Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters | Fantasy Hockey Advice and Analysis | leftwinglock.com

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Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters

Introduction

Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

Shot Production and Shooting Percentage Data

Player G A S S/GP 3YS/GP SH% CSH% DEV
Morgan Rielly 13 31 97 2.6 2.3 13.4 5.1 162
Alex Chiasson 16 4 50 1.7 1.3 32.0 13.3 140
Jeff Skinner 26 12 112 3.0 3.4 23.2 11.4 104
Cody Eakin 11 9 48 1.3 1.6 22.9 11.3 103
Brian Boyle 9 4 51 1.7 1.9 17.6 9.1 94
Cody Ceci 4 5 48 1.5 1.8 8.3 4.4 90
Travis Zajac 10 9 49 1.4 1.7 20.4 10.9 86
Gabriel Landeskog 24 19 112 3.0 2.5 21.4 11.5 86
Joe Pavelski 23 7 101 2.7 2.8 22.8 12.3 85
Elias Lindholm 17 22 94 2.5 2.1 18.1 10.0 82
Kyle Clifford 5 0 41 1.5 2.1 12.2 6.7 82
Brad Richardson 10 4 66 1.8 2.0 15.2 8.4 81
J.T. Compher 9 6 41 2.0 3.3 22.0 12.4 77
Cedric Paquette 8 2 41 1.1 1.5 19.5 11.1 76
David Perron 12 9 56 1.7 2.1 21.4 12.3 74
Scott Laughton 7 5 48 1.4 2.1 14.6 8.5 72
Matt Niskanen 5 10 65 1.9 2.0 7.7 4.5 70
Ryan Suter 4 22 54 1.5 2.1 7.4 4.5 66
Alex Ovechkin 29 15 141 4.0 4.4 20.6 12.6 63
Matt Duchene 14 22 68 2.2 2.5 20.6 12.7 62
Max Domi 14 21 87 2.4 2.1 16.1 10.0 61
Jonas Brodin 4 6 43 1.2 1.2 9.3 5.8 60
Pontus Aberg 11 8 63 2.0 2.0 17.5 11.0 58
Jeff Petry 7 20 84 2.3 2.4 8.3 5.3 56
Patrice Bergeron 11 19 69 3.3 4.0 15.9 10.3 55
Tyler Johnson 16 11 79 2.2 2.5 20.3 13.2 54
Patric Hornqvist 12 7 80 3.0 3.6 15.0 9.8 53
Jakob Silfverberg 9 6 66 2.0 2.7 13.6 9.0 52
Dan Girardi 3 9 43 1.2 1.2 7.0 4.6 52
Esa Lindell 6 9 63 1.7 1.6 9.5 6.3 51
Tyler Bertuzzi 9 11 51 1.4 3.0 17.6 11.7 51
Carl Soderberg 10 12 74 2.0 1.9 13.5 9.0 50
Drew Doughty 2 18 68 1.8 2.4 2.9 6.0 -51
Evan Rodrigues 2 8 63 2.0 3.2 3.2 6.6 -52
Jack Johnson 1 7 41 1.1 1.5 2.4 5.1 -52
Sami Vatanen 2 11 75 2.3 2.2 2.7 5.6 -53
Andy Greene 1 7 45 1.3 1.1 2.2 4.8 -53
Blake Wheeler 5 43 101 2.8 3.1 5.0 10.5 -53
Brent Burns 4 31 125 3.3 4.1 3.2 6.9 -54
Jakob Chychrun 1 4 41 2.3 2.2 2.4 5.2 -54
Ryan Murray 1 16 49 1.4 1.3 2.0 4.4 -54
Dougie Hamilton 3 7 116 3.3 2.8 2.6 5.7 -54
Rickard Rakell 5 15 87 2.9 2.9 5.7 12.7 -55
David Savard 1 7 46 1.3 2.1 2.2 5.0 -57
Miles Wood 3 5 84 2.4 2.4 3.6 8.3 -57
Joel Eriksson Ek 1 3 44 1.6 2.8 2.3 5.5 -58
David Backes 3 7 63 2.0 2.8 4.8 11.7 -59
Pat Maroon 2 8 43 1.5 2.0 4.7 11.4 -59
Brock McGinn 2 5 56 1.6 2.0 3.6 8.9 -60
Mattias Janmark 2 10 43 1.2 4.7 12.5 -63
John Moore 1 4 57 1.7 1.8 1.8 4.8 -63
Andrew Cogliano 2 6 51 1.3 2.0 3.9 10.5 -63
Nick Leddy 1 9 44 1.3 1.7 2.3 6.4 -64
Justin Faulk 2 10 101 2.9 3.3 2.0 5.9 -66
Marc-Edouard Vlasic 1 8 61 1.6 2.1 1.6 4.9 -67
James Neal 3 4 80 2.2 3.3 3.8 11.8 -68
Kevin Shattenkirk 1 7 54 1.9 2.7 1.9 6.3 -70
Ryan Carpenter 1 7 47 1.3 2.6 2.1 7.9 -73
Erik Karlsson 2 24 127 3.4 3.1 1.6 6.5 -76
Mikhail Sergachev 0 12 65 1.8 3.4 0.0 4.3 -100
Tobias Rieder 0 7 43 1.9 2.0 0.0 8.0 -100
Kevin Connauton 0 4 48 1.6 2.2 0.0 6.0 -100
Duncan Keith 0 16 70 1.8 2.4 0.0 4.3 -100
Olli Maatta 0 10 41 1.2 1.9 0.0 4.7 -100
Noel Acciari 0 1 40 1.3 1.8 0.0 8.1 -100
Legend
G
Goals
A
Assists
S
Shots on goal
S/GP
Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP
Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%
2018-2019 shooting percentage
CSH%
Career shooting percentage
DEV
Deviation from career shooting percentage