Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Paul | 12 | 8 | 55 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 21.8 | 9.2 | 138 |
| Sean Kuraly | 7 | 3 | 41 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 17.1 | 7.2 | 137 |
| Lawson Crouse | 13 | 3 | 51 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 25.5 | 11.7 | 118 |
| Jared McCann | 13 | 6 | 54 | 2.2 | 2.8 | 24.1 | 11.3 | 113 |
| Scott Mayfield | 4 | 4 | 43 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 9.3 | 4.5 | 107 |
| Nick Suzuki | 14 | 15 | 56 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 25.0 | 12.9 | 94 |
| Erik Karlsson | 12 | 26 | 92 | 3.0 | 2.9 | 13.0 | 6.7 | 94 |
| Josh Morrissey | 5 | 27 | 45 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 11.1 | 6.0 | 85 |
| Thomas Chabot | 6 | 10 | 56 | 2.4 | 3.1 | 10.7 | 5.9 | 82 |
| Brock McGinn | 8 | 4 | 42 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 19.1 | 10.5 | 81 |
| Mikhail Sergachev | 5 | 22 | 48 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 10.4 | 5.9 | 76 |
| Filip Hronek | 6 | 18 | 65 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 9.2 | 5.3 | 74 |
| Torey Krug | 5 | 7 | 57 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 8.8 | 5.1 | 71 |
| Max Domi | 10 | 10 | 56 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 17.9 | 10.5 | 70 |
| Clayton Keller | 10 | 17 | 53 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 18.9 | 11.2 | 69 |
| Ryan Johansen | 8 | 8 | 40 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 20.0 | 11.9 | 68 |
| Alex Tuch | 14 | 16 | 79 | 2.7 | 3.6 | 17.7 | 10.6 | 66 |
| Brady Skjei | 5 | 6 | 65 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 7.7 | 4.6 | 66 |
| Jan Rutta | 3 | 3 | 40 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 7.5 | 4.6 | 64 |
| Noel Acciari | 8 | 4 | 42 | 1.4 | 2.7 | 19.1 | 11.6 | 64 |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 14 | 20 | 73 | 2.4 | 3.0 | 19.2 | 11.8 | 63 |
| Filip Chytil | 6 | 8 | 40 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 15.0 | 9.2 | 62 |
| Rasmus Dahlin | 9 | 24 | 90 | 3.2 | 2.1 | 10.0 | 6.2 | 61 |
| Adam Fox | 7 | 24 | 63 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 11.1 | 6.9 | 61 |
| Nick Bjugstad | 6 | 5 | 41 | 1.5 | 2.8 | 14.6 | 9.1 | 61 |
| Ilya Mikheyev | 9 | 7 | 50 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 18.0 | 11.2 | 61 |
| William Carrier | 9 | 3 | 68 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 13.2 | 8.3 | 59 |
| Michael Stone | 3 | 4 | 41 | 2.2 | 5.9 | 7.3 | 4.6 | 59 |
| Evan Rodrigues | 6 | 3 | 48 | 2.7 | 3.0 | 12.5 | 7.9 | 59 |
| Nikita Zadorov | 4 | 2 | 49 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 8.2 | 5.2 | 58 |
| Adam Larsson | 3 | 6 | 45 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 6.7 | 4.3 | 57 |
| Bo Horvat | 20 | 9 | 93 | 3.3 | 2.8 | 21.5 | 13.7 | 57 |
| Owen Tippett | 8 | 5 | 56 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 14.3 | 9.1 | 57 |
| Jordan Martinook | 7 | 7 | 54 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 13.0 | 8.3 | 56 |
| Claude Giroux | 12 | 14 | 69 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 17.4 | 11.3 | 54 |
| Logan Couture | 14 | 12 | 72 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 19.4 | 12.8 | 52 |
| Alex Killorn | 8 | 14 | 44 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 18.2 | 12.1 | 51 |
| Trevor Lewis | 5 | 3 | 55 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 9.1 | 6.0 | 51 |
| Evgeny Kuznetsov | 4 | 19 | 73 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 5.5 | 11.4 | -52 |
| Ivan Barbashev | 4 | 8 | 47 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 8.5 | 18.0 | -53 |
| Tyler Motte | 2 | 6 | 52 | 1.9 | 2.8 | 3.9 | 8.1 | -53 |
| Josh Leivo | 2 | 7 | 45 | 2.4 | 4.1 | 4.4 | 9.7 | -54 |
| Mattias Ekholm | 1 | 7 | 43 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 5.2 | -55 |
| Kyle Okposo | 2 | 9 | 44 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 4.6 | 10.3 | -56 |
| Frank Vatrano | 4 | 6 | 92 | 3.1 | 2.6 | 4.4 | 9.8 | -56 |
| Tanner Jeannot | 3 | 3 | 43 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 7.0 | 16.8 | -59 |
| Mathew Barzal | 3 | 27 | 71 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 4.2 | 10.6 | -60 |
| Kris Letang | 1 | 11 | 45 | 2.0 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 5.8 | -62 |
| Oliver Bjorkstrand | 3 | 11 | 71 | 2.5 | 3.2 | 4.2 | 11.5 | -63 |
| Patrick Kane | 4 | 17 | 95 | 3.5 | 3.7 | 4.2 | 11.5 | -63 |
| K'Andre Miller | 1 | 11 | 45 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 6.2 | -64 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 1 | 12 | 51 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 6.9 | -71 |
| Drew Doughty | 1 | 16 | 57 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 1.8 | 6.0 | -71 |
| Patric Hornqvist | 1 | 2 | 40 | 1.8 | 3.8 | 2.5 | 9.4 | -73 |
| Victor Hedman | 1 | 13 | 53 | 2.0 | 2.6 | 1.9 | 7.0 | -73 |
| Ivan Provorov | 1 | 11 | 64 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 5.9 | -74 |
| Vladislav Namestnikov | 1 | 5 | 40 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 12.6 | -80 |
| Erik Haula | 1 | 11 | 60 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 11.8 | -86 |
| Kevin Shattenkirk | 0 | 8 | 61 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 5.4 | -100 |
| Teuvo Teravainen | 0 | 8 | 41 | 2.3 | 3.2 | 0.0 | 9.8 | -100 |
| MacKenzie Weegar | 0 | 6 | 50 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 4.7 | -100 |
| Owen Power | 0 | 10 | 42 | 1.4 | 12.9 | 0.0 | 3.8 | -100 |
| Jacob Trouba | 0 | 8 | 85 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 4.5 | -100 |
| Quinn Hughes | 0 | 25 | 45 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 4.5 | -100 |
| Erik Johnson | 0 | 6 | 45 | 1.7 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 4.9 | -100 |
| Erik Gustafsson | 0 | 10 | 42 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 5.9 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2022-2023 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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