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Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters

February 22, 2023   Left Wing Lock Staff   0 Comments

Introduction

Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 50 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

Player G A S S/GP 3YS/GP SH% CSH% DEV
Nicholas Paul 17 10 85 1.6 2.1 20.0 9.6 109
Jared McCann 26 14 116 2.1 2.8 22.4 11.9 89
Connor Murphy 5 4 59 1.1 2.0 8.5 4.6 84
Erik Karlsson 18 58 144 2.5 2.9 12.5 6.8 83
Sean Kuraly 10 6 80 1.5 1.7 12.5 7.2 73
Brady Skjei 10 14 123 2.2 2.2 8.1 4.9 66
Nikita Zadorov 8 5 89 1.6 1.3 9.0 5.5 65
Filip Chytil 19 16 113 2.3 2.4 16.8 10.3 63
Blake Wheeler 15 27 84 1.8 2.8 17.9 11.0 63
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins 27 43 139 2.4 3.0 19.4 12.1 61
Trent Frederic 13 9 80 1.5 1.9 16.3 10.2 59
Lawson Crouse 19 12 102 2.0 1.9 18.6 11.7 59
Jordan Staal 15 12 81 1.5 1.9 18.5 11.7 59
Josh Morrissey 11 47 115 2.0 2.1 9.6 6.2 54
William Carrier 15 8 111 2.2 1.7 13.5 8.8 54
Matt Martin 7 10 58 1.0 1.2 12.1 7.9 53
Alex Tuch 27 34 159 2.9 3.6 17.0 11.1 52
John Klingberg 7 15 71 1.5 2.2 9.9 6.6 50
Bo Horvat 35 25 166 2.9 2.8 21.1 14.0 50
Nikolaj Ehlers 4 17 68 3.2 3.8 5.9 11.8 -50
Victor Hedman 4 34 120 2.3 2.6 3.3 6.9 -52
Drew Doughty 3 34 107 1.9 2.7 2.8 5.9 -53
Joel Edmundson 1 5 53 1.4 2.0 1.9 4.1 -54
Evgenii Dadonov 4 14 69 1.4 2.2 5.8 13.2 -56
Jack Roslovic 4 26 76 1.4 1.7 5.3 12.3 -57
Carson Soucy 2 8 63 1.1 1.5 3.2 7.4 -57
Tyler Bertuzzi 3 10 51 2.0 3.1 5.9 14.6 -60
Tanner Jeannot 5 9 87 1.6 2.2 5.8 14.5 -60
Dante Fabbro 1 7 67 1.3 1.7 1.5 3.9 -61
Jordan Greenway 2 4 63 1.6 1.7 3.2 8.3 -62
Erik Haula 5 21 116 2.0 2.1 4.3 11.5 -63
Ryan McDonagh 1 13 50 1.0 1.6 2.0 5.5 -63
Cody Ceci 1 8 64 1.1 1.2 1.6 4.2 -63
Pat Maroon 2 8 51 0.9 1.2 3.9 10.8 -64
Cole Sillinger 2 6 73 1.4 1.9 2.7 8.1 -66
Kevin Shattenkirk 2 14 110 2.2 1.9 1.8 5.4 -66
Colin Blackwell 2 7 51 1.0 1.8 3.9 11.8 -67
Ryan Suter 1 12 67 1.2 1.5 1.5 4.5 -67
Oliver Ekman-Larsson 2 20 90 1.7 2.2 2.2 6.8 -67
Denis Gurianov 2 6 67 1.6 2.3 3.0 9.3 -68
Alec Martinez 1 8 51 1.0 2.4 2.0 7.2 -73
Tyler Myers 1 9 75 1.4 1.8 1.3 5.9 -77
MacKenzie Weegar 1 15 100 1.8 2.5 1.0 4.5 -78
Parker Kelly 1 3 58 1.1 2.3 1.7 8.4 -80
Teddy Blueger 1 7 57 1.4 1.6 1.8 9.6 -82
Jack Johnson 0 4 61 1.1 1.2 0.0 4.6 -100
Erik Johnson 0 7 80 1.6 2.6 0.0 4.8 -100

Legend

G: Goals

A: Assists

S: Shots on goal

S/GP: Shots on goal per game

3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game

SH%: 2022-2023 shooting percentage

CSH%: Career shooting percentage

DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage

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