Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Johansen | 20 | 34 | 99 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 20.2 | 11.5 | 76 |
| Marcus Foligno | 20 | 16 | 85 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 23.5 | 13.6 | 74 |
| Sean Kuraly | 12 | 15 | 111 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 10.8 | 6.3 | 72 |
| Filip Forsberg | 38 | 32 | 171 | 3.1 | 4.1 | 22.2 | 13.1 | 69 |
| Adam Boqvist | 11 | 10 | 56 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 19.6 | 11.7 | 68 |
| Gabriel Landeskog | 30 | 29 | 150 | 2.9 | 3.5 | 20.0 | 12.2 | 64 |
| Brock Nelson | 33 | 17 | 143 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 23.1 | 14.2 | 63 |
| Vinnie Hinostroza | 11 | 12 | 79 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 13.9 | 8.7 | 60 |
| Alexandre Texier | 11 | 9 | 59 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 18.6 | 11.6 | 60 |
| Evander Kane | 16 | 12 | 103 | 3.2 | 3.7 | 15.5 | 9.9 | 57 |
| Brandon Tanev | 9 | 6 | 51 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 17.7 | 11.3 | 57 |
| Dylan Larkin | 30 | 35 | 193 | 3.0 | 3.7 | 15.5 | 9.9 | 56 |
| Nick Schmaltz | 21 | 28 | 97 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 21.7 | 14.0 | 55 |
| Mike Matheson | 11 | 17 | 113 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 9.7 | 6.3 | 55 |
| Brayden Schenn | 20 | 28 | 96 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 20.8 | 13.5 | 54 |
| Samuel Girard | 5 | 22 | 65 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 7.7 | 5.0 | 54 |
| Jack Hughes | 26 | 30 | 165 | 3.4 | 2.4 | 15.8 | 10.2 | 54 |
| Torey Krug | 8 | 27 | 105 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 7.6 | 5.0 | 53 |
| Anthony Duclair | 28 | 24 | 133 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 21.1 | 13.8 | 53 |
| Pierre-Edouard Bellemare | 7 | 10 | 61 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 11.5 | 7.6 | 51 |
| Matt Duchene | 36 | 36 | 182 | 2.8 | 2.7 | 19.8 | 13.1 | 50 |
| Erik Gustafsson | 2 | 14 | 66 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 6.3 | -52 |
| Justin Schultz | 2 | 13 | 74 | 1.2 | 2.8 | 2.7 | 5.9 | -54 |
| Phil Kessel | 7 | 36 | 143 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 4.9 | 10.9 | -55 |
| Jakub Voracek | 5 | 46 | 126 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 4.0 | 8.9 | -55 |
| Jakob Silfverberg | 5 | 16 | 120 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 4.2 | 9.4 | -56 |
| Olli Maatta | 1 | 6 | 56 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 4.1 | -57 |
| Zack MacEwen | 2 | 5 | 71 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2.8 | 6.6 | -57 |
| Jack Johnson | 1 | 7 | 49 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 4.9 | -58 |
| Riley Sheahan | 2 | 10 | 57 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 3.5 | 8.9 | -60 |
| Robert Hagg | 1 | 8 | 54 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 4.7 | -60 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 4 | 17 | 150 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.7 | 7.0 | -62 |
| Max Comtois | 3 | 9 | 63 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 4.8 | 13.1 | -64 |
| Alexander Radulov | 4 | 17 | 87 | 1.4 | 3.8 | 4.6 | 12.9 | -64 |
| Dante Fabbro | 1 | 17 | 71 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 4.0 | -64 |
| Erik Cernak | 1 | 7 | 75 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 4.1 | -67 |
| Duncan Keith | 1 | 18 | 71 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 4.2 | -67 |
| Ryan Getzlaf | 3 | 28 | 95 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 3.2 | 11.1 | -71 |
| John Marino | 1 | 23 | 77 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5.2 | -75 |
| Jamie Oleksiak | 1 | 14 | 77 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5.3 | -76 |
| Loui Eriksson | 2 | 15 | 67 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 3.0 | 12.6 | -76 |
| Joonas Donskoi | 2 | 16 | 76 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2.6 | 11.1 | -76 |
| Keith Yandle | 1 | 14 | 96 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 4.3 | -76 |
| Joel Kiviranta | 1 | 5 | 53 | 1.1 | 2.6 | 1.9 | 8.2 | -77 |
| Nick Foligno | 2 | 9 | 84 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 11.1 | -79 |
| Tyler Myers | 1 | 14 | 109 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 6.2 | -85 |
| Gavin Bayreuther | 0 | 8 | 43 | 1.1 | 11.2 | 0.0 | 3.6 | -100 |
| Danny DeKeyser | 0 | 8 | 54 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 5.7 | -100 |
| Matt Benning | 0 | 11 | 55 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 3.9 | -100 |
| Zdeno Chara | 0 | 10 | 67 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 6.1 | -100 |
| Josh Brown | 0 | 6 | 43 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 3.1 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2021-2022 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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