Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters | Fantasy Hockey Advice and Analysis | leftwinglock.com

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Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters

Introduction

Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 35 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

Shot Production and Shooting Percentage Data

Player G A S S/GP 3YS/GP SH% CSH% DEV
Derek Grant 8 3 42 1.5 1.6 19.0 8.6 121
Jean-Gabriel Pageau 15 6 67 2.4 2.5 22.4 10.5 113
Lawson Crouse 6 3 35 1.4 2.8 17.1 8.7 96
Joonas Donskoi 11 11 50 1.9 1.9 22.0 11.3 95
Filip Chytil 8 2 40 2.4 3.6 20.0 10.3 94
Brad Hunt 5 7 42 1.5 3.3 11.9 6.1 94
Scott Mayfield 4 3 41 1.6 1.7 9.8 5.1 90
Phillip Danault 7 14 40 1.4 1.9 17.5 9.3 88
Carl Soderberg 8 7 44 1.5 2.0 18.2 9.7 88
Jared McCann 9 8 51 2.0 2.7 17.6 9.5 85
John Carlson 9 31 80 2.8 2.7 11.3 6.1 84
Zdeno Chara 5 7 43 1.5 2.1 11.6 6.4 83
Roope Hintz 11 2 43 2.0 2.4 25.6 14.1 82
Elias Lindholm 14 7 72 2.5 2.2 19.4 10.8 80
Jakob Silfverberg 10 9 58 2.1 2.7 17.2 9.8 75
Brayden Schenn 14 11 63 2.2 2.5 22.2 12.8 73
Oskar Sundqvist 8 4 42 1.6 1.9 19.0 11.0 73
James Neal 14 4 69 2.4 3.2 20.3 11.9 71
Brady Skjei 4 6 53 2.1 1.7 7.5 4.5 67
Ryan Suter 3 13 40 1.4 1.9 7.5 4.5 67
Brett Connolly 12 7 50 1.9 1.5 24.0 14.4 66
Mathew Barzal 11 13 53 2.0 3.1 20.8 12.7 64
Zack Kassian 9 10 47 1.7 1.4 19.1 11.8 62
Jonathan Drouin 7 8 44 2.3 2.5 15.9 9.8 62
Blake Coleman 9 6 55 2.0 3.0 16.4 10.2 61
Bryan Rust 9 8 49 3.5 2.3 18.4 11.4 61
Andre Burakovsky 11 10 51 2.1 1.9 21.6 13.6 59
Brad Marchand 18 26 70 2.5 3.0 25.7 16.2 59
MacKenzie Weegar 3 7 37 1.9 1.5 8.1 5.1 59
Ivan Provorov 6 12 60 2.1 2.1 10.0 6.3 58
Dougie Hamilton 10 18 98 3.5 3.1 10.2 6.5 58
Barclay Goodrow 6 7 41 1.4 2.0 14.6 9.2 58
Jack Eichel 17 21 104 3.7 4.7 16.3 10.4 58
Kris Letang 7 9 75 3.9 3.9 9.3 5.9 58
Jason Zucker 10 9 51 1.8 2.5 19.6 12.5 57
Cam Fowler 5 10 53 1.9 2.3 9.4 6.0 56
Jakob Chychrun 6 4 65 2.2 2.6 9.2 5.9 55
Zach Parise 12 5 67 2.4 3.9 17.9 11.6 55
Nick Bonino 10 6 53 2.0 1.6 18.9 12.2 55
Victor Hedman 5 18 47 2.0 2.7 10.6 6.9 53
Matt Nieto 5 7 36 1.4 1.6 13.9 9.2 51
David Pastrnak 25 18 111 4.0 3.7 22.5 14.9 51
Noel Acciari 5 2 35 1.5 1.8 14.3 9.5 50
Ryan Strome 6 17 39 1.5 1.7 15.4 10.2 50
Wayne Simmonds 4 7 64 2.4 2.5 6.3 12.8 -51
Mikko Koivu 2 10 46 1.6 2.2 4.3 9.1 -52
Teddy Blueger 2 4 36 1.3 3.5 5.6 11.6 -52
Oliver Ekman-Larsson 2 8 57 2.0 2.2 3.5 7.5 -53
Trevor Lewis 1 3 38 1.9 2.4 2.6 5.7 -54
Alex Chiasson 2 6 39 1.6 1.5 5.1 12.3 -58
Alex DeBrincat 5 14 77 2.9 2.5 6.5 15.5 -58
Jonathan Toews 4 10 70 2.6 3.1 5.7 13.9 -59
Cam Atkinson 4 11 89 3.3 3.6 4.5 11.4 -61
Taylor Hall 4 18 98 3.6 4.8 4.1 10.5 -61
Joel Eriksson Ek 1 9 44 1.8 2.2 2.3 5.8 -61
Mike Green 1 4 39 1.8 2.6 2.6 7.9 -67
Austin Wagner 2 3 50 2.1 1.4 4.0 12.0 -67
Craig Smith 2 5 66 2.4 2.7 3.0 9.3 -67
Justin Faulk 1 6 53 1.8 2.9 1.9 5.9 -68
Connor Brown 2 13 59 2.1 1.4 3.4 10.9 -69
Alex Galchenyuk 1 8 38 2.1 2.5 2.6 12.0 -78
Josh Anderson 1 2 49 2.3 2.7 2.0 10.7 -81
Tyler Myers 0 4 52 1.8 2.6 0.0 6.8 -100
Colin Miller 0 4 35 1.6 2.2 0.0 4.5 -100
Frans Nielsen 0 1 37 1.4 1.9 0.0 10.1 -100
Jordie Benn 0 5 38 1.3 1.3 0.0 4.0 -100
Deryk Engelland 0 3 36 1.4 1.4 0.0 4.1 -100
Alec Martinez 0 5 36 1.5 1.7 0.0 7.1 -100
Milan Lucic 0 4 39 1.4 1.7 0.0 13.1 -100
Legend
G
Goals
A
Assists
S
Shots on goal
S/GP
Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP
Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%
2019-2020 shooting percentage
CSH%
Career shooting percentage
DEV
Deviation from career shooting percentage