Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 25 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frank Vatrano | 9 | 1 | 31 | 3.4 | 2.8 | 29.0 | 10.7 | 172 |
| Jaccob Slavin | 3 | 4 | 26 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 11.5 | 4.4 | 164 |
| Ryan Hartman | 6 | 3 | 25 | 2.8 | 2.7 | 24.0 | 10.7 | 124 |
| Tyler Toffoli | 7 | 3 | 30 | 3.8 | 3.1 | 23.3 | 11.4 | 105 |
| Travis Konecny | 8 | 3 | 31 | 3.4 | 3.2 | 25.8 | 12.7 | 104 |
| Shea Theodore | 3 | 7 | 26 | 2.6 | 3.2 | 11.5 | 5.8 | 98 |
| Trevor Moore | 5 | 3 | 29 | 3.2 | 2.6 | 17.2 | 8.8 | 96 |
| Alex DeBrincat | 9 | 4 | 32 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 28.1 | 14.8 | 91 |
| Brady Tkachuk | 6 | 2 | 33 | 4.1 | 4.0 | 18.2 | 9.6 | 89 |
| Brock Boeser | 6 | 4 | 25 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 24.0 | 12.9 | 86 |
| Evan Bouchard | 3 | 6 | 27 | 3.4 | 2.8 | 11.1 | 6.0 | 86 |
| Joel Eriksson Ek | 5 | 5 | 27 | 3.0 | 2.9 | 18.5 | 10.0 | 85 |
| Quinn Hughes | 3 | 8 | 32 | 3.6 | 2.0 | 9.4 | 5.1 | 83 |
| Sam Reinhart | 8 | 3 | 31 | 3.9 | 2.6 | 25.8 | 14.4 | 79 |
| Dougie Hamilton | 3 | 3 | 27 | 3.4 | 3.6 | 11.1 | 6.4 | 73 |
| Mason McTavish | 5 | 6 | 25 | 2.8 | 3.5 | 20.0 | 12.1 | 65 |
| Chris Kreider | 6 | 2 | 25 | 2.8 | 2.9 | 24.0 | 15.2 | 58 |
| Roman Josi | 1 | 5 | 32 | 3.6 | 4.0 | 3.1 | 6.5 | -52 |
| Brayden Point | 2 | 8 | 26 | 2.9 | 2.9 | 7.7 | 17.8 | -57 |
| Alex Ovechkin | 2 | 6 | 37 | 4.6 | 4.7 | 5.4 | 12.9 | -58 |
| Jake Guentzel | 2 | 7 | 32 | 3.6 | 3.2 | 6.3 | 15.5 | -60 |
| Kirill Kaprizov | 2 | 7 | 37 | 4.1 | 3.8 | 5.4 | 15.6 | -65 |
| Trevor Zegras | 1 | 1 | 27 | 3.0 | 2.8 | 3.7 | 11.2 | -67 |
| Mathew Barzal | 1 | 5 | 31 | 3.9 | 2.8 | 3.2 | 10.8 | -70 |
| Matthew Tkachuk | 1 | 6 | 34 | 4.3 | 3.4 | 2.9 | 13.0 | -77 |
| Filip Forsberg | 1 | 7 | 36 | 4.0 | 4.5 | 2.8 | 12.7 | -78 |
| Mikael Backlund | 0 | 3 | 25 | 2.8 | 2.9 | 0.0 | 8.3 | -100 |
| Scott Laughton | 0 | 6 | 27 | 3.0 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 9.6 | -100 |
| Johnny Gaudreau | 0 | 4 | 29 | 3.2 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 12.3 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2023-2024 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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Dang thanks for sharing! How do we see this every week?
Every Wednesday morning, we'll post this same article series. You can either find it on the front page of the website or from the main menu navigate to Tools --> Archives.