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Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters

March 6, 2019   Left Wing Lock Staff   0 Comments


Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

Brad Richardson165982.
Tom Wilson18151012.11.317.89.588
Morgan Rielly16471722.
Casey Cizikas1811891.51.420.211.281
Joe Pavelski36251692.62.821.312.571
Tyler Ennis125691.73.017.410.271
Michael Frolik1310962.02.813.58.168
Matt Niskanen8141031.
Brian Boyle1661031.71.915.59.367
Damon Severson9241111.
Ron Hainsey415580.
Tomas Hertl29291402.32.720.712.862
David Perron1718851.
Garnet Hathaway73591.
Valtteri Filppula1313611.01.221.313.657
Jared McCann14121081.72.613.08.257
Danny DeKeyser410411.
Elias Lindholm26461632.
Nikita Zadorov74771.
Viktor Arvidsson28101523.43.418.412.152
Matt Duchene28331422.52.519.713.052
Alex Chiasson1811941.61.319.112.751
TJ Brodie823851.
Carl Hagelin36771.
Noel Acciari35761.
Jake Gardiner227751.
Andrew Cogliano410881.42.04.510.4-56
Alexander Wennberg221550.
David Backes59971.
Michael Del Zotto16401.
Pat Maroon413931.62.04.310.9-61
Nick Leddy219881.
Jean-Gabriel Pageau25602.
James Neal5101222.
Ian Cole110661.
Drew Stafford26561.32.63.610.5-66
Jaden Schwartz6221422.
Ryan Murray128711.
Olli Maatta112651.
Jack Johnson112671.
Kevin Shattenkirk2201162.
Deryk Engelland17821.
Marc-Edouard Vlasic113741.
Erik Karlsson3421673.
Dion Phaneuf14671.
Kevin Connauton17691.
Riley Nash17631.
Tobias Rieder011741.


G: Goals

A: Assists

S: Shots on goal

S/GP: Shots on goal per game

3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game

SH%: 2018-2019 shooting percentage

CSH%: Career shooting percentage

DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage

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