Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters | Fantasy Hockey Advice and Analysis | leftwinglock.com

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Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters

Introduction

Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 50 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

Shot Production and Shooting Percentage Data

Player G A S S/GP 3YS/GP SH% CSH% DEV
Jonas Brodin 9 14 73 1.5 1.4 12.3 5.4 130
Brandon Saad 15 9 68 1.5 2.8 22.1 11.9 85
Alex Wennberg 13 12 77 1.4 1.3 16.9 9.2 84
Joonas Donskoi 15 14 69 1.5 1.9 21.7 12.1 79
Brendan Smith 5 5 58 1.2 1.5 8.6 4.8 79
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare 7 1 57 1.2 1.4 12.3 7.0 77
Joel Eriksson Ek 18 10 114 2.2 2.1 15.8 9.0 75
Ryan O'Reilly 23 27 116 2.3 2.5 19.8 11.3 75
Rocco Grimaldi 9 3 61 1.6 2.2 14.8 8.8 67
Mikael Granlund 13 12 74 1.5 2.5 17.6 10.7 65
Tyler Toffoli 28 14 154 3.1 3.0 18.2 11.1 64
Dmitry Orlov 8 13 80 1.7 1.4 10.0 6.1 64
Adam Erne 11 9 71 1.6 1.8 15.5 9.5 63
Shayne Gostisbehere 9 11 84 2.1 2.8 10.7 6.6 62
Tomas Nosek 8 10 59 1.6 1.7 13.6 8.4 61
Curtis Lazar 6 6 50 1.1 2.1 12.0 7.6 59
Aaron Ekblad 11 11 101 2.9 2.3 10.9 6.9 59
Jeff Petry 12 28 125 2.4 2.2 9.6 6.0 59
Jean-Gabriel Pageau 14 14 78 1.5 2.6 18.0 11.4 57
Jared McCann 13 16 88 2.1 2.3 14.8 9.5 55
Tom Wilson 13 20 78 1.8 2.2 16.7 11.1 50
Oliver Ekman-Larsson 3 19 81 1.8 2.3 3.7 7.4 -50
Vladimir Tarasenko 4 10 65 2.7 5.2 6.2 12.6 -51
Chris Wagner 2 3 52 1.3 1.4 3.9 8.0 -52
Darren Helm 3 5 81 1.8 2.0 3.7 7.8 -52
Matt Duchene 4 7 69 2.2 2.4 5.8 12.5 -53
Colton Parayko 1 9 51 1.8 2.5 2.0 4.2 -53
Nick Leddy 2 27 74 1.4 1.6 2.7 5.8 -54
Jake DeBrusk 4 7 78 2.1 2.6 5.1 12.3 -58
Philippe Myers 1 9 72 1.8 2.2 1.4 3.4 -59
Ryan Graves 2 13 93 1.9 2.7 2.2 5.5 -61
Nikita Zadorov 1 7 51 1.0 1.4 2.0 5.2 -62
Kevin Shattenkirk 2 13 93 1.7 2.5 2.2 5.7 -62
Filip Hronek 2 21 109 2.0 2.4 1.8 5.2 -65
David Savard 1 5 65 1.3 1.6 1.5 4.6 -66
Ryan Pulock 2 14 116 2.2 2.6 1.7 5.0 -66
Ben Chiarot 1 5 76 2.1 1.7 1.3 4.1 -68
Jack Eichel 2 16 61 2.9 4.1 3.3 10.5 -69
Jonathan Drouin 2 21 76 1.7 2.8 2.6 9.0 -71
David Kampf 1 10 59 1.1 1.5 1.7 6.4 -73
Torey Krug 1 28 106 2.2 2.9 0.9 4.7 -80
Alexander Edler 0 7 83 1.9 2.8 0.0 4.9 -100
Tucker Poolman 0 1 50 1.3 1.4 0.0 3.5 -100
Legend
G
Goals
A
Assists
S
Shots on goal
S/GP
Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP
Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%
2020-2021 shooting percentage
CSH%
Career shooting percentage
DEV
Deviation from career shooting percentage