Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Johansen | 23 | 34 | 107 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 21.5 | 11.6 | 85 |
| Marcus Foligno | 21 | 16 | 87 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 24.1 | 13.6 | 77 |
| Sean Kuraly | 12 | 16 | 112 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 10.7 | 6.3 | 71 |
| Jakub Vrana | 10 | 4 | 42 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 23.8 | 14.4 | 66 |
| Gabriel Landeskog | 30 | 29 | 150 | 2.9 | 3.5 | 20.0 | 12.2 | 64 |
| Adam Boqvist | 11 | 10 | 58 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 19.0 | 11.6 | 64 |
| Torey Krug | 9 | 28 | 110 | 1.9 | 2.7 | 8.2 | 5.0 | 63 |
| Pierre-Edouard Bellemare | 8 | 10 | 64 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 12.5 | 7.7 | 62 |
| Alexandre Texier | 11 | 9 | 59 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 18.6 | 11.6 | 60 |
| Victor Rask | 7 | 9 | 42 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 16.7 | 10.5 | 59 |
| Brock Nelson | 33 | 19 | 148 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 22.3 | 14.1 | 58 |
| Filip Forsberg | 38 | 34 | 185 | 3.1 | 4.1 | 20.5 | 13.0 | 58 |
| Nick Schmaltz | 23 | 29 | 102 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 22.6 | 14.2 | 58 |
| Brandon Tanev | 9 | 6 | 51 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 17.7 | 11.3 | 57 |
| Vinnie Hinostroza | 11 | 12 | 83 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 13.3 | 8.6 | 54 |
| Jack Hughes | 26 | 30 | 165 | 3.4 | 2.4 | 15.8 | 10.2 | 54 |
| Dylan Larkin | 31 | 37 | 202 | 3.0 | 3.7 | 15.4 | 10.0 | 54 |
| Justin Faulk | 13 | 27 | 141 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 9.2 | 6.1 | 52 |
| Brayden Schenn | 21 | 31 | 102 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 20.6 | 13.5 | 52 |
| Samuel Girard | 5 | 22 | 66 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 7.6 | 5.0 | 52 |
| Dylan Gambrell | 2 | 3 | 49 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 4.1 | 8.2 | -50 |
| Alex Goligoski | 2 | 27 | 72 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 2.8 | 5.6 | -51 |
| Erik Gustafsson | 2 | 15 | 71 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 2.8 | 6.3 | -55 |
| Jakub Voracek | 5 | 47 | 126 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 4.0 | 8.9 | -55 |
| Justin Schultz | 2 | 16 | 76 | 1.2 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 5.9 | -55 |
| Jakob Silfverberg | 5 | 16 | 120 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 4.2 | 9.4 | -56 |
| Zack MacEwen | 2 | 5 | 71 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2.8 | 6.6 | -57 |
| Phil Kessel | 7 | 37 | 153 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 4.6 | 10.8 | -58 |
| Olli Maatta | 1 | 6 | 58 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4.1 | -58 |
| Riley Sheahan | 2 | 11 | 58 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 3.5 | 8.8 | -61 |
| Jack Johnson | 1 | 7 | 53 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 4.9 | -61 |
| Robert Hagg | 1 | 8 | 55 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 4.6 | -61 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 4 | 20 | 157 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 7.0 | -64 |
| Max Comtois | 3 | 9 | 67 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 4.5 | 12.9 | -65 |
| Alexander Radulov | 4 | 17 | 90 | 1.4 | 3.8 | 4.4 | 12.9 | -65 |
| Dante Fabbro | 1 | 18 | 75 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 3.9 | -66 |
| Duncan Keith | 1 | 18 | 73 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 4.2 | -67 |
| Erik Cernak | 1 | 7 | 80 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 4.0 | -69 |
| Ryan Getzlaf | 3 | 28 | 97 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 3.1 | 11.1 | -72 |
| John Marino | 1 | 23 | 81 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 5.1 | -76 |
| Jamie Oleksiak | 1 | 14 | 80 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5.3 | -76 |
| Keith Yandle | 1 | 14 | 96 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 4.3 | -76 |
| Joonas Donskoi | 2 | 17 | 80 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2.5 | 11.1 | -77 |
| Joel Kiviranta | 1 | 5 | 54 | 1.1 | 2.6 | 1.9 | 8.2 | -77 |
| Loui Eriksson | 2 | 15 | 69 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 2.9 | 12.6 | -77 |
| Nick Foligno | 2 | 10 | 85 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 11.1 | -79 |
| Tyler Myers | 1 | 15 | 116 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 6.2 | -86 |
| Josh Brown | 0 | 6 | 44 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 3.1 | -100 |
| Matt Benning | 0 | 11 | 55 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 3.9 | -100 |
| Gavin Bayreuther | 0 | 8 | 43 | 1.1 | 11.2 | 0.0 | 3.6 | -100 |
| Danny DeKeyser | 0 | 8 | 54 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 5.7 | -100 |
| Zdeno Chara | 0 | 10 | 74 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 6.1 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2021-2022 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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