Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters | Fantasy Hockey Advice and Analysis | leftwinglock.com

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Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters

Introduction

Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

Shot Production and Shooting Percentage Data

Player G A S S/GP 3YS/GP SH% CSH% DEV
Brad Richardson 16 5 98 2.0 2.0 16.3 8.7 89
Tom Wilson 18 15 101 2.1 1.3 17.8 9.5 88
Morgan Rielly 16 47 172 2.6 2.3 9.3 5.0 85
Casey Cizikas 18 11 89 1.5 1.4 20.2 11.2 81
Joe Pavelski 36 25 169 2.6 2.8 21.3 12.5 71
Tyler Ennis 12 5 69 1.7 3.0 17.4 10.2 71
Michael Frolik 13 10 96 2.0 2.8 13.5 8.1 68
Matt Niskanen 8 14 103 1.6 2.0 7.8 4.6 68
Brian Boyle 16 6 103 1.7 1.9 15.5 9.3 67
Damon Severson 9 24 111 1.7 1.6 8.1 5.0 63
Ron Hainsey 4 15 58 0.9 1.2 6.9 4.2 63
Tomas Hertl 29 29 140 2.3 2.7 20.7 12.8 62
David Perron 17 18 85 1.9 2.1 20.0 12.4 61
Garnet Hathaway 7 3 59 1.0 2.0 11.9 7.5 58
Valtteri Filppula 13 13 61 1.0 1.2 21.3 13.6 57
Jared McCann 14 12 108 1.7 2.6 13.0 8.2 57
Danny DeKeyser 4 10 41 1.1 1.1 9.8 6.2 57
Elias Lindholm 26 46 163 2.5 2.1 16.0 10.2 56
Nikita Zadorov 7 4 77 1.4 1.8 9.1 5.9 55
Viktor Arvidsson 28 10 152 3.4 3.4 18.4 12.1 52
Matt Duchene 28 33 142 2.5 2.5 19.7 13.0 52
Alex Chiasson 18 11 94 1.6 1.3 19.1 12.7 51
TJ Brodie 8 23 85 1.3 1.3 9.4 6.3 50
Carl Hagelin 3 6 77 1.8 2.4 3.9 8.0 -51
Noel Acciari 3 5 76 1.3 1.8 3.9 8.2 -52
Jake Gardiner 2 27 75 1.3 1.6 2.7 5.6 -53
Andrew Cogliano 4 10 88 1.4 2.0 4.5 10.4 -56
Alexander Wennberg 2 21 55 0.9 1.5 3.6 8.3 -56
David Backes 5 9 97 1.8 2.8 5.2 11.6 -56
Michael Del Zotto 1 6 40 1.1 2.3 2.5 6.0 -58
Pat Maroon 4 13 93 1.6 2.0 4.3 10.9 -61
Nick Leddy 2 19 88 1.3 1.7 2.3 6.2 -63
Jean-Gabriel Pageau 2 5 60 2.4 1.9 3.3 9.4 -64
James Neal 5 10 122 2.2 3.3 4.1 11.6 -65
Ian Cole 1 10 66 1.2 1.3 1.5 4.3 -65
Drew Stafford 2 6 56 1.3 2.6 3.6 10.5 -66
Jaden Schwartz 6 22 142 2.7 3.3 4.2 12.3 -66
Ryan Murray 1 28 71 1.3 1.3 1.4 4.1 -66
Olli Maatta 1 12 65 1.2 1.9 1.5 4.7 -67
Jack Johnson 1 12 67 1.0 1.5 1.5 5.0 -70
Kevin Shattenkirk 2 20 116 2.0 2.7 1.7 6.0 -71
Deryk Engelland 1 7 82 1.4 1.3 1.2 4.3 -72
Marc-Edouard Vlasic 1 13 74 1.3 2.1 1.4 4.8 -72
Erik Karlsson 3 42 167 3.2 3.1 1.8 6.4 -72
Dion Phaneuf 1 4 67 1.2 2.0 1.5 5.5 -73
Kevin Connauton 1 7 69 1.5 2.2 1.4 6.0 -76
Riley Nash 1 7 63 1.0 1.6 1.6 9.1 -83
Tobias Rieder 0 11 74 1.4 2.0 0.0 7.6 -100
Legend
G
Goals
A
Assists
S
Shots on goal
S/GP
Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP
Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%
2018-2019 shooting percentage
CSH%
Career shooting percentage
DEV
Deviation from career shooting percentage