Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 50 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Grant | 14 | 6 | 76 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 18.4 | 9.6 | 92 |
| Pierre-Edouard Bellemare | 8 | 12 | 66 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 12.1 | 6.5 | 87 |
| Scott Laughton | 10 | 8 | 60 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 16.7 | 9.2 | 82 |
| Noel Acciari | 19 | 5 | 84 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 22.6 | 12.7 | 78 |
| Zach Hyman | 18 | 15 | 87 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 20.7 | 11.9 | 74 |
| Jean-Gabriel Pageau | 24 | 16 | 130 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 18.5 | 10.8 | 71 |
| Marc-Edouard Vlasic | 5 | 8 | 60 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 8.3 | 5.0 | 65 |
| Ryan Suter | 7 | 32 | 93 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 7.5 | 4.6 | 65 |
| Zemgus Girgensons | 10 | 5 | 75 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 13.3 | 8.2 | 62 |
| Elias Lindholm | 27 | 21 | 150 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 18.0 | 11.2 | 60 |
| Lawson Crouse | 14 | 9 | 94 | 1.6 | 2.8 | 14.9 | 9.6 | 55 |
| T.J. Oshie | 24 | 20 | 109 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 22.0 | 14.4 | 53 |
| Jack Eichel | 33 | 42 | 201 | 3.4 | 4.7 | 16.4 | 10.8 | 52 |
| Kris Letang | 14 | 26 | 152 | 3.0 | 3.9 | 9.2 | 6.0 | 52 |
| Jason Zucker | 17 | 16 | 89 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 19.1 | 12.7 | 50 |
| Jonas Brodin | 2 | 22 | 85 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 2.4 | 4.7 | -50 |
| Charlie McAvoy | 3 | 21 | 88 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 3.4 | 7.0 | -51 |
| Tyson Barrie | 5 | 28 | 156 | 2.6 | 2.9 | 3.2 | 6.6 | -51 |
| Thomas Chabot | 5 | 28 | 158 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 3.2 | 6.4 | -51 |
| Mark Giordano | 5 | 22 | 143 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 7.2 | -51 |
| Justin Schultz | 2 | 6 | 69 | 2.0 | 2.6 | 2.9 | 6.3 | -54 |
| Jordie Benn | 1 | 6 | 55 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 4.0 | -55 |
| Adam Erne | 2 | 2 | 59 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 3.4 | 7.6 | -55 |
| Nick Foligno | 6 | 18 | 118 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 5.1 | 11.5 | -56 |
| Jay Bouwmeester | 1 | 8 | 53 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 4.4 | -57 |
| Deryk Engelland | 1 | 5 | 59 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 4.1 | -59 |
| Josh Manson | 1 | 5 | 54 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 4.5 | -59 |
| Frans Nielsen | 3 | 4 | 74 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 4.1 | 10.0 | -60 |
| Austin Wagner | 4 | 5 | 111 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 3.6 | 9.0 | -60 |
| Matt Dumba | 4 | 16 | 143 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 7.6 | -63 |
| Justin Holl | 1 | 14 | 79 | 1.3 | 4.1 | 1.3 | 3.4 | -63 |
| Mikko Koivu | 2 | 13 | 60 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 3.3 | 9.0 | -63 |
| Andrew Cogliano | 2 | 11 | 57 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 10.2 | -65 |
| Colin Miller | 1 | 10 | 69 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 4.4 | -67 |
| Hampus Lindholm | 2 | 20 | 99 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 6.1 | -67 |
| TJ Brodie | 1 | 15 | 54 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 5.9 | -69 |
| Duncan Keith | 1 | 14 | 83 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 4.3 | -72 |
| Jamie Oleksiak | 1 | 6 | 69 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 5.3 | -73 |
| Erik Johnson | 1 | 9 | 80 | 1.7 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 4.9 | -74 |
| Alec Martinez | 1 | 7 | 59 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 7.0 | -76 |
| Joe Thornton | 2 | 23 | 61 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 3.3 | 13.9 | -76 |
| Josh Anderson | 1 | 3 | 63 | 2.4 | 2.7 | 1.6 | 10.5 | -85 |
| David Savard | 0 | 8 | 80 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 4.9 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2019-2020 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
Comments (0)
Leave a comment
In order to leave a comment, you must be a registered user at our website and logged in.