Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 25 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinn Hughes | 8 | 22 | 58 | 3.1 | 2.0 | 13.8 | 5.7 | 140 |
| Nicholas Paul | 8 | 3 | 34 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 23.5 | 9.8 | 140 |
| Teuvo Teravainen | 9 | 3 | 37 | 2.2 | 3.1 | 24.3 | 10.4 | 135 |
| Jake Walman | 4 | 3 | 31 | 1.8 | 2.9 | 12.9 | 5.6 | 132 |
| Sean Durzi | 5 | 7 | 34 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 14.7 | 6.5 | 128 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 5 | 6 | 32 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 15.6 | 6.9 | 126 |
| Noah Hanifin | 3 | 6 | 30 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 10.0 | 4.6 | 117 |
| Trevor Moore | 9 | 6 | 47 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 19.2 | 9.2 | 108 |
| Drew Doughty | 4 | 4 | 31 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 12.9 | 6.2 | 108 |
| Sean Kuraly | 5 | 3 | 32 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 15.6 | 7.6 | 107 |
| Sean Walker | 3 | 7 | 32 | 1.8 | 3.0 | 9.4 | 4.5 | 106 |
| Charlie Coyle | 6 | 9 | 27 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 22.2 | 11.0 | 103 |
| Brock Boeser | 13 | 9 | 51 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 25.5 | 13.3 | 92 |
| Rasmus Andersson | 3 | 7 | 37 | 2.6 | 1.9 | 8.1 | 4.3 | 87 |
| Erik Gustafsson | 3 | 9 | 25 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 12.0 | 6.5 | 86 |
| J.T. Miller | 12 | 17 | 44 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 27.3 | 14.8 | 85 |
| Frank Vatrano | 12 | 5 | 62 | 3.4 | 2.8 | 19.4 | 10.6 | 82 |
| Colton Parayko | 2 | 2 | 26 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 7.7 | 4.2 | 82 |
| Anze Kopitar | 9 | 8 | 39 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 23.1 | 12.8 | 80 |
| Mason Appleton | 6 | 7 | 32 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 18.8 | 10.5 | 79 |
| Shayne Gostisbehere | 4 | 8 | 31 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 12.9 | 7.3 | 77 |
| Sam Reinhart | 13 | 12 | 51 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 25.5 | 14.5 | 75 |
| Jakob Chychrun | 5 | 7 | 41 | 2.7 | 4.5 | 12.2 | 7.0 | 74 |
| MacKenzie Weegar | 4 | 5 | 48 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 8.3 | 4.8 | 74 |
| Fabian Zetterlund | 4 | 3 | 33 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 12.1 | 7.0 | 74 |
| Noah Dobson | 5 | 10 | 45 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 11.1 | 6.4 | 74 |
| Pavel Zacha | 7 | 7 | 34 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 20.6 | 12.0 | 72 |
| Lawson Crouse | 8 | 3 | 39 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 20.5 | 12.1 | 70 |
| Ryan O'Reilly | 8 | 8 | 40 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 20.0 | 11.7 | 70 |
| Jesper Bratt | 8 | 15 | 36 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 22.2 | 13.1 | 69 |
| Vincent Trocheck | 5 | 10 | 28 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 17.9 | 10.7 | 68 |
| Erik Karlsson | 5 | 12 | 43 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 11.6 | 7.0 | 66 |
| Chris Kreider | 10 | 5 | 40 | 2.5 | 2.9 | 25.0 | 15.3 | 64 |
| Carl Grundstrom | 6 | 1 | 30 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 20.0 | 12.2 | 64 |
| Devon Toews | 3 | 8 | 29 | 1.7 | 2.5 | 10.3 | 6.4 | 63 |
| Morgan Rielly | 3 | 12 | 39 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 7.7 | 4.8 | 62 |
| Ilya Mikheyev | 6 | 4 | 32 | 2.1 | 3.2 | 18.8 | 11.6 | 62 |
| Erik Haula | 6 | 5 | 31 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 19.4 | 12.1 | 61 |
| Ryan Hartman | 7 | 4 | 41 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 17.1 | 10.6 | 61 |
| Brady Tkachuk | 10 | 4 | 65 | 4.3 | 4.0 | 15.4 | 9.7 | 59 |
| Victor Hedman | 4 | 16 | 36 | 1.9 | 2.6 | 11.1 | 7.0 | 59 |
| William Karlsson | 9 | 11 | 45 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 20.0 | 12.7 | 58 |
| Cole Perfetti | 6 | 8 | 35 | 2.1 | 2.8 | 17.1 | 11.0 | 56 |
| Tyler Johnson | 5 | 2 | 25 | 1.6 | 2.7 | 20.0 | 12.8 | 56 |
| Seth Jarvis | 7 | 6 | 40 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 17.5 | 11.3 | 55 |
| Quinton Byfield | 3 | 12 | 26 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 11.5 | 7.4 | 55 |
| Charlie McAvoy | 3 | 10 | 29 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 10.3 | 6.8 | 53 |
| Colton Sissons | 5 | 3 | 26 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 19.2 | 12.6 | 53 |
| Jaccob Slavin | 3 | 7 | 46 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 6.5 | 4.3 | 52 |
| Rasmus Dahlin | 4 | 11 | 42 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 9.5 | 6.3 | 52 |
| Filip Zadina | 3 | 2 | 26 | 1.4 | 2.8 | 11.5 | 7.6 | 51 |
| Evgeni Malkin | 9 | 9 | 44 | 2.6 | 4.0 | 20.5 | 13.6 | 50 |
| Travis Konecny | 11 | 4 | 58 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 19.0 | 12.6 | 50 |
| John Carlson | 1 | 8 | 32 | 2.1 | 3.4 | 3.1 | 6.4 | -51 |
| Conor Garland | 2 | 3 | 39 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 5.1 | 10.4 | -51 |
| Alex Pietrangelo | 1 | 8 | 35 | 2.5 | 3.1 | 2.9 | 6.0 | -52 |
| Mikael Backlund | 2 | 6 | 50 | 2.8 | 2.9 | 4.0 | 8.3 | -52 |
| Anders Lee | 2 | 1 | 32 | 1.9 | 2.9 | 6.3 | 14.0 | -55 |
| Andrei Kuzmenko | 3 | 11 | 27 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 11.1 | 24.7 | -55 |
| Jakub Vrana | 2 | 4 | 37 | 2.5 | 4.9 | 5.4 | 14.1 | -62 |
| Lukas Reichel | 1 | 3 | 29 | 1.8 | 6.5 | 3.5 | 9.3 | -63 |
| Eetu Luostarinen | 1 | 3 | 26 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3.9 | 10.5 | -63 |
| Tyson Foerster | 1 | 3 | 32 | 1.9 | 19.3 | 3.1 | 8.5 | -63 |
| Luke Evangelista | 1 | 8 | 27 | 1.7 | 7.7 | 3.7 | 9.9 | -63 |
| Johnny Gaudreau | 2 | 5 | 46 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 4.4 | 12.3 | -65 |
| Zach Werenski | 1 | 10 | 40 | 2.4 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 7.1 | -65 |
| Mika Zibanejad | 2 | 8 | 44 | 2.8 | 2.9 | 4.6 | 13.2 | -65 |
| Ondrej Palat | 1 | 6 | 26 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 3.9 | 11.7 | -67 |
| Matt Boldy | 1 | 7 | 27 | 2.7 | 3.7 | 3.7 | 11.9 | -69 |
| Matthew Tkachuk | 3 | 14 | 75 | 4.2 | 3.4 | 4.0 | 12.8 | -69 |
| Jordan Staal | 1 | 4 | 29 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 3.5 | 11.5 | -70 |
| Jesper Fast | 1 | 2 | 26 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 3.9 | 12.8 | -70 |
| Trevor Zegras | 1 | 1 | 30 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 3.3 | 11.2 | -70 |
| Anton Lundell | 1 | 7 | 34 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 2.9 | 10.0 | -71 |
| Marcus Johansson | 1 | 7 | 30 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 3.3 | 12.6 | -73 |
| Jake DeBrusk | 1 | 5 | 34 | 2.1 | 3.1 | 2.9 | 12.5 | -76 |
| Scott Laughton | 1 | 9 | 44 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 9.5 | -76 |
| Josh Anderson | 0 | 2 | 39 | 2.2 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 11.1 | -100 |
| Cole Sillinger | 0 | 6 | 32 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 7.0 | -100 |
| Justin Faulk | 0 | 9 | 31 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 6.0 | -100 |
| Jordan Martinook | 0 | 4 | 42 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 7.6 | -100 |
| Adam Larsson | 0 | 3 | 35 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 4.2 | -100 |
| Calen Addison | 0 | 6 | 28 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 4.0 | -100 |
| Rickard Rakell | 0 | 4 | 44 | 2.6 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 10.9 | -100 |
| Kevin Shattenkirk | 0 | 3 | 25 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 5.3 | -100 |
| Seth Jones | 0 | 7 | 32 | 2.0 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 5.0 | -100 |
| T.J. Oshie | 0 | 1 | 29 | 1.9 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 14.5 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2023-2024 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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