Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 35 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Paul | 11 | 7 | 48 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 22.9 | 9.1 | 152 |
| Scott Mayfield | 4 | 3 | 36 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 11.1 | 4.6 | 144 |
| Lawson Crouse | 10 | 2 | 40 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 25.0 | 11.4 | 119 |
| Jared McCann | 12 | 5 | 50 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 24.0 | 11.2 | 114 |
| Nick Suzuki | 14 | 15 | 52 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 26.9 | 13.0 | 108 |
| Torey Krug | 5 | 6 | 48 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 10.4 | 5.1 | 102 |
| Filip Hronek | 6 | 18 | 55 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 10.9 | 5.4 | 102 |
| Josh Morrissey | 5 | 22 | 42 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 11.9 | 6.0 | 98 |
| Erik Karlsson | 11 | 23 | 86 | 3.1 | 2.9 | 12.8 | 6.7 | 91 |
| Thomas Chabot | 5 | 9 | 47 | 2.4 | 3.1 | 10.6 | 5.8 | 82 |
| Adam Fox | 7 | 21 | 55 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 12.7 | 7.0 | 81 |
| Alex Tuch | 12 | 12 | 65 | 2.6 | 3.6 | 18.5 | 10.6 | 74 |
| Brock McGinn | 7 | 4 | 39 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 18.0 | 10.4 | 72 |
| Noel Acciari | 8 | 4 | 40 | 1.5 | 2.7 | 20.0 | 11.6 | 72 |
| Barclay Goodrow | 6 | 5 | 38 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 15.8 | 9.3 | 69 |
| William Carrier | 8 | 3 | 57 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 14.0 | 8.3 | 68 |
| Ryan Johansen | 7 | 7 | 35 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 20.0 | 11.9 | 68 |
| Max Domi | 9 | 10 | 52 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 17.3 | 10.5 | 65 |
| Vince Dunn | 4 | 12 | 37 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 10.8 | 6.5 | 65 |
| Alex Killorn | 8 | 13 | 40 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 20.0 | 12.1 | 65 |
| Bo Horvat | 20 | 7 | 88 | 3.4 | 2.8 | 22.7 | 13.7 | 65 |
| Nikita Zadorov | 4 | 2 | 47 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 8.5 | 5.2 | 64 |
| Mikhail Sergachev | 4 | 19 | 42 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 9.5 | 5.8 | 64 |
| Rasmus Dahlin | 8 | 21 | 79 | 3.3 | 2.1 | 10.1 | 6.2 | 64 |
| Owen Tippett | 7 | 4 | 47 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 14.9 | 9.1 | 64 |
| Claude Giroux | 11 | 12 | 61 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 18.0 | 11.3 | 60 |
| Evan Rodrigues | 6 | 3 | 48 | 2.7 | 3.0 | 12.5 | 7.9 | 59 |
| Jordan Martinook | 7 | 6 | 53 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 13.2 | 8.3 | 59 |
| Nino Niederreiter | 9 | 2 | 44 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 20.5 | 12.9 | 58 |
| John Carlson | 8 | 6 | 77 | 3.7 | 2.7 | 10.4 | 6.6 | 58 |
| Arthur Kaliyev | 9 | 8 | 61 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 14.8 | 9.4 | 57 |
| Logan Couture | 13 | 11 | 65 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 20.0 | 12.8 | 56 |
| Logan O'Connor | 5 | 3 | 39 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 12.8 | 8.2 | 56 |
| Andrei Svechnikov | 15 | 10 | 79 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 19.0 | 12.3 | 55 |
| Ilya Mikheyev | 8 | 7 | 47 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 17.0 | 11.0 | 54 |
| Ryan Strome | 7 | 7 | 42 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 16.7 | 10.9 | 53 |
| Taylor Raddysh | 7 | 3 | 36 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 19.4 | 12.9 | 51 |
| Aleksander Barkov | 5 | 13 | 74 | 3.9 | 3.5 | 6.8 | 13.9 | -51 |
| Mattias Ekholm | 1 | 7 | 39 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 5.2 | -51 |
| Corey Perry | 3 | 8 | 50 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 6.0 | 12.7 | -53 |
| Tyler Motte | 2 | 6 | 52 | 2.1 | 2.8 | 3.9 | 8.1 | -53 |
| Yanni Gourde | 3 | 11 | 44 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 6.8 | 15.0 | -54 |
| Alex DeBrincat | 6 | 14 | 88 | 3.5 | 3.1 | 6.8 | 14.8 | -54 |
| Tanner Jeannot | 3 | 2 | 41 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 7.3 | 17.0 | -57 |
| Devon Toews | 1 | 14 | 36 | 1.7 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 6.6 | -58 |
| Patrick Kane | 4 | 16 | 82 | 3.3 | 3.7 | 4.9 | 11.5 | -58 |
| Mark Giordano | 1 | 6 | 35 | 1.3 | 2.6 | 2.9 | 6.9 | -58 |
| Evgeny Kuznetsov | 3 | 15 | 64 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 4.7 | 11.4 | -59 |
| Mathew Barzal | 3 | 25 | 68 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 4.4 | 10.6 | -59 |
| Alexander Kerfoot | 2 | 9 | 39 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 5.1 | 13.0 | -60 |
| Kris Letang | 1 | 11 | 44 | 2.1 | 2.9 | 2.3 | 5.8 | -61 |
| Noah Hanifin | 1 | 9 | 63 | 2.6 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 4.4 | -64 |
| Drew Doughty | 1 | 16 | 47 | 1.7 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 6.0 | -65 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 1 | 10 | 46 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 6.9 | -69 |
| Ivan Provorov | 1 | 11 | 54 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 5.9 | -69 |
| Victor Hedman | 1 | 10 | 48 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 7.0 | -70 |
| Patric Hornqvist | 1 | 2 | 40 | 1.8 | 3.8 | 2.5 | 9.4 | -73 |
| Josh Leivo | 1 | 7 | 41 | 2.6 | 4.1 | 2.4 | 9.6 | -75 |
| Kyle Okposo | 1 | 9 | 40 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 10.2 | -76 |
| Vladislav Namestnikov | 1 | 4 | 38 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2.6 | 12.6 | -79 |
| Erik Haula | 1 | 11 | 57 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 11.8 | -85 |
| Barrett Hayton | 0 | 3 | 36 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 8.4 | -100 |
| Derek Stepan | 0 | 1 | 38 | 1.7 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 9.1 | -100 |
| Jacob Trouba | 0 | 7 | 80 | 3.0 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 4.5 | -100 |
| MacKenzie Weegar | 0 | 6 | 47 | 1.9 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 4.8 | -100 |
| Erik Gustafsson | 0 | 9 | 37 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 5.9 | -100 |
| Kevin Shattenkirk | 0 | 8 | 49 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 5.4 | -100 |
| Quinn Hughes | 0 | 24 | 42 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 4.5 | -100 |
| Teuvo Teravainen | 0 | 7 | 35 | 2.2 | 3.2 | 0.0 | 9.9 | -100 |
| Erik Johnson | 0 | 5 | 37 | 1.6 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 4.9 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2022-2023 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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