Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters | Fantasy Hockey Advice and Analysis | leftwinglock.com

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Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters

Introduction

Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

Shot Production and Shooting Percentage Data

Player G A S S/GP 3YS/GP SH% CSH% DEV
Morgan Rielly 9 21 76 2.7 2.3 11.8 4.8 149
Cody Eakin 11 8 40 1.5 1.6 27.5 11.4 141
Ryan Suter 4 17 42 1.6 2.1 9.5 4.5 112
Jeff Skinner 20 9 88 3.0 3.4 22.7 11.2 103
Brad Richardson 7 3 44 1.7 2.0 15.9 8.2 93
Max Domi 13 17 68 2.4 2.1 19.1 10.2 88
Dustin Brown 8 7 46 2.6 2.6 17.4 9.6 81
Gabriel Landeskog 16 15 79 2.8 2.5 20.3 11.2 80
Carl Soderberg 9 10 55 2.0 1.9 16.4 9.1 80
Pontus Aberg 9 5 47 2.0 2.0 19.1 10.9 76
Auston Matthews 15 8 50 3.6 3.7 30.0 17.2 74
Elias Lindholm 13 17 78 2.8 2.1 16.7 9.6 73
Joe Pavelski 17 6 81 2.9 2.8 21.0 12.2 72
Mikael Granlund 11 17 60 2.2 2.3 18.3 10.7 71
Timo Meier 13 10 81 3.2 3.6 16.0 9.8 63
T.J. Oshie 9 5 40 2.2 2.3 22.5 13.8 63
Ryan O'Reilly 12 16 68 2.7 2.8 17.6 11.0 61
Nathan MacKinnon 19 24 119 4.3 3.7 16.0 10.0 60
Matthew Tkachuk 13 19 64 2.3 2.6 20.3 12.7 60
Jared McCann 5 4 44 1.8 2.6 11.4 7.1 60
Cam Atkinson 19 11 100 3.8 3.3 19.0 11.9 60
Patric Hornqvist 12 7 77 3.3 3.6 15.6 9.8 58
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare 4 4 41 1.4 1.3 9.8 6.2 58
John Klingberg 5 8 43 2.7 2.2 11.6 7.3 58
Brayden Point 20 17 76 2.6 2.5 26.3 16.9 56
Alex Ovechkin 20 13 103 3.8 4.4 19.4 12.5 55
David Perron 8 7 43 1.7 2.1 18.6 12.2 53
Frank Vatrano 8 2 54 2.2 4.2 14.8 9.7 53
Matt Duchene 12 22 62 2.2 2.5 19.4 12.7 53
Lawson Crouse 5 1 41 1.6 2.3 12.2 8.0 53
Zach Parise 13 10 75 2.9 4.1 17.3 11.5 51
Jakub Vrana 8 8 47 1.7 3.1 17.0 11.3 50
Alex Tuch 8 12 54 2.6 4.2 14.8 9.9 50
John Moore 1 3 41 1.7 1.8 2.4 4.9 -50
Reilly Smith 4 13 71 2.4 2.3 5.6 11.4 -51
Dustin Byfuglien 2 15 60 2.9 3.2 3.3 6.8 -51
Andrew Cogliano 2 4 40 1.4 2.0 5.0 10.6 -53
Ryan Ellis 2 11 58 2.1 2.6 3.4 7.3 -53
Rickard Rakell 5 15 85 2.9 2.9 5.9 12.8 -54
Brock McGinn 2 5 47 1.8 2.0 4.3 9.2 -54
Oliver Ekman-Larsson 2 13 59 2.3 2.5 3.4 7.5 -55
Nick Cousins 2 5 56 2.2 2.3 3.6 8.1 -56
Tyler Bozak 3 8 51 2.0 2.1 5.9 13.4 -56
Marc-Edouard Vlasic 1 5 49 1.8 2.1 2.0 4.9 -59
David Backes 2 2 41 1.9 2.8 4.9 11.8 -59
Miles Wood 2 4 58 2.2 2.4 3.4 8.7 -60
Brendan Perlini 2 4 41 1.6 2.1 4.9 12.6 -61
James Neal 3 3 71 2.5 3.3 4.2 11.8 -64
Erik Karlsson 2 14 85 3.0 3.1 2.4 6.6 -65
Ryan Pulock 1 7 57 2.2 6.3 1.8 5.1 -66
Evan Rodrigues 1 7 46 2.0 3.2 2.2 6.6 -67
Sami Vatanen 1 10 57 2.5 2.2 1.8 5.6 -69
Kevin Shattenkirk 1 7 52 1.9 2.7 1.9 6.3 -69
Tyler Myers 1 3 48 1.8 2.7 2.1 7.1 -71
Justin Faulk 1 7 79 3.0 3.3 1.3 5.9 -79
Kevin Connauton 0 4 42 1.8 2.2 0.0 6.1 -100
Duncan Keith 0 9 46 1.6 2.4 0.0 4.3 -100
Mikhail Sergachev 0 10 50 1.7 3.4 0.0 4.7 -100
Legend
G
Goals
A
Assists
S
Shots on goal
S/GP
Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP
Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%
2018-2019 shooting percentage
CSH%
Career shooting percentage
DEV
Deviation from career shooting percentage