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Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters

January 17, 2024   Left Wing Lock Staff   0 Comments

Introduction

Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

Player G A S S/GP 3YS/GP SH% CSH% DEV
Jake Walman 9 8 63 1.7 2.9 14.3 6.5 120
Sam Lafferty 10 9 46 1.0 1.8 21.7 10.4 109
Jason Dickinson 14 7 67 1.5 1.5 20.9 10.2 105
Connor Dewar 7 2 41 1.0 1.6 17.1 8.7 96
Nils Hoglander 12 5 54 1.3 3.6 22.2 11.4 95
Jake Middleton 5 9 44 1.0 NA 11.4 5.8 95
Colton Parayko 7 6 84 2.0 2.0 8.3 4.4 89
Drew Doughty 9 13 77 1.9 2.4 11.7 6.3 86
Stefan Noesen 11 15 56 1.3 4.3 19.6 10.6 86
Noah Hanifin 7 16 79 1.8 2.3 8.9 4.8 86
Blake Coleman 20 18 106 2.4 2.4 18.9 10.3 84
Sam Reinhart 32 23 115 2.7 2.6 27.8 15.2 83
Quinn Hughes 11 41 105 2.4 2.0 10.5 5.8 81
Jonathan Drouin 10 15 62 1.4 2.5 16.1 9.1 78
Adam Fox 7 23 56 1.7 2.0 12.5 7.2 74
MacKenzie Weegar 9 17 103 2.3 2.2 8.7 5.1 71
Oliver Ekman-Larsson 8 14 68 1.6 2.3 11.8 7.0 69
Trent Frederic 13 10 64 1.5 1.8 20.3 12.1 68
Michael McLeod 10 9 68 1.7 1.1 14.7 8.8 66
K'Andre Miller 7 9 49 1.2 1.3 14.3 8.6 66
Joel Armia 7 0 45 1.7 2.6 15.6 9.4 65
Teuvo Teravainen 14 11 82 1.9 3.1 17.1 10.4 64
Brock Boeser 27 19 122 2.8 2.8 22.1 13.6 62
Rasmus Andersson 7 18 95 2.4 1.9 7.4 4.5 62
Tyler Seguin 16 17 90 2.1 3.6 17.8 11.0 61
Valeri Nichushkin 22 20 128 3.2 3.3 17.2 10.8 59
Sean Durzi 7 18 69 1.9 2.0 10.1 6.4 59
Trevor Moore 20 11 129 3.1 2.6 15.5 9.7 59
Kevin Shattenkirk 5 7 58 1.6 2.0 8.6 5.5 58
Kevin Stenlund 8 2 43 1.0 3.3 18.6 11.8 57
Josh Manson 5 8 64 1.6 2.4 7.8 5.0 55
Yegor Chinakhov 11 7 68 2.1 2.8 16.2 10.5 54
A.J. Greer 6 4 47 1.1 2.7 12.8 8.3 54
Ryan Johansen 11 7 60 1.3 1.8 18.3 12.1 52
Charlie Coyle 15 17 89 2.1 1.7 16.9 11.1 52
Quinton Byfield 12 18 80 2.0 2.1 15.0 9.9 52
Boone Jenner 13 5 81 2.8 3.5 16.1 10.7 51
Mikey Anderson 1 13 53 1.3 1.2 1.9 3.8 -50
Calen Addison 1 11 50 1.3 1.6 2.0 4.1 -51
Nathan Bastian 2 5 41 1.1 1.9 4.9 10.0 -51
Kevin Labanc 2 5 43 1.3 3.0 4.7 9.4 -51
Dmitry Orlov 2 13 68 1.6 2.0 2.9 6.2 -53
Nate Schmidt 1 6 42 1.1 1.6 2.4 5.2 -54
Alex Ovechkin 8 19 139 3.6 4.7 5.8 12.8 -55
Scott Laughton 4 15 98 2.2 2.1 4.1 9.3 -56
Ryan McDonagh 1 10 45 1.2 1.5 2.2 5.3 -58
Jonas Brodin 1 9 51 2.0 1.9 2.0 4.8 -59
Nick Cousins 2 3 63 1.7 1.5 3.2 7.7 -59
Justin Faulk 2 15 83 2.2 2.3 2.4 6.0 -60
Thomas Chabot 1 9 45 2.6 3.2 2.2 5.6 -60
Ryan Suter 1 7 57 1.3 1.3 1.8 4.5 -61
Nikita Zadorov 1 9 47 1.2 1.4 2.1 5.8 -63
Jakob Silfverberg 2 6 61 1.4 2.4 3.3 9.0 -64
Alex Pietrangelo 2 16 98 2.5 3.1 2.0 5.9 -65
Jakub Vrana 2 4 42 2.0 4.9 4.8 14.0 -66
Hampus Lindholm 1 13 60 1.4 2.5 1.7 5.6 -70
Aaron Ekblad 1 8 50 1.9 3.9 2.0 6.8 -71
Anton Lundell 2 11 77 2.0 2.4 2.6 9.0 -71
Brandon Montour 1 8 64 2.4 2.4 1.6 5.7 -73
Torey Krug 1 18 90 2.1 2.5 1.1 4.8 -77
Zach Werenski 1 24 87 2.6 5.5 1.2 6.8 -83
Connor Brown 0 3 57 1.7 NA 0.0 10.8 -100
Nicolas Deslauriers 0 3 40 1.0 1.1 0.0 7.6 -100
Rasmus Sandin 0 11 45 1.3 1.4 0.0 6.4 -100
Cody Ceci 0 11 44 1.1 NA 0.0 4.0 -100

Legend

G: Goals

A: Assists

S: Shots on goal

S/GP: Shots on goal per game

3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game

SH%: 2023-2024 shooting percentage

CSH%: Career shooting percentage

DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage

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