Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 50 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Paul | 15 | 9 | 70 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 21.4 | 9.5 | 126 |
| Jared McCann | 19 | 8 | 72 | 1.9 | 2.8 | 26.4 | 11.7 | 125 |
| Brady Skjei | 8 | 11 | 92 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 8.7 | 4.8 | 80 |
| Bo Horvat | 29 | 16 | 119 | 3.0 | 2.8 | 24.4 | 14.1 | 73 |
| Filip Chytil | 12 | 10 | 71 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 16.9 | 9.8 | 72 |
| Josh Morrissey | 7 | 39 | 67 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 10.5 | 6.1 | 72 |
| Erik Karlsson | 13 | 42 | 113 | 2.7 | 2.9 | 11.5 | 6.7 | 71 |
| Rasmus Dahlin | 13 | 33 | 115 | 3.0 | 2.1 | 11.3 | 6.6 | 71 |
| Barclay Goodrow | 8 | 11 | 51 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 15.7 | 9.5 | 66 |
| Alex Tuch | 20 | 25 | 111 | 2.8 | 3.6 | 18.0 | 11.0 | 65 |
| Brock McGinn | 10 | 5 | 58 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 17.2 | 10.6 | 63 |
| Lawson Crouse | 14 | 8 | 75 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 18.7 | 11.4 | 63 |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 19 | 29 | 99 | 2.4 | 3.0 | 19.2 | 11.9 | 61 |
| Nikita Zadorov | 6 | 4 | 72 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 8.3 | 5.3 | 58 |
| David Krejci | 11 | 20 | 55 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 20.0 | 12.6 | 58 |
| Nick Suzuki | 15 | 19 | 77 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 19.5 | 12.5 | 56 |
| Brandon Saad | 13 | 5 | 67 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 19.4 | 12.5 | 55 |
| Jordan Staal | 11 | 8 | 61 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 18.0 | 11.6 | 55 |
| Filip Hronek | 7 | 22 | 86 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 8.1 | 5.3 | 54 |
| Travis Konecny | 21 | 22 | 111 | 3.2 | 2.5 | 18.9 | 12.3 | 54 |
| Alex Wennberg | 8 | 11 | 50 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 16.0 | 10.4 | 53 |
| Mikhail Sergachev | 6 | 23 | 67 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 9.0 | 5.9 | 52 |
| Phillip Danault | 13 | 19 | 83 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 15.7 | 10.4 | 51 |
| Nick Bjugstad | 10 | 7 | 72 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 13.9 | 9.2 | 51 |
| Torey Krug | 5 | 12 | 65 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 7.7 | 5.1 | 51 |
| Justin Schultz | 5 | 18 | 54 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 9.3 | 6.2 | 50 |
| Vince Dunn | 7 | 22 | 70 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 6.7 | 50 |
| Alexis Lafreniere | 5 | 13 | 70 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 7.1 | 14.6 | -51 |
| Dante Fabbro | 1 | 6 | 51 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 4.1 | -52 |
| Anton Lundell | 4 | 11 | 75 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 5.3 | 11.0 | -52 |
| Vladislav Namestnikov | 3 | 6 | 51 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 5.9 | 12.6 | -53 |
| Patrick Kane | 7 | 20 | 133 | 3.6 | 3.7 | 5.3 | 11.4 | -54 |
| Teuvo Teravainen | 3 | 13 | 70 | 2.3 | 3.2 | 4.3 | 9.8 | -56 |
| Drew Doughty | 2 | 22 | 78 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 2.6 | 6.0 | -57 |
| Ivan Provorov | 2 | 12 | 80 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 5.9 | -58 |
| Jack Roslovic | 3 | 17 | 58 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 5.2 | 12.5 | -59 |
| Tanner Jeannot | 3 | 6 | 63 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 4.8 | 15.2 | -69 |
| MacKenzie Weegar | 1 | 9 | 73 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 4.7 | -71 |
| Erik Haula | 2 | 17 | 77 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 11.7 | -78 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 1 | 18 | 67 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 6.8 | -78 |
| Victor Hedman | 1 | 26 | 74 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 1.4 | 6.9 | -80 |
| Kevin Shattenkirk | 0 | 9 | 74 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 5.4 | -100 |
| Erik Johnson | 0 | 7 | 65 | 1.7 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 4.8 | -100 |
| Ryan Suter | 0 | 11 | 51 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 4.5 | -100 |
| Jonas Brodin | 0 | 5 | 50 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 4.8 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2022-2023 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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