Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Paul | 13 | 8 | 58 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 22.4 | 9.3 | 141 |
| Jared McCann | 16 | 6 | 61 | 2.1 | 2.8 | 26.2 | 11.5 | 128 |
| Sean Kuraly | 7 | 3 | 50 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 14.0 | 7.1 | 97 |
| Erik Karlsson | 13 | 33 | 101 | 2.9 | 2.9 | 12.9 | 6.7 | 91 |
| Barclay Goodrow | 8 | 10 | 45 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 17.8 | 9.6 | 86 |
| Filip Hronek | 7 | 18 | 69 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 10.1 | 5.4 | 86 |
| Josh Morrissey | 6 | 33 | 54 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 11.1 | 6.1 | 84 |
| Brock McGinn | 10 | 5 | 51 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 19.6 | 10.7 | 83 |
| Michael Stone | 4 | 4 | 47 | 1.9 | 5.9 | 8.5 | 4.7 | 82 |
| Nick Suzuki | 15 | 16 | 65 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 23.1 | 12.8 | 80 |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 18 | 23 | 88 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 20.5 | 11.9 | 72 |
| Mikhail Sergachev | 5 | 22 | 50 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 10.0 | 5.9 | 70 |
| Trent Frederic | 6 | 7 | 40 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 15.0 | 8.8 | 70 |
| Nick Ritchie | 7 | 6 | 40 | 1.4 | 2.3 | 17.5 | 10.3 | 69 |
| Noel Acciari | 9 | 4 | 46 | 1.4 | 2.7 | 19.6 | 11.7 | 67 |
| Bo Horvat | 24 | 11 | 104 | 3.2 | 2.8 | 23.1 | 13.9 | 66 |
| David Krejci | 10 | 16 | 48 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 20.8 | 12.6 | 65 |
| Trevor Lewis | 7 | 5 | 70 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 10.0 | 6.1 | 64 |
| Thomas Chabot | 7 | 12 | 73 | 2.5 | 3.1 | 9.6 | 5.9 | 63 |
| Rasmus Dahlin | 10 | 27 | 97 | 3.1 | 2.1 | 10.3 | 6.3 | 63 |
| Brady Skjei | 6 | 9 | 79 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 7.6 | 4.7 | 62 |
| Ilya Mikheyev | 11 | 7 | 60 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 18.3 | 11.4 | 61 |
| Shayne Gostisbehere | 8 | 16 | 69 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 11.6 | 7.3 | 60 |
| Filip Chytil | 8 | 9 | 54 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 14.8 | 9.4 | 58 |
| Ryan Johansen | 9 | 9 | 48 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 18.8 | 11.9 | 57 |
| Morgan Frost | 7 | 7 | 54 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 13.0 | 8.2 | 57 |
| Jordan Staal | 10 | 8 | 55 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 18.2 | 11.6 | 57 |
| Nico Sturm | 9 | 2 | 43 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 20.9 | 13.4 | 57 |
| Daniel Sprong | 10 | 9 | 53 | 2.1 | 3.9 | 18.9 | 12.0 | 57 |
| Ian Cole | 3 | 9 | 45 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 6.7 | 4.3 | 56 |
| Alex Tuch | 15 | 20 | 91 | 2.8 | 3.6 | 16.5 | 10.6 | 55 |
| Jeff Skinner | 16 | 20 | 93 | 3.2 | 3.1 | 17.2 | 11.1 | 55 |
| Jan Rutta | 3 | 3 | 43 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 7.0 | 4.5 | 54 |
| William Carrier | 10 | 3 | 78 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 12.8 | 8.4 | 53 |
| Jordan Martinook | 9 | 10 | 70 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 12.9 | 8.4 | 53 |
| Taylor Raddysh | 10 | 4 | 48 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 20.8 | 13.8 | 51 |
| Claude Giroux | 14 | 15 | 82 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 17.1 | 11.3 | 51 |
| Clayton Keller | 12 | 19 | 71 | 2.2 | 2.7 | 16.9 | 11.2 | 51 |
| Torey Krug | 5 | 12 | 65 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 7.7 | 5.1 | 51 |
| Valeri Nichushkin | 7 | 9 | 46 | 3.1 | 2.4 | 15.2 | 10.1 | 51 |
| Pavel Buchnevich | 12 | 14 | 55 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 21.8 | 14.5 | 50 |
| Drew Doughty | 2 | 18 | 67 | 1.9 | 2.7 | 3.0 | 6.0 | -50 |
| Yanni Gourde | 4 | 15 | 54 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 7.4 | 14.9 | -50 |
| Denis Gurianov | 2 | 3 | 41 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 4.9 | 9.8 | -50 |
| Evgeny Kuznetsov | 5 | 24 | 93 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 5.4 | 11.3 | -52 |
| Jack Roslovic | 3 | 15 | 49 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 6.1 | 12.7 | -52 |
| Derek Stepan | 2 | 2 | 50 | 1.6 | 2.8 | 4.0 | 9.2 | -56 |
| Josh Leivo | 2 | 7 | 48 | 2.0 | 4.1 | 4.2 | 9.7 | -57 |
| Oliver Bjorkstrand | 4 | 12 | 86 | 2.7 | 3.2 | 4.7 | 11.4 | -59 |
| Tanner Jeannot | 3 | 3 | 47 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 6.4 | 16.5 | -61 |
| Patrick Kane | 5 | 20 | 121 | 3.7 | 3.7 | 4.1 | 11.4 | -64 |
| Vladislav Namestnikov | 2 | 6 | 46 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 4.4 | 12.6 | -65 |
| Mark Giordano | 1 | 9 | 43 | 1.3 | 2.6 | 2.3 | 6.8 | -66 |
| Teuvo Teravainen | 2 | 10 | 59 | 2.4 | 3.2 | 3.4 | 9.8 | -66 |
| Seth Jones | 1 | 8 | 64 | 2.8 | 2.7 | 1.6 | 4.8 | -67 |
| Patric Hornqvist | 1 | 2 | 40 | 1.8 | 3.8 | 2.5 | 9.4 | -73 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 1 | 14 | 57 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 6.9 | -74 |
| Ivan Provorov | 1 | 11 | 69 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 5.9 | -75 |
| Erik Haula | 2 | 12 | 67 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 3.0 | 11.8 | -75 |
| Barrett Hayton | 1 | 4 | 51 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 8.2 | -76 |
| Victor Hedman | 1 | 17 | 61 | 2.0 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 6.9 | -76 |
| Erik Johnson | 0 | 6 | 49 | 1.5 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 4.8 | -100 |
| Jack Johnson | 0 | 4 | 41 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 4.7 | -100 |
| MacKenzie Weegar | 0 | 7 | 59 | 1.7 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 4.7 | -100 |
| Kevin Shattenkirk | 0 | 9 | 68 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 5.4 | -100 |
| Quinn Hughes | 0 | 28 | 55 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 4.4 | -100 |
| Joel Armia | 0 | 3 | 43 | 1.9 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 8.5 | -100 |
| Ryan Suter | 0 | 8 | 44 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 4.5 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2022-2023 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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