Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Rielly | 13 | 31 | 97 | 2.6 | 2.3 | 13.4 | 5.1 | 162 |
| Alex Chiasson | 16 | 4 | 50 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 32.0 | 13.3 | 140 |
| Jeff Skinner | 26 | 12 | 112 | 3.0 | 3.4 | 23.2 | 11.4 | 104 |
| Cody Eakin | 11 | 9 | 48 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 22.9 | 11.3 | 103 |
| Brian Boyle | 9 | 4 | 51 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 17.6 | 9.1 | 94 |
| Cody Ceci | 4 | 5 | 48 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 8.3 | 4.4 | 90 |
| Travis Zajac | 10 | 9 | 49 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 20.4 | 10.9 | 86 |
| Gabriel Landeskog | 24 | 19 | 112 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 21.4 | 11.5 | 86 |
| Joe Pavelski | 23 | 7 | 101 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 22.8 | 12.3 | 85 |
| Elias Lindholm | 17 | 22 | 94 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 18.1 | 10.0 | 82 |
| Kyle Clifford | 5 | 0 | 41 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 12.2 | 6.7 | 82 |
| Brad Richardson | 10 | 4 | 66 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 15.2 | 8.4 | 81 |
| J.T. Compher | 9 | 6 | 41 | 2.0 | 3.3 | 22.0 | 12.4 | 77 |
| Cedric Paquette | 8 | 2 | 41 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 19.5 | 11.1 | 76 |
| David Perron | 12 | 9 | 56 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 21.4 | 12.3 | 74 |
| Scott Laughton | 7 | 5 | 48 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 14.6 | 8.5 | 72 |
| Matt Niskanen | 5 | 10 | 65 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 7.7 | 4.5 | 70 |
| Ryan Suter | 4 | 22 | 54 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 7.4 | 4.5 | 66 |
| Alex Ovechkin | 29 | 15 | 141 | 4.0 | 4.4 | 20.6 | 12.6 | 63 |
| Matt Duchene | 14 | 22 | 68 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 20.6 | 12.7 | 62 |
| Max Domi | 14 | 21 | 87 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 16.1 | 10.0 | 61 |
| Jonas Brodin | 4 | 6 | 43 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 9.3 | 5.8 | 60 |
| Pontus Aberg | 11 | 8 | 63 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 17.5 | 11.0 | 58 |
| Jeff Petry | 7 | 20 | 84 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 8.3 | 5.3 | 56 |
| Patrice Bergeron | 11 | 19 | 69 | 3.3 | 4.0 | 15.9 | 10.3 | 55 |
| Tyler Johnson | 16 | 11 | 79 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 20.3 | 13.2 | 54 |
| Patric Hornqvist | 12 | 7 | 80 | 3.0 | 3.6 | 15.0 | 9.8 | 53 |
| Jakob Silfverberg | 9 | 6 | 66 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 13.6 | 9.0 | 52 |
| Dan Girardi | 3 | 9 | 43 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 7.0 | 4.6 | 52 |
| Esa Lindell | 6 | 9 | 63 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 9.5 | 6.3 | 51 |
| Tyler Bertuzzi | 9 | 11 | 51 | 1.4 | 3.0 | 17.6 | 11.7 | 51 |
| Carl Soderberg | 10 | 12 | 74 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 13.5 | 9.0 | 50 |
| Drew Doughty | 2 | 18 | 68 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 2.9 | 6.0 | -51 |
| Evan Rodrigues | 2 | 8 | 63 | 2.0 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 6.6 | -52 |
| Jack Johnson | 1 | 7 | 41 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 5.1 | -52 |
| Sami Vatanen | 2 | 11 | 75 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 2.7 | 5.6 | -53 |
| Andy Greene | 1 | 7 | 45 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 2.2 | 4.8 | -53 |
| Blake Wheeler | 5 | 43 | 101 | 2.8 | 3.1 | 5.0 | 10.5 | -53 |
| Brent Burns | 4 | 31 | 125 | 3.3 | 4.1 | 3.2 | 6.9 | -54 |
| Jakob Chychrun | 1 | 4 | 41 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 5.2 | -54 |
| Ryan Murray | 1 | 16 | 49 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 4.4 | -54 |
| Dougie Hamilton | 3 | 7 | 116 | 3.3 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 5.7 | -54 |
| Rickard Rakell | 5 | 15 | 87 | 2.9 | 2.9 | 5.7 | 12.7 | -55 |
| David Savard | 1 | 7 | 46 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 5.0 | -57 |
| Miles Wood | 3 | 5 | 84 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 3.6 | 8.3 | -57 |
| Joel Eriksson Ek | 1 | 3 | 44 | 1.6 | 2.8 | 2.3 | 5.5 | -58 |
| David Backes | 3 | 7 | 63 | 2.0 | 2.8 | 4.8 | 11.7 | -59 |
| Pat Maroon | 2 | 8 | 43 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 4.7 | 11.4 | -59 |
| Brock McGinn | 2 | 5 | 56 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 3.6 | 8.9 | -60 |
| Mattias Janmark | 2 | 10 | 43 | 1.2 | 4.7 | 12.5 | -63 | |
| John Moore | 1 | 4 | 57 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 4.8 | -63 |
| Andrew Cogliano | 2 | 6 | 51 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 3.9 | 10.5 | -63 |
| Nick Leddy | 1 | 9 | 44 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 6.4 | -64 |
| Justin Faulk | 2 | 10 | 101 | 2.9 | 3.3 | 2.0 | 5.9 | -66 |
| Marc-Edouard Vlasic | 1 | 8 | 61 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 4.9 | -67 |
| James Neal | 3 | 4 | 80 | 2.2 | 3.3 | 3.8 | 11.8 | -68 |
| Kevin Shattenkirk | 1 | 7 | 54 | 1.9 | 2.7 | 1.9 | 6.3 | -70 |
| Ryan Carpenter | 1 | 7 | 47 | 1.3 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 7.9 | -73 |
| Erik Karlsson | 2 | 24 | 127 | 3.4 | 3.1 | 1.6 | 6.5 | -76 |
| Mikhail Sergachev | 0 | 12 | 65 | 1.8 | 3.4 | 0.0 | 4.3 | -100 |
| Tobias Rieder | 0 | 7 | 43 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | -100 |
| Kevin Connauton | 0 | 4 | 48 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 6.0 | -100 |
| Duncan Keith | 0 | 16 | 70 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 4.3 | -100 |
| Olli Maatta | 0 | 10 | 41 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 4.7 | -100 |
| Noel Acciari | 0 | 1 | 40 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 8.1 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2018-2019 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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