Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 35 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Grant | 8 | 3 | 42 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 19.0 | 8.6 | 121 |
| Jean-Gabriel Pageau | 15 | 6 | 67 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 22.4 | 10.5 | 113 |
| Lawson Crouse | 6 | 3 | 35 | 1.4 | 2.8 | 17.1 | 8.7 | 96 |
| Joonas Donskoi | 11 | 11 | 50 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 22.0 | 11.3 | 95 |
| Filip Chytil | 8 | 2 | 40 | 2.4 | 3.6 | 20.0 | 10.3 | 94 |
| Brad Hunt | 5 | 7 | 42 | 1.5 | 3.3 | 11.9 | 6.1 | 94 |
| Scott Mayfield | 4 | 3 | 41 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 9.8 | 5.1 | 90 |
| Phillip Danault | 7 | 14 | 40 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 17.5 | 9.3 | 88 |
| Carl Soderberg | 8 | 7 | 44 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 18.2 | 9.7 | 88 |
| Jared McCann | 9 | 8 | 51 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 17.6 | 9.5 | 85 |
| John Carlson | 9 | 31 | 80 | 2.8 | 2.7 | 11.3 | 6.1 | 84 |
| Zdeno Chara | 5 | 7 | 43 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 11.6 | 6.4 | 83 |
| Roope Hintz | 11 | 2 | 43 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 25.6 | 14.1 | 82 |
| Elias Lindholm | 14 | 7 | 72 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 19.4 | 10.8 | 80 |
| Jakob Silfverberg | 10 | 9 | 58 | 2.1 | 2.7 | 17.2 | 9.8 | 75 |
| Brayden Schenn | 14 | 11 | 63 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 22.2 | 12.8 | 73 |
| Oskar Sundqvist | 8 | 4 | 42 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 19.0 | 11.0 | 73 |
| James Neal | 14 | 4 | 69 | 2.4 | 3.2 | 20.3 | 11.9 | 71 |
| Brady Skjei | 4 | 6 | 53 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 7.5 | 4.5 | 67 |
| Ryan Suter | 3 | 13 | 40 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 7.5 | 4.5 | 67 |
| Brett Connolly | 12 | 7 | 50 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 24.0 | 14.4 | 66 |
| Mathew Barzal | 11 | 13 | 53 | 2.0 | 3.1 | 20.8 | 12.7 | 64 |
| Zack Kassian | 9 | 10 | 47 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 19.1 | 11.8 | 62 |
| Jonathan Drouin | 7 | 8 | 44 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 15.9 | 9.8 | 62 |
| Blake Coleman | 9 | 6 | 55 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 16.4 | 10.2 | 61 |
| Bryan Rust | 9 | 8 | 49 | 3.5 | 2.3 | 18.4 | 11.4 | 61 |
| Andre Burakovsky | 11 | 10 | 51 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 21.6 | 13.6 | 59 |
| Brad Marchand | 18 | 26 | 70 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 25.7 | 16.2 | 59 |
| MacKenzie Weegar | 3 | 7 | 37 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 8.1 | 5.1 | 59 |
| Ivan Provorov | 6 | 12 | 60 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 10.0 | 6.3 | 58 |
| Dougie Hamilton | 10 | 18 | 98 | 3.5 | 3.1 | 10.2 | 6.5 | 58 |
| Barclay Goodrow | 6 | 7 | 41 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 14.6 | 9.2 | 58 |
| Jack Eichel | 17 | 21 | 104 | 3.7 | 4.7 | 16.3 | 10.4 | 58 |
| Kris Letang | 7 | 9 | 75 | 3.9 | 3.9 | 9.3 | 5.9 | 58 |
| Jason Zucker | 10 | 9 | 51 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 19.6 | 12.5 | 57 |
| Cam Fowler | 5 | 10 | 53 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 9.4 | 6.0 | 56 |
| Jakob Chychrun | 6 | 4 | 65 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 9.2 | 5.9 | 55 |
| Zach Parise | 12 | 5 | 67 | 2.4 | 3.9 | 17.9 | 11.6 | 55 |
| Nick Bonino | 10 | 6 | 53 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 18.9 | 12.2 | 55 |
| Victor Hedman | 5 | 18 | 47 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 10.6 | 6.9 | 53 |
| Matt Nieto | 5 | 7 | 36 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 13.9 | 9.2 | 51 |
| David Pastrnak | 25 | 18 | 111 | 4.0 | 3.7 | 22.5 | 14.9 | 51 |
| Noel Acciari | 5 | 2 | 35 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 14.3 | 9.5 | 50 |
| Ryan Strome | 6 | 17 | 39 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 15.4 | 10.2 | 50 |
| Wayne Simmonds | 4 | 7 | 64 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 6.3 | 12.8 | -51 |
| Mikko Koivu | 2 | 10 | 46 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 4.3 | 9.1 | -52 |
| Teddy Blueger | 2 | 4 | 36 | 1.3 | 3.5 | 5.6 | 11.6 | -52 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 2 | 8 | 57 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 3.5 | 7.5 | -53 |
| Trevor Lewis | 1 | 3 | 38 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 5.7 | -54 |
| Alex Chiasson | 2 | 6 | 39 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 5.1 | 12.3 | -58 |
| Alex DeBrincat | 5 | 14 | 77 | 2.9 | 2.5 | 6.5 | 15.5 | -58 |
| Jonathan Toews | 4 | 10 | 70 | 2.6 | 3.1 | 5.7 | 13.9 | -59 |
| Cam Atkinson | 4 | 11 | 89 | 3.3 | 3.6 | 4.5 | 11.4 | -61 |
| Taylor Hall | 4 | 18 | 98 | 3.6 | 4.8 | 4.1 | 10.5 | -61 |
| Joel Eriksson Ek | 1 | 9 | 44 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 5.8 | -61 |
| Mike Green | 1 | 4 | 39 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 7.9 | -67 |
| Austin Wagner | 2 | 3 | 50 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 4.0 | 12.0 | -67 |
| Craig Smith | 2 | 5 | 66 | 2.4 | 2.7 | 3.0 | 9.3 | -67 |
| Justin Faulk | 1 | 6 | 53 | 1.8 | 2.9 | 1.9 | 5.9 | -68 |
| Connor Brown | 2 | 13 | 59 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 3.4 | 10.9 | -69 |
| Alex Galchenyuk | 1 | 8 | 38 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 12.0 | -78 |
| Josh Anderson | 1 | 2 | 49 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 10.7 | -81 |
| Tyler Myers | 0 | 4 | 52 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 6.8 | -100 |
| Colin Miller | 0 | 4 | 35 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 4.5 | -100 |
| Frans Nielsen | 0 | 1 | 37 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 10.1 | -100 |
| Jordie Benn | 0 | 5 | 38 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 4.0 | -100 |
| Deryk Engelland | 0 | 3 | 36 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 4.1 | -100 |
| Alec Martinez | 0 | 5 | 36 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 7.1 | -100 |
| Milan Lucic | 0 | 4 | 39 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 13.1 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2019-2020 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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