Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 30 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Doughty | 6 | 6 | 38 | 1.7 | 2.4 | 15.8 | 6.3 | 152 |
| Jason Dickinson | 8 | 5 | 34 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 23.5 | 9.7 | 143 |
| Noah Hanifin | 5 | 7 | 45 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 11.1 | 4.7 | 135 |
| Nils Hoglander | 8 | 3 | 32 | 1.3 | 3.6 | 25.0 | 10.9 | 129 |
| Sam Lafferty | 7 | 6 | 33 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 21.2 | 9.9 | 115 |
| Colton Parayko | 4 | 4 | 45 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 8.9 | 4.3 | 106 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 6 | 6 | 42 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 14.3 | 6.9 | 106 |
| Quinn Hughes | 9 | 27 | 77 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 11.7 | 5.7 | 104 |
| Trevor Moore | 12 | 9 | 64 | 2.9 | 2.6 | 18.8 | 9.5 | 98 |
| Brock Boeser | 18 | 12 | 70 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 25.7 | 13.5 | 91 |
| K'Andre Miller | 5 | 7 | 31 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 16.1 | 8.4 | 91 |
| Sean Durzi | 5 | 8 | 42 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 11.9 | 6.3 | 90 |
| Shayne Gostisbehere | 5 | 14 | 37 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 13.5 | 7.3 | 84 |
| MacKenzie Weegar | 6 | 8 | 66 | 2.6 | 2.2 | 9.1 | 5.0 | 84 |
| Sam Reinhart | 16 | 13 | 60 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 26.7 | 14.6 | 82 |
| Charlie Coyle | 9 | 11 | 45 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 20.0 | 11.0 | 81 |
| Alex Newhook | 7 | 6 | 31 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 22.6 | 12.7 | 78 |
| Stefan Noesen | 6 | 8 | 34 | 1.4 | 4.3 | 17.7 | 10.0 | 76 |
| Ryan Johansen | 9 | 1 | 43 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 20.9 | 12.1 | 73 |
| Mike Hoffman | 6 | 3 | 30 | 1.2 | 2.7 | 20.0 | 11.8 | 70 |
| A.J. Greer | 4 | 4 | 30 | 1.3 | 2.7 | 13.3 | 7.9 | 70 |
| Ryan O'Reilly | 12 | 10 | 60 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 20.0 | 11.8 | 69 |
| Michael Carcone | 12 | 3 | 34 | 1.5 | 15.2 | 35.3 | 21.2 | 67 |
| Anze Kopitar | 10 | 11 | 47 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 21.3 | 12.8 | 66 |
| Trent Frederic | 6 | 4 | 33 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 18.2 | 11.0 | 65 |
| Mason Appleton | 6 | 9 | 35 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 17.1 | 10.4 | 65 |
| Quinton Byfield | 6 | 12 | 43 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 14.0 | 8.5 | 64 |
| Nicholas Paul | 8 | 3 | 51 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 15.7 | 9.5 | 64 |
| Sean Kuraly | 5 | 4 | 41 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 12.2 | 7.5 | 64 |
| Boone Jenner | 13 | 5 | 75 | 2.8 | 3.5 | 17.3 | 10.7 | 62 |
| Logan O'Connor | 4 | 4 | 30 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 13.3 | 8.3 | 61 |
| J.T. Miller | 14 | 25 | 60 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 23.3 | 14.7 | 58 |
| Joe Pavelski | 11 | 13 | 54 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 20.4 | 12.9 | 58 |
| Cole Perfetti | 9 | 10 | 48 | 2.0 | 2.8 | 18.8 | 11.9 | 57 |
| Seth Jarvis | 9 | 10 | 50 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 18.0 | 11.5 | 56 |
| Tyler Seguin | 8 | 9 | 47 | 2.0 | 3.6 | 17.0 | 10.9 | 56 |
| Nick Bjugstad | 6 | 10 | 41 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 14.6 | 9.4 | 56 |
| Fabian Zetterlund | 7 | 3 | 60 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 11.7 | 7.5 | 56 |
| Chris Kreider | 14 | 8 | 59 | 2.5 | 2.9 | 23.7 | 15.3 | 55 |
| Evander Kane | 11 | 9 | 70 | 3.2 | 5.5 | 15.7 | 10.1 | 55 |
| Sam Carrick | 5 | 2 | 32 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 15.6 | 10.1 | 54 |
| Darnell Nurse | 4 | 5 | 51 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 7.8 | 5.1 | 54 |
| Erik Haula | 7 | 6 | 38 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 18.4 | 12.1 | 53 |
| Devon Toews | 4 | 9 | 41 | 1.6 | 2.5 | 9.8 | 6.4 | 53 |
| Lawson Crouse | 10 | 5 | 54 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 18.5 | 12.1 | 53 |
| Brady Skjei | 4 | 11 | 48 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 8.3 | 5.5 | 52 |
| Alexey Toropchenko | 5 | 3 | 31 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 16.1 | 10.6 | 52 |
| Arthur Kaliyev | 6 | 6 | 42 | 2.1 | 2.8 | 14.3 | 9.5 | 51 |
| Erik Karlsson | 6 | 13 | 57 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 10.5 | 7.0 | 50 |
| Vladislav Namestnikov | 2 | 9 | 33 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 6.1 | 12.2 | -50 |
| Alex Ovechkin | 5 | 9 | 81 | 3.7 | 4.7 | 6.2 | 12.8 | -52 |
| Gustav Nyquist | 3 | 14 | 56 | 2.2 | NA | 5.4 | 11.2 | -52 |
| Mikael Granlund | 2 | 11 | 41 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 4.9 | 10.2 | -52 |
| Hampus Lindholm | 1 | 5 | 37 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 5.7 | -52 |
| Jesper Fast | 2 | 3 | 33 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 6.1 | 12.8 | -53 |
| Alex Killorn | 2 | 5 | 35 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 5.7 | 12.4 | -54 |
| Andrei Kuzmenko | 4 | 11 | 36 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 11.1 | 24.0 | -54 |
| Jordan Eberle | 3 | 9 | 51 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 5.9 | 12.8 | -54 |
| Jonas Brodin | 1 | 8 | 46 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 4.8 | -55 |
| Adam Larsson | 1 | 6 | 52 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 4.2 | -55 |
| Anthony Beauvillier | 2 | 6 | 40 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 5.0 | 11.3 | -56 |
| Jordan Staal | 2 | 6 | 40 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 5.0 | 11.4 | -56 |
| Miro Heiskanen | 1 | 13 | 46 | 2.0 | 2.6 | 2.2 | 5.1 | -58 |
| Dmitry Orlov | 1 | 8 | 38 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 2.6 | 6.3 | -58 |
| Anton Lundell | 2 | 8 | 48 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 4.2 | 9.8 | -58 |
| Jordan Kyrou | 4 | 11 | 81 | 3.4 | 2.8 | 4.9 | 12.5 | -61 |
| Torey Krug | 1 | 9 | 54 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 4.9 | -62 |
| Scott Laughton | 2 | 10 | 59 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 3.4 | 9.4 | -64 |
| Conor Garland | 2 | 6 | 55 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 3.6 | 10.2 | -64 |
| Jakub Vrana | 2 | 4 | 41 | 2.4 | 4.9 | 4.9 | 14.1 | -65 |
| Jakob Silfverberg | 1 | 5 | 32 | 1.3 | 2.4 | 3.1 | 9.1 | -66 |
| Cole Sillinger | 1 | 8 | 42 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 7.1 | -66 |
| Matthew Tkachuk | 4 | 15 | 95 | 4.0 | 3.4 | 4.2 | 12.7 | -67 |
| Max Domi | 1 | 11 | 31 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 3.2 | 10.1 | -68 |
| John Carlson | 1 | 13 | 49 | 2.2 | 3.4 | 2.0 | 6.4 | -68 |
| Alex Pietrangelo | 1 | 11 | 52 | 2.5 | 3.1 | 1.9 | 5.9 | -68 |
| Ryan McLeod | 1 | 5 | 30 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 3.3 | 10.9 | -69 |
| Trevor Zegras | 1 | 1 | 30 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 3.3 | 11.2 | -70 |
| Andrei Svechnikov | 1 | 10 | 38 | 2.5 | 3.4 | 2.6 | 11.2 | -76 |
| Zach Werenski | 1 | 18 | 61 | 2.4 | 5.5 | 1.6 | 7.0 | -76 |
| T.J. Oshie | 1 | 1 | 30 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 3.3 | 14.6 | -77 |
| Marcus Johansson | 1 | 8 | 36 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 2.8 | 12.5 | -78 |
| Josh Anderson | 1 | 4 | 49 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 11.1 | -82 |
| Rickard Rakell | 0 | 4 | 44 | 2.6 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 10.9 | -100 |
| Jordan Martinook | 0 | 6 | 56 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 7.5 | -100 |
| Tyson Barrie | 0 | 10 | 33 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 6.3 | -100 |
| Seth Jones | 0 | 10 | 53 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 4.9 | -100 |
| Ryan Suter | 0 | 6 | 33 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 4.5 | -100 |
| Calen Addison | 0 | 10 | 36 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 3.7 | -100 |
| Justin Faulk | 0 | 11 | 45 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 6.0 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2023-2024 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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