.7 -64
Kevin Shattenkirk 1 7 47 2.0 2.7 2.1 6.3 -66
Tyler Myers 1 3 41 1.8 2.7 2.4 7.1 -66
Oscar Klefbom 1 10 81 3.4 3.5 1.2 3.9 -68
Nick Cousins 1 5 48 2.1 2.3 2.1 8.0 -74
Ryan Ellis 1 11 53 2.1 2.6 1.9 7.2 -74
Justin Faulk 1 7 74 3.1 3.3 1.4 5.9 -77
Duncan Keith 0 9 44 1.8 2.4 0.0 4.3 -100
Legend
G
Goals
A
Assists
S
Shots on goal
S/GP
Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP
Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%
2018-2019 shooting percentage
CSH%
Career shooting percentage
DEV
Deviation from career shooting percentage