Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Rielly | 9 | 21 | 76 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 11.8 | 4.8 | 149 |
| Cody Eakin | 11 | 8 | 40 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 27.5 | 11.4 | 141 |
| Ryan Suter | 4 | 17 | 42 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 9.5 | 4.5 | 112 |
| Jeff Skinner | 20 | 9 | 88 | 3.0 | 3.4 | 22.7 | 11.2 | 103 |
| Brad Richardson | 7 | 3 | 44 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 15.9 | 8.2 | 93 |
| Max Domi | 13 | 17 | 68 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 19.1 | 10.2 | 88 |
| Dustin Brown | 8 | 7 | 46 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 17.4 | 9.6 | 81 |
| Gabriel Landeskog | 16 | 15 | 79 | 2.8 | 2.5 | 20.3 | 11.2 | 80 |
| Carl Soderberg | 9 | 10 | 55 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 16.4 | 9.1 | 80 |
| Pontus Aberg | 9 | 5 | 47 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 19.1 | 10.9 | 76 |
| Auston Matthews | 15 | 8 | 50 | 3.6 | 3.7 | 30.0 | 17.2 | 74 |
| Elias Lindholm | 13 | 17 | 78 | 2.8 | 2.1 | 16.7 | 9.6 | 73 |
| Joe Pavelski | 17 | 6 | 81 | 2.9 | 2.8 | 21.0 | 12.2 | 72 |
| Mikael Granlund | 11 | 17 | 60 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 18.3 | 10.7 | 71 |
| Timo Meier | 13 | 10 | 81 | 3.2 | 3.6 | 16.0 | 9.8 | 63 |
| T.J. Oshie | 9 | 5 | 40 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 22.5 | 13.8 | 63 |
| Ryan O'Reilly | 12 | 16 | 68 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 17.6 | 11.0 | 61 |
| Nathan MacKinnon | 19 | 24 | 119 | 4.3 | 3.7 | 16.0 | 10.0 | 60 |
| Matthew Tkachuk | 13 | 19 | 64 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 20.3 | 12.7 | 60 |
| Jared McCann | 5 | 4 | 44 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 11.4 | 7.1 | 60 |
| Cam Atkinson | 19 | 11 | 100 | 3.8 | 3.3 | 19.0 | 11.9 | 60 |
| Patric Hornqvist | 12 | 7 | 77 | 3.3 | 3.6 | 15.6 | 9.8 | 58 |
| Pierre-Edouard Bellemare | 4 | 4 | 41 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 9.8 | 6.2 | 58 |
| John Klingberg | 5 | 8 | 43 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 11.6 | 7.3 | 58 |
| Brayden Point | 20 | 17 | 76 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 26.3 | 16.9 | 56 |
| Alex Ovechkin | 20 | 13 | 103 | 3.8 | 4.4 | 19.4 | 12.5 | 55 |
| David Perron | 8 | 7 | 43 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 18.6 | 12.2 | 53 |
| Frank Vatrano | 8 | 2 | 54 | 2.2 | 4.2 | 14.8 | 9.7 | 53 |
| Matt Duchene | 12 | 22 | 62 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 19.4 | 12.7 | 53 |
| Lawson Crouse | 5 | 1 | 41 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 12.2 | 8.0 | 53 |
| Zach Parise | 13 | 10 | 75 | 2.9 | 4.1 | 17.3 | 11.5 | 51 |
| Jakub Vrana | 8 | 8 | 47 | 1.7 | 3.1 | 17.0 | 11.3 | 50 |
| Alex Tuch | 8 | 12 | 54 | 2.6 | 4.2 | 14.8 | 9.9 | 50 |
| John Moore | 1 | 3 | 41 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 4.9 | -50 |
| Reilly Smith | 4 | 13 | 71 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 5.6 | 11.4 | -51 |
| Dustin Byfuglien | 2 | 15 | 60 | 2.9 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 6.8 | -51 |
| Andrew Cogliano | 2 | 4 | 40 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 10.6 | -53 |
| Ryan Ellis | 2 | 11 | 58 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 3.4 | 7.3 | -53 |
| Rickard Rakell | 5 | 15 | 85 | 2.9 | 2.9 | 5.9 | 12.8 | -54 |
| Brock McGinn | 2 | 5 | 47 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 4.3 | 9.2 | -54 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 2 | 13 | 59 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 3.4 | 7.5 | -55 |
| Nick Cousins | 2 | 5 | 56 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 3.6 | 8.1 | -56 |
| Tyler Bozak | 3 | 8 | 51 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 5.9 | 13.4 | -56 |
| Marc-Edouard Vlasic | 1 | 5 | 49 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 4.9 | -59 |
| David Backes | 2 | 2 | 41 | 1.9 | 2.8 | 4.9 | 11.8 | -59 |
| Miles Wood | 2 | 4 | 58 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 3.4 | 8.7 | -60 |
| Brendan Perlini | 2 | 4 | 41 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 4.9 | 12.6 | -61 |
| James Neal | 3 | 3 | 71 | 2.5 | 3.3 | 4.2 | 11.8 | -64 |
| Erik Karlsson | 2 | 14 | 85 | 3.0 | 3.1 | 2.4 | 6.6 | -65 |
| Ryan Pulock | 1 | 7 | 57 | 2.2 | 6.3 | 1.8 | 5.1 | -66 |
| Evan Rodrigues | 1 | 7 | 46 | 2.0 | 3.2 | 2.2 | 6.6 | -67 |
| Sami Vatanen | 1 | 10 | 57 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 5.6 | -69 |
| Kevin Shattenkirk | 1 | 7 | 52 | 1.9 | 2.7 | 1.9 | 6.3 | -69 |
| Tyler Myers | 1 | 3 | 48 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 7.1 | -71 |
| Justin Faulk | 1 | 7 | 79 | 3.0 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 5.9 | -79 |
| Kevin Connauton | 0 | 4 | 42 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 6.1 | -100 |
| Duncan Keith | 0 | 9 | 46 | 1.6 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 4.3 | -100 |
| Mikhail Sergachev | 0 | 10 | 50 | 1.7 | 3.4 | 0.0 | 4.7 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2018-2019 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
Comments (0)
Leave a comment
In order to leave a comment, you must be a registered user at our website and logged in.