Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Walman | 9 | 8 | 63 | 1.7 | 2.9 | 14.3 | 6.5 | 120 |
| Sam Lafferty | 10 | 9 | 46 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 21.7 | 10.4 | 109 |
| Jason Dickinson | 14 | 7 | 67 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 20.9 | 10.2 | 105 |
| Connor Dewar | 7 | 2 | 41 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 17.1 | 8.7 | 96 |
| Nils Hoglander | 12 | 5 | 54 | 1.3 | 3.6 | 22.2 | 11.4 | 95 |
| Jake Middleton | 5 | 9 | 44 | 1.0 | NA | 11.4 | 5.8 | 95 |
| Colton Parayko | 7 | 6 | 84 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 8.3 | 4.4 | 89 |
| Drew Doughty | 9 | 13 | 77 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 11.7 | 6.3 | 86 |
| Stefan Noesen | 11 | 15 | 56 | 1.3 | 4.3 | 19.6 | 10.6 | 86 |
| Noah Hanifin | 7 | 16 | 79 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 8.9 | 4.8 | 86 |
| Blake Coleman | 20 | 18 | 106 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 18.9 | 10.3 | 84 |
| Sam Reinhart | 32 | 23 | 115 | 2.7 | 2.6 | 27.8 | 15.2 | 83 |
| Quinn Hughes | 11 | 41 | 105 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 10.5 | 5.8 | 81 |
| Jonathan Drouin | 10 | 15 | 62 | 1.4 | 2.5 | 16.1 | 9.1 | 78 |
| Adam Fox | 7 | 23 | 56 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 12.5 | 7.2 | 74 |
| MacKenzie Weegar | 9 | 17 | 103 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 8.7 | 5.1 | 71 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 8 | 14 | 68 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 11.8 | 7.0 | 69 |
| Trent Frederic | 13 | 10 | 64 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 20.3 | 12.1 | 68 |
| Michael McLeod | 10 | 9 | 68 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 14.7 | 8.8 | 66 |
| K'Andre Miller | 7 | 9 | 49 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 14.3 | 8.6 | 66 |
| Joel Armia | 7 | 0 | 45 | 1.7 | 2.6 | 15.6 | 9.4 | 65 |
| Teuvo Teravainen | 14 | 11 | 82 | 1.9 | 3.1 | 17.1 | 10.4 | 64 |
| Brock Boeser | 27 | 19 | 122 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 22.1 | 13.6 | 62 |
| Rasmus Andersson | 7 | 18 | 95 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 7.4 | 4.5 | 62 |
| Tyler Seguin | 16 | 17 | 90 | 2.1 | 3.6 | 17.8 | 11.0 | 61 |
| Valeri Nichushkin | 22 | 20 | 128 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 17.2 | 10.8 | 59 |
| Sean Durzi | 7 | 18 | 69 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 10.1 | 6.4 | 59 |
| Trevor Moore | 20 | 11 | 129 | 3.1 | 2.6 | 15.5 | 9.7 | 59 |
| Kevin Shattenkirk | 5 | 7 | 58 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 8.6 | 5.5 | 58 |
| Kevin Stenlund | 8 | 2 | 43 | 1.0 | 3.3 | 18.6 | 11.8 | 57 |
| Josh Manson | 5 | 8 | 64 | 1.6 | 2.4 | 7.8 | 5.0 | 55 |
| Yegor Chinakhov | 11 | 7 | 68 | 2.1 | 2.8 | 16.2 | 10.5 | 54 |
| A.J. Greer | 6 | 4 | 47 | 1.1 | 2.7 | 12.8 | 8.3 | 54 |
| Ryan Johansen | 11 | 7 | 60 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 18.3 | 12.1 | 52 |
| Charlie Coyle | 15 | 17 | 89 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 16.9 | 11.1 | 52 |
| Quinton Byfield | 12 | 18 | 80 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 15.0 | 9.9 | 52 |
| Boone Jenner | 13 | 5 | 81 | 2.8 | 3.5 | 16.1 | 10.7 | 51 |
| Mikey Anderson | 1 | 13 | 53 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 3.8 | -50 |
| Calen Addison | 1 | 11 | 50 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 4.1 | -51 |
| Nathan Bastian | 2 | 5 | 41 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 4.9 | 10.0 | -51 |
| Kevin Labanc | 2 | 5 | 43 | 1.3 | 3.0 | 4.7 | 9.4 | -51 |
| Dmitry Orlov | 2 | 13 | 68 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 2.9 | 6.2 | -53 |
| Nate Schmidt | 1 | 6 | 42 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2.4 | 5.2 | -54 |
| Alex Ovechkin | 8 | 19 | 139 | 3.6 | 4.7 | 5.8 | 12.8 | -55 |
| Scott Laughton | 4 | 15 | 98 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 4.1 | 9.3 | -56 |
| Ryan McDonagh | 1 | 10 | 45 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 5.3 | -58 |
| Jonas Brodin | 1 | 9 | 51 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 4.8 | -59 |
| Nick Cousins | 2 | 3 | 63 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3.2 | 7.7 | -59 |
| Justin Faulk | 2 | 15 | 83 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 6.0 | -60 |
| Thomas Chabot | 1 | 9 | 45 | 2.6 | 3.2 | 2.2 | 5.6 | -60 |
| Ryan Suter | 1 | 7 | 57 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 4.5 | -61 |
| Nikita Zadorov | 1 | 9 | 47 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 5.8 | -63 |
| Jakob Silfverberg | 2 | 6 | 61 | 1.4 | 2.4 | 3.3 | 9.0 | -64 |
| Alex Pietrangelo | 2 | 16 | 98 | 2.5 | 3.1 | 2.0 | 5.9 | -65 |
| Jakub Vrana | 2 | 4 | 42 | 2.0 | 4.9 | 4.8 | 14.0 | -66 |
| Hampus Lindholm | 1 | 13 | 60 | 1.4 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 5.6 | -70 |
| Aaron Ekblad | 1 | 8 | 50 | 1.9 | 3.9 | 2.0 | 6.8 | -71 |
| Anton Lundell | 2 | 11 | 77 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 9.0 | -71 |
| Brandon Montour | 1 | 8 | 64 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 5.7 | -73 |
| Torey Krug | 1 | 18 | 90 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 4.8 | -77 |
| Zach Werenski | 1 | 24 | 87 | 2.6 | 5.5 | 1.2 | 6.8 | -83 |
| Connor Brown | 0 | 3 | 57 | 1.7 | NA | 0.0 | 10.8 | -100 |
| Nicolas Deslauriers | 0 | 3 | 40 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 7.6 | -100 |
| Rasmus Sandin | 0 | 11 | 45 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 6.4 | -100 |
| Cody Ceci | 0 | 11 | 44 | 1.1 | NA | 0.0 | 4.0 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2023-2024 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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