Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Dickinson | 12 | 6 | 53 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 22.6 | 10.1 | 124 |
| Jake Walman | 9 | 8 | 62 | 1.8 | 2.9 | 14.5 | 6.5 | 122 |
| Sam Lafferty | 9 | 8 | 40 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 22.5 | 10.3 | 119 |
| Colton Parayko | 6 | 5 | 68 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 8.8 | 4.4 | 101 |
| Nils Hoglander | 10 | 5 | 45 | 1.3 | 3.6 | 22.2 | 11.1 | 100 |
| Stefan Noesen | 10 | 13 | 48 | 1.3 | 4.3 | 20.8 | 10.5 | 97 |
| Quinn Hughes | 10 | 36 | 94 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 10.6 | 5.7 | 86 |
| K'Andre Miller | 7 | 9 | 43 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 16.3 | 8.8 | 86 |
| Kevin Shattenkirk | 5 | 6 | 50 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 5.5 | 82 |
| Drew Doughty | 7 | 12 | 62 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 11.3 | 6.2 | 81 |
| Yegor Chinakhov | 10 | 7 | 51 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 19.6 | 10.9 | 80 |
| Charlie Coyle | 13 | 14 | 67 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 19.4 | 11.1 | 74 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 7 | 11 | 58 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 12.1 | 6.9 | 74 |
| Brock Boeser | 24 | 15 | 101 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 23.8 | 13.6 | 74 |
| Trent Frederic | 10 | 9 | 49 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 20.4 | 11.7 | 74 |
| Noah Hanifin | 5 | 12 | 62 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 8.1 | 4.7 | 73 |
| Sam Reinhart | 24 | 21 | 94 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 25.5 | 14.8 | 72 |
| MacKenzie Weegar | 8 | 14 | 92 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 8.7 | 5.0 | 72 |
| Sean Durzi | 6 | 14 | 56 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 10.7 | 6.3 | 70 |
| Sean Kuraly | 6 | 5 | 47 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 12.8 | 7.5 | 69 |
| Teuvo Teravainen | 13 | 8 | 75 | 2.0 | 3.1 | 17.3 | 10.4 | 67 |
| Valeri Nichushkin | 19 | 19 | 106 | 2.9 | 3.3 | 17.9 | 10.8 | 66 |
| Jalen Chatfield | 4 | 6 | 42 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 9.5 | 5.7 | 66 |
| Ryan Johansen | 11 | 4 | 55 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 20.0 | 12.1 | 65 |
| Trevor Moore | 17 | 9 | 108 | 3.2 | 2.6 | 15.7 | 9.6 | 64 |
| A.J. Greer | 6 | 4 | 43 | 1.2 | 2.7 | 14.0 | 8.5 | 64 |
| Lawson Crouse | 16 | 8 | 79 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 20.3 | 12.5 | 62 |
| Anthony Mantha | 11 | 6 | 56 | 1.8 | 2.9 | 19.6 | 12.1 | 62 |
| Mason Marchment | 13 | 14 | 70 | 1.9 | 3.0 | 18.6 | 11.5 | 62 |
| J.T. Compher | 9 | 15 | 42 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 21.4 | 13.3 | 61 |
| Anze Kopitar | 14 | 20 | 69 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 20.3 | 12.9 | 58 |
| Fabian Zetterlund | 11 | 5 | 85 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 12.9 | 8.4 | 55 |
| Mike Hoffman | 8 | 5 | 44 | 1.2 | 2.7 | 18.2 | 11.8 | 54 |
| Blake Coleman | 14 | 13 | 93 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 15.1 | 9.9 | 52 |
| Quinton Byfield | 10 | 16 | 70 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 14.3 | 9.4 | 52 |
| Ryan Hartman | 11 | 6 | 68 | 2.2 | 2.7 | 16.2 | 10.7 | 51 |
| Alex Ovechkin | 8 | 14 | 130 | 3.7 | 4.7 | 6.2 | 12.8 | -52 |
| Yanni Gourde | 5 | 9 | 81 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 6.2 | 13.7 | -55 |
| Trevor Zegras | 2 | 3 | 40 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 5.0 | 11.1 | -55 |
| Ryan Strome | 3 | 17 | 64 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 4.7 | 10.5 | -55 |
| Ryan Graves | 1 | 4 | 44 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 5.2 | -56 |
| Rickard Rakell | 3 | 8 | 63 | 2.6 | 3.0 | 4.8 | 11.0 | -57 |
| Jonas Brodin | 1 | 8 | 48 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 4.8 | -57 |
| Ryan Suter | 1 | 6 | 52 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 4.5 | -57 |
| Jordan Eberle | 4 | 12 | 75 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 5.3 | 12.7 | -58 |
| Nick Cousins | 2 | 3 | 63 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3.2 | 7.7 | -59 |
| Justin Faulk | 2 | 15 | 82 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 6.0 | -59 |
| Conor Garland | 3 | 13 | 77 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 3.9 | 10.0 | -61 |
| Scott Laughton | 3 | 13 | 85 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 3.5 | 9.3 | -62 |
| Matthew Tkachuk | 6 | 22 | 128 | 3.5 | 3.4 | 4.7 | 12.5 | -63 |
| Aaron Ekblad | 1 | 6 | 40 | 2.0 | 3.9 | 2.5 | 6.9 | -64 |
| Jordan Martinook | 2 | 8 | 75 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2.7 | 7.5 | -65 |
| Jakub Vrana | 2 | 4 | 41 | 2.2 | 4.9 | 4.9 | 14.1 | -65 |
| Brandon Montour | 1 | 5 | 50 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 5.8 | -66 |
| Hampus Lindholm | 1 | 9 | 52 | 1.4 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 5.6 | -66 |
| T.J. Oshie | 2 | 2 | 40 | 1.9 | 2.8 | 5.0 | 14.5 | -66 |
| Anton Lundell | 2 | 10 | 65 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 3.1 | 9.4 | -67 |
| Dmitry Orlov | 1 | 12 | 59 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 6.2 | -73 |
| Torey Krug | 1 | 16 | 83 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 4.9 | -75 |
| John Carlson | 1 | 18 | 75 | 2.1 | 3.4 | 1.3 | 6.3 | -79 |
| Jakob Silfverberg | 1 | 6 | 52 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 9.0 | -79 |
| Alex Pietrangelo | 1 | 14 | 83 | 2.5 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 5.9 | -80 |
| Zach Werenski | 1 | 24 | 87 | 2.6 | 5.5 | 1.2 | 6.8 | -83 |
| Connor Brown | 0 | 3 | 44 | 1.6 | NA | 0.0 | 11.0 | -100 |
| Rasmus Sandin | 0 | 10 | 45 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 6.4 | -100 |
| Cody Ceci | 0 | 10 | 41 | 1.2 | NA | 0.0 | 4.0 | -100 |
| Jordan Spence | 0 | 12 | 41 | 1.2 | 13.7 | 0.0 | 2.3 | -100 |
| Seth Jones | 0 | 11 | 60 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 4.9 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2023-2024 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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