Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 35 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Paul | 9 | 7 | 41 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 22.0 | 8.8 | 149 |
| Lawson Crouse | 10 | 2 | 37 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 27.0 | 11.5 | 135 |
| Filip Hronek | 6 | 12 | 47 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 12.8 | 5.5 | 133 |
| Jared McCann | 10 | 5 | 41 | 2.2 | 2.8 | 24.4 | 11.1 | 119 |
| Josh Morrissey | 5 | 20 | 38 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 13.2 | 6.0 | 118 |
| Erik Karlsson | 11 | 21 | 78 | 3.1 | 2.9 | 14.1 | 6.7 | 110 |
| Torey Krug | 4 | 6 | 38 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 10.5 | 5.1 | 106 |
| Nick Suzuki | 12 | 12 | 47 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 25.5 | 12.7 | 101 |
| Mikhail Sergachev | 4 | 18 | 36 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 11.1 | 5.9 | 89 |
| William Carrier | 8 | 3 | 52 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 15.4 | 8.4 | 83 |
| Adam Fox | 6 | 19 | 48 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 12.5 | 6.9 | 80 |
| Logan Couture | 13 | 9 | 56 | 2.2 | 2.8 | 23.2 | 12.9 | 80 |
| Nino Niederreiter | 9 | 2 | 39 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 23.1 | 13.0 | 78 |
| Alex Tuch | 10 | 12 | 54 | 2.5 | 3.6 | 18.5 | 10.5 | 77 |
| Nikita Zadorov | 4 | 2 | 44 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 9.1 | 5.2 | 75 |
| Rasmus Dahlin | 8 | 16 | 74 | 3.5 | 2.1 | 10.8 | 6.2 | 74 |
| Blake Wheeler | 7 | 13 | 37 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 18.9 | 10.9 | 74 |
| Clayton Keller | 7 | 14 | 38 | 1.9 | 2.7 | 18.4 | 11.0 | 67 |
| Tyson Barrie | 4 | 9 | 38 | 1.7 | 2.4 | 10.5 | 6.3 | 66 |
| Arthur Kaliyev | 8 | 8 | 52 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 15.4 | 9.3 | 65 |
| Bo Horvat | 17 | 7 | 76 | 3.3 | 2.8 | 22.4 | 13.6 | 64 |
| Claude Giroux | 9 | 11 | 49 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 18.4 | 11.2 | 64 |
| John Carlson | 7 | 6 | 66 | 3.7 | 2.7 | 10.6 | 6.6 | 62 |
| Alex Killorn | 7 | 11 | 36 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 19.4 | 12.1 | 61 |
| Brock McGinn | 6 | 3 | 36 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 16.7 | 10.3 | 61 |
| Owen Tippett | 6 | 4 | 42 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 14.3 | 8.9 | 61 |
| Andrei Svechnikov | 14 | 10 | 72 | 3.1 | 3.0 | 19.4 | 12.3 | 59 |
| Evan Rodrigues | 6 | 3 | 48 | 2.7 | 3.0 | 12.5 | 7.9 | 59 |
| Hampus Lindholm | 4 | 14 | 44 | 2.0 | 2.8 | 9.1 | 5.8 | 56 |
| William Nylander | 13 | 12 | 68 | 2.8 | 3.0 | 19.1 | 12.3 | 55 |
| Charlie Coyle | 6 | 3 | 36 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 16.7 | 10.8 | 54 |
| Noah Dobson | 7 | 9 | 70 | 2.9 | 2.3 | 10.0 | 6.6 | 53 |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 9 | 14 | 51 | 2.3 | 3.0 | 17.7 | 11.7 | 51 |
| Aleksander Barkov | 5 | 13 | 74 | 3.9 | 3.5 | 6.8 | 13.9 | -51 |
| Evgeny Kuznetsov | 3 | 13 | 59 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 5.1 | 11.4 | -56 |
| Alexis Lafreniere | 3 | 7 | 45 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 6.7 | 15.3 | -56 |
| Tanner Jeannot | 3 | 2 | 40 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 7.5 | 17.1 | -56 |
| Oliver Bjorkstrand | 3 | 9 | 60 | 2.7 | 3.2 | 5.0 | 11.6 | -57 |
| Noah Hanifin | 1 | 9 | 55 | 2.6 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 4.4 | -59 |
| Patrick Kane | 3 | 13 | 65 | 3.1 | 3.7 | 4.6 | 11.5 | -60 |
| Drew Doughty | 1 | 14 | 41 | 1.6 | 2.7 | 2.4 | 6.0 | -60 |
| Kris Letang | 1 | 11 | 44 | 2.1 | 2.9 | 2.3 | 5.8 | -61 |
| Yanni Gourde | 2 | 10 | 37 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 5.4 | 15.0 | -64 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 1 | 10 | 40 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 6.9 | -64 |
| Mathew Barzal | 2 | 24 | 55 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 3.6 | 10.7 | -66 |
| Victor Hedman | 1 | 9 | 42 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 7.0 | -66 |
| Ivan Provorov | 1 | 10 | 51 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 6.0 | -67 |
| Patric Hornqvist | 1 | 1 | 35 | 1.8 | 3.8 | 2.9 | 9.4 | -69 |
| Kyle Okposo | 1 | 9 | 38 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 10.2 | -74 |
| Alexander Kerfoot | 1 | 7 | 35 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 2.9 | 12.9 | -78 |
| Erik Haula | 1 | 8 | 54 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 11.8 | -84 |
| Derek Stepan | 0 | 1 | 38 | 1.7 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 9.1 | -100 |
| MacKenzie Weegar | 0 | 6 | 45 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 4.8 | -100 |
| Quinn Hughes | 0 | 21 | 37 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 4.6 | -100 |
| Jacob Trouba | 0 | 6 | 74 | 3.2 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 4.5 | -100 |
| Kevin Shattenkirk | 0 | 6 | 37 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 5.5 | -100 |
| K'Andre Miller | 0 | 8 | 38 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 5.9 | -100 |
| Colton Parayko | 0 | 3 | 38 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 4.1 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2022-2023 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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