Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 50 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonas Brodin | 9 | 14 | 73 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 12.3 | 5.4 | 130 |
| Brandon Saad | 15 | 9 | 68 | 1.5 | 2.8 | 22.1 | 11.9 | 85 |
| Alex Wennberg | 13 | 12 | 77 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 16.9 | 9.2 | 84 |
| Joonas Donskoi | 15 | 14 | 69 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 21.7 | 12.1 | 79 |
| Brendan Smith | 5 | 5 | 58 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 8.6 | 4.8 | 79 |
| Pierre-Edouard Bellemare | 7 | 1 | 57 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 12.3 | 7.0 | 77 |
| Joel Eriksson Ek | 18 | 10 | 114 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 15.8 | 9.0 | 75 |
| Ryan O'Reilly | 23 | 27 | 116 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 19.8 | 11.3 | 75 |
| Rocco Grimaldi | 9 | 3 | 61 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 14.8 | 8.8 | 67 |
| Mikael Granlund | 13 | 12 | 74 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 17.6 | 10.7 | 65 |
| Tyler Toffoli | 28 | 14 | 154 | 3.1 | 3.0 | 18.2 | 11.1 | 64 |
| Dmitry Orlov | 8 | 13 | 80 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 10.0 | 6.1 | 64 |
| Adam Erne | 11 | 9 | 71 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 15.5 | 9.5 | 63 |
| Shayne Gostisbehere | 9 | 11 | 84 | 2.1 | 2.8 | 10.7 | 6.6 | 62 |
| Tomas Nosek | 8 | 10 | 59 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 13.6 | 8.4 | 61 |
| Curtis Lazar | 6 | 6 | 50 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 12.0 | 7.6 | 59 |
| Aaron Ekblad | 11 | 11 | 101 | 2.9 | 2.3 | 10.9 | 6.9 | 59 |
| Jeff Petry | 12 | 28 | 125 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 9.6 | 6.0 | 59 |
| Jean-Gabriel Pageau | 14 | 14 | 78 | 1.5 | 2.6 | 18.0 | 11.4 | 57 |
| Jared McCann | 13 | 16 | 88 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 14.8 | 9.5 | 55 |
| Tom Wilson | 13 | 20 | 78 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 16.7 | 11.1 | 50 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 3 | 19 | 81 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 3.7 | 7.4 | -50 |
| Vladimir Tarasenko | 4 | 10 | 65 | 2.7 | 5.2 | 6.2 | 12.6 | -51 |
| Chris Wagner | 2 | 3 | 52 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3.9 | 8.0 | -52 |
| Darren Helm | 3 | 5 | 81 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 3.7 | 7.8 | -52 |
| Matt Duchene | 4 | 7 | 69 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 5.8 | 12.5 | -53 |
| Colton Parayko | 1 | 9 | 51 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 4.2 | -53 |
| Nick Leddy | 2 | 27 | 74 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 2.7 | 5.8 | -54 |
| Jake DeBrusk | 4 | 7 | 78 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 5.1 | 12.3 | -58 |
| Philippe Myers | 1 | 9 | 72 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 3.4 | -59 |
| Ryan Graves | 2 | 13 | 93 | 1.9 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 5.5 | -61 |
| Nikita Zadorov | 1 | 7 | 51 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 5.2 | -62 |
| Kevin Shattenkirk | 2 | 13 | 93 | 1.7 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 5.7 | -62 |
| Filip Hronek | 2 | 21 | 109 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 5.2 | -65 |
| David Savard | 1 | 5 | 65 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 4.6 | -66 |
| Ryan Pulock | 2 | 14 | 116 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 1.7 | 5.0 | -66 |
| Ben Chiarot | 1 | 5 | 76 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4.1 | -68 |
| Jack Eichel | 2 | 16 | 61 | 2.9 | 4.1 | 3.3 | 10.5 | -69 |
| Jonathan Drouin | 2 | 21 | 76 | 1.7 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 9.0 | -71 |
| David Kampf | 1 | 10 | 59 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 6.4 | -73 |
| Torey Krug | 1 | 28 | 106 | 2.2 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 4.7 | -80 |
| Alexander Edler | 0 | 7 | 83 | 1.9 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 4.9 | -100 |
| Tucker Poolman | 0 | 1 | 50 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 3.5 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2020-2021 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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