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Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters

May 6, 2021   Left Wing Lock Staff   0 Comments

Introduction

Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 50 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

PlayerGASS/GP3YS/GPSH%CSH%DEV
Jonas Brodin914731.51.412.35.4130
Brandon Saad159681.52.822.111.985
Alex Wennberg1312771.41.316.99.284
Joonas Donskoi1514691.51.921.712.179
Brendan Smith55581.21.58.64.879
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare71571.21.412.37.077
Joel Eriksson Ek18101142.22.115.89.075
Ryan O'Reilly23271162.32.519.811.375
Rocco Grimaldi93611.62.214.88.867
Mikael Granlund1312741.52.517.610.765
Tyler Toffoli28141543.13.018.211.164
Dmitry Orlov813801.71.410.06.164
Adam Erne119711.61.815.59.563
Shayne Gostisbehere911842.12.810.76.662
Tomas Nosek810591.61.713.68.461
Curtis Lazar66501.12.112.07.659
Aaron Ekblad11111012.92.310.96.959
Jeff Petry12281252.42.29.66.059
Jean-Gabriel Pageau1414781.52.618.011.457
Jared McCann1316882.12.314.89.555
Tom Wilson1320781.82.216.711.150
Oliver Ekman-Larsson319811.82.33.77.4-50
Vladimir Tarasenko410652.75.26.212.6-51
Chris Wagner23521.31.43.98.0-52
Darren Helm35811.82.03.77.8-52
Matt Duchene47692.22.45.812.5-53
Colton Parayko19511.82.52.04.2-53
Nick Leddy227741.41.62.75.8-54
Jake DeBrusk47782.12.65.112.3-58
Philippe Myers19721.82.21.43.4-59
Ryan Graves213931.92.72.25.5-61
Nikita Zadorov17511.01.42.05.2-62
Kevin Shattenkirk213931.72.52.25.7-62
Filip Hronek2211092.02.41.85.2-65
David Savard15651.31.61.54.6-66
Ryan Pulock2141162.22.61.75.0-66
Ben Chiarot15762.11.71.34.1-68
Jack Eichel216612.94.13.310.5-69
Jonathan Drouin221761.72.82.69.0-71
David Kampf110591.11.51.76.4-73
Torey Krug1281062.22.90.94.7-80
Alexander Edler07831.92.80.04.9-100
Tucker Poolman01501.31.40.03.5-100

Legend

G: Goals

A: Assists

S: Shots on goal

S/GP: Shots on goal per game

3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game

SH%: 2020-2021 shooting percentage

CSH%: Career shooting percentage

DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage

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