Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 25 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Carlson | 7 | 16 | 35 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 20.0 | 6.2 | 225 |
| Dougie Hamilton | 6 | 7 | 36 | 3.0 | 3.1 | 16.7 | 6.5 | 158 |
| Joel Armia | 6 | 2 | 26 | 2.9 | 2.5 | 23.1 | 10.0 | 131 |
| Jakob Silfverberg | 6 | 5 | 27 | 1.9 | 2.7 | 22.2 | 9.8 | 128 |
| Kevin Shattenkirk | 4 | 3 | 29 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 13.8 | 6.1 | 128 |
| Jake Muzzin | 3 | 6 | 26 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 11.5 | 5.2 | 123 |
| Elias Lindholm | 8 | 2 | 35 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 22.9 | 10.6 | 116 |
| James Neal | 10 | 2 | 39 | 3.0 | 3.2 | 25.6 | 11.9 | 116 |
| Oskar Lindblom | 6 | 2 | 25 | 2.3 | 3.0 | 24.0 | 11.2 | 114 |
| Roope Hintz | 7 | 1 | 26 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 26.9 | 12.8 | 110 |
| David Pastrnak | 12 | 12 | 40 | 3.3 | 3.7 | 30.0 | 14.6 | 105 |
| Alexander Edler | 3 | 6 | 29 | 2.6 | 2.8 | 10.3 | 5.3 | 95 |
| Mattias Ekholm | 3 | 4 | 27 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 11.1 | 5.8 | 91 |
| Evander Kane | 7 | 3 | 39 | 3.9 | 4.1 | 17.9 | 9.5 | 90 |
| Jonathan Drouin | 5 | 5 | 27 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 18.5 | 9.8 | 89 |
| David Perron | 6 | 6 | 25 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 24.0 | 12.8 | 88 |
| Morgan Rielly | 3 | 11 | 30 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 10.0 | 5.3 | 88 |
| Roman Josi | 5 | 8 | 42 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 11.9 | 6.5 | 84 |
| Darren Helm | 4 | 1 | 27 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 14.8 | 8.1 | 83 |
| Alex Pietrangelo | 4 | 3 | 37 | 3.1 | 2.7 | 10.8 | 6.0 | 80 |
| Erik Haula | 7 | 2 | 30 | 2.5 | 3.1 | 23.3 | 13.1 | 78 |
| Drew Doughty | 3 | 4 | 28 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 10.7 | 6.1 | 75 |
| Brett Pesce | 2 | 2 | 26 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 7.7 | 4.4 | 73 |
| Nazem Kadri | 5 | 2 | 25 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 20.0 | 11.6 | 72 |
| Adam Henrique | 8 | 1 | 30 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 26.7 | 15.7 | 70 |
| Reilly Smith | 7 | 3 | 35 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 20.0 | 12.0 | 67 |
| Jack Eichel | 7 | 10 | 43 | 3.3 | 4.7 | 16.3 | 10.0 | 63 |
| Jonathan Huberdeau | 5 | 8 | 27 | 2.3 | 3.3 | 18.5 | 11.8 | 57 |
| Tomas Nosek | 3 | 1 | 26 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 11.5 | 7.5 | 55 |
| Evgeny Kuznetsov | 5 | 4 | 28 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 17.9 | 11.5 | 55 |
| Kris Letang | 4 | 7 | 44 | 3.4 | 3.9 | 9.1 | 5.9 | 55 |
| Jaccob Slavin | 2 | 5 | 27 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 7.4 | 4.9 | 51 |
| Mike Hoffman | 6 | 3 | 34 | 2.8 | 3.2 | 17.6 | 11.7 | 51 |
| Claude Giroux | 2 | 5 | 39 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 5.1 | 11.0 | -53 |
| Matt Dumba | 1 | 5 | 25 | 2.1 | 2.7 | 4.0 | 8.4 | -53 |
| John Klingberg | 1 | 2 | 33 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 3.0 | 6.8 | -55 |
| Shea Weber | 1 | 5 | 27 | 2.5 | 4.0 | 3.7 | 8.2 | -55 |
| Justin Schultz | 1 | 5 | 36 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 2.8 | 6.5 | -57 |
| Jeff Carter | 2 | 2 | 43 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 4.7 | 11.3 | -59 |
| Mikko Koivu | 1 | 4 | 28 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 3.6 | 9.1 | -61 |
| Jonathan Marchessault | 2 | 5 | 49 | 3.8 | 3.3 | 4.1 | 10.6 | -61 |
| Clayton Keller | 1 | 7 | 31 | 2.8 | 3.6 | 3.2 | 8.6 | -62 |
| Craig Smith | 1 | 3 | 29 | 2.4 | 2.7 | 3.4 | 9.4 | -63 |
| Thomas Chabot | 1 | 7 | 35 | 3.2 | 2.6 | 2.9 | 7.6 | -63 |
| Ondrej Kase | 1 | 4 | 26 | 2.4 | 4.3 | 3.8 | 10.8 | -64 |
| Vincent Trocheck | 1 | 5 | 27 | 3.4 | 3.5 | 3.7 | 10.2 | -64 |
| Sean Monahan | 2 | 6 | 39 | 2.8 | 2.7 | 5.1 | 14.8 | -65 |
| Max Pacioretty | 2 | 9 | 54 | 4.2 | 3.7 | 3.7 | 10.9 | -66 |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 1 | 6 | 28 | 2.2 | 2.7 | 3.6 | 11.6 | -69 |
| Logan Couture | 1 | 9 | 27 | 2.1 | 2.7 | 3.7 | 12.5 | -70 |
| Jake DeBrusk | 1 | 3 | 28 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 3.6 | 13.5 | -73 |
| Taylor Hall | 1 | 6 | 36 | 4.0 | 4.8 | 2.8 | 10.7 | -74 |
| Jamie Benn | 1 | 5 | 32 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 3.1 | 13.3 | -77 |
| Tyson Barrie | 0 | 5 | 36 | 2.6 | 2.9 | 0.0 | 6.8 | -100 |
| Justin Faulk | 0 | 4 | 28 | 2.3 | 2.9 | 0.0 | 5.9 | -100 |
| Adrian Kempe | 0 | 3 | 27 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 10.1 | -100 |
| Wayne Simmonds | 0 | 1 | 29 | 3.2 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 12.9 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2019-2020 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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