Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 30 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Mayfield | 4 | 2 | 30 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 13.3 | 4.6 | 189 |
| Nicholas Paul | 8 | 5 | 36 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 22.2 | 8.7 | 156 |
| Torey Krug | 4 | 4 | 31 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 12.9 | 5.1 | 151 |
| Erik Karlsson | 11 | 18 | 68 | 3.2 | 2.9 | 16.2 | 6.8 | 140 |
| Adam Fox | 6 | 17 | 39 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 15.4 | 7.1 | 117 |
| Nick Suzuki | 11 | 12 | 42 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 26.2 | 12.6 | 108 |
| Mikhail Sergachev | 4 | 14 | 33 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 12.1 | 5.9 | 106 |
| Jared McCann | 7 | 3 | 32 | 2.1 | 2.8 | 21.9 | 10.9 | 101 |
| Nikita Zadorov | 4 | 2 | 38 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 10.5 | 5.3 | 100 |
| Lawson Crouse | 7 | 2 | 32 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 21.9 | 11.1 | 98 |
| Alex Tuch | 10 | 9 | 48 | 2.5 | 3.6 | 20.8 | 10.6 | 97 |
| Filip Hronek | 4 | 10 | 40 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 10.0 | 5.2 | 94 |
| Brock McGinn | 6 | 3 | 30 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 20.0 | 10.4 | 92 |
| Rasmus Dahlin | 8 | 15 | 66 | 3.7 | 2.1 | 12.1 | 6.3 | 92 |
| Nino Niederreiter | 9 | 2 | 36 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 25.0 | 13.0 | 92 |
| Clayton Keller | 7 | 11 | 34 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 20.6 | 11.1 | 86 |
| Charlie Coyle | 6 | 3 | 30 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 20.0 | 10.9 | 84 |
| Hampus Lindholm | 4 | 14 | 37 | 1.9 | 2.8 | 10.8 | 5.9 | 84 |
| Darnell Nurse | 3 | 8 | 34 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 8.8 | 4.9 | 79 |
| Logan Couture | 10 | 7 | 44 | 2.1 | 2.8 | 22.7 | 12.8 | 77 |
| William Carrier | 6 | 3 | 42 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 14.3 | 8.2 | 75 |
| Trevor Lewis | 4 | 2 | 39 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 10.3 | 6.0 | 70 |
| Owen Tippett | 6 | 4 | 40 | 2.9 | 2.5 | 15.0 | 8.9 | 68 |
| Joe Pavelski | 9 | 12 | 42 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 21.4 | 12.8 | 68 |
| Jeff Petry | 3 | 5 | 30 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 10.0 | 6.0 | 67 |
| Andrei Svechnikov | 13 | 7 | 64 | 3.4 | 3.0 | 20.3 | 12.3 | 66 |
| Bo Horvat | 15 | 6 | 67 | 3.5 | 2.8 | 22.4 | 13.6 | 65 |
| Blake Lizotte | 5 | 1 | 32 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 15.6 | 9.5 | 65 |
| Justin Schultz | 3 | 7 | 30 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 10.0 | 6.1 | 64 |
| Claude Giroux | 8 | 10 | 44 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 18.2 | 11.2 | 62 |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 9 | 12 | 48 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 18.8 | 11.7 | 61 |
| Evan Rodrigues | 6 | 3 | 48 | 2.8 | 3.0 | 12.5 | 7.9 | 59 |
| J.T. Miller | 10 | 8 | 43 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 23.3 | 14.7 | 58 |
| Eetu Luostarinen | 6 | 4 | 34 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 17.7 | 11.2 | 58 |
| Noah Dobson | 6 | 8 | 59 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 10.2 | 6.5 | 57 |
| John Carlson | 5 | 6 | 49 | 3.5 | 2.7 | 10.2 | 6.5 | 56 |
| Thomas Chabot | 3 | 3 | 34 | 2.4 | 3.1 | 8.8 | 5.7 | 55 |
| Jamie Benn | 8 | 12 | 41 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 19.5 | 13.0 | 50 |
| Brock Boeser | 2 | 10 | 31 | 2.4 | 3.1 | 6.5 | 13.0 | -50 |
| Patrick Kane | 3 | 11 | 53 | 2.9 | 3.7 | 5.7 | 11.6 | -51 |
| Tanner Jeannot | 3 | 1 | 36 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 8.3 | 17.5 | -52 |
| Noah Hanifin | 1 | 6 | 50 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 4.4 | -55 |
| Kris Letang | 1 | 10 | 38 | 2.1 | 2.9 | 2.6 | 5.8 | -55 |
| Drew Doughty | 1 | 10 | 38 | 1.7 | 2.7 | 2.6 | 6.0 | -56 |
| Aleksander Barkov | 4 | 11 | 69 | 3.8 | 3.5 | 5.8 | 13.9 | -58 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 1 | 6 | 34 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 2.9 | 6.9 | -58 |
| Yanni Gourde | 2 | 7 | 32 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 6.3 | 15.1 | -59 |
| Ivan Provorov | 1 | 7 | 41 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 6.0 | -59 |
| Victor Hedman | 1 | 9 | 37 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 7.0 | -61 |
| Corey Perry | 2 | 3 | 40 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 5.0 | 12.7 | -61 |
| Mathew Barzal | 2 | 20 | 51 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 3.9 | 10.7 | -63 |
| Patric Hornqvist | 1 | 1 | 30 | 1.9 | 3.8 | 3.3 | 9.4 | -65 |
| Alexis Lafreniere | 2 | 7 | 38 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 5.3 | 15.3 | -66 |
| Evgeny Kuznetsov | 2 | 12 | 54 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 3.7 | 11.4 | -68 |
| Alexander Kerfoot | 1 | 5 | 32 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 3.1 | 12.9 | -76 |
| Anton Lundell | 1 | 8 | 46 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 11.1 | -80 |
| Erik Haula | 1 | 6 | 46 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 11.9 | -82 |
| Oliver Bjorkstrand | 1 | 8 | 55 | 3.1 | 3.2 | 1.8 | 11.4 | -84 |
| Derek Stepan | 0 | 1 | 32 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 9.2 | -100 |
| Teuvo Teravainen | 0 | 7 | 32 | 2.3 | 3.2 | 0.0 | 9.9 | -100 |
| Evan Bouchard | 0 | 6 | 41 | 2.2 | 3.8 | 0.0 | 5.1 | -100 |
| Morgan Rielly | 0 | 16 | 34 | 1.7 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 4.7 | -100 |
| Jacob Trouba | 0 | 5 | 60 | 3.0 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 4.6 | -100 |
| Brett Pesce | 0 | 3 | 33 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 4.1 | -100 |
| K'Andre Miller | 0 | 6 | 34 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 6.1 | -100 |
| MacKenzie Weegar | 0 | 5 | 35 | 1.9 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 4.9 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2022-2023 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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