Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damon Severson | 6 | 10 | 42 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 14.3 | 5.9 | 142 |
| Drew Doughty | 11 | 16 | 82 | 1.7 | 2.4 | 13.4 | 6.4 | 111 |
| Jake Walman | 10 | 8 | 72 | 1.7 | 2.9 | 13.9 | 6.6 | 110 |
| Jake Middleton | 7 | 11 | 53 | 1.1 | NA | 13.2 | 6.5 | 103 |
| Sam Lafferty | 10 | 10 | 49 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 20.4 | 10.3 | 98 |
| Nils Hoglander | 14 | 6 | 62 | 1.3 | 3.6 | 22.6 | 11.7 | 92 |
| Connor Dewar | 7 | 2 | 43 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 16.3 | 8.6 | 89 |
| Jason Dickinson | 15 | 10 | 79 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 19.0 | 10.2 | 87 |
| Colton Parayko | 8 | 10 | 97 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 8.3 | 4.4 | 86 |
| Robby Fabbri | 13 | 8 | 47 | 1.3 | 3.7 | 27.7 | 15.0 | 85 |
| MacKenzie Weegar | 12 | 17 | 121 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 9.9 | 5.4 | 85 |
| Logan O'Connor | 13 | 11 | 72 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 18.1 | 9.8 | 84 |
| Noah Hanifin | 8 | 17 | 91 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 8.8 | 4.8 | 83 |
| Sam Reinhart | 37 | 25 | 134 | 2.7 | 2.6 | 27.6 | 15.3 | 80 |
| Jake McCabe | 4 | 13 | 45 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 8.9 | 5.1 | 75 |
| Quinn Hughes | 12 | 50 | 118 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 10.2 | 5.8 | 74 |
| Curtis Lazar | 6 | 10 | 43 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 14.0 | 8.1 | 72 |
| Josh Manson | 6 | 11 | 68 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 8.8 | 5.2 | 71 |
| Blake Coleman | 20 | 20 | 115 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 17.4 | 10.2 | 70 |
| Stefan Noesen | 11 | 16 | 62 | 1.3 | 4.3 | 17.7 | 10.5 | 70 |
| Jonathan Drouin | 10 | 18 | 66 | 1.4 | 2.5 | 15.2 | 9.0 | 68 |
| Adam Fox | 8 | 29 | 67 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 11.9 | 7.2 | 66 |
| Brock Boeser | 30 | 22 | 134 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 22.4 | 13.7 | 63 |
| Teuvo Teravainen | 16 | 13 | 94 | 2.0 | 3.1 | 17.0 | 10.4 | 63 |
| Sean Durzi | 8 | 20 | 75 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 10.7 | 6.6 | 62 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 9 | 16 | 80 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 11.3 | 7.0 | 62 |
| Trent Frederic | 14 | 15 | 72 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 19.4 | 12.1 | 61 |
| Charlie Coyle | 18 | 24 | 100 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 18.0 | 11.2 | 60 |
| Jan Rutta | 3 | 9 | 41 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 7.3 | 4.6 | 60 |
| Anthony Mantha | 15 | 8 | 77 | 1.8 | 2.9 | 19.5 | 12.3 | 59 |
| Valeri Nichushkin | 22 | 20 | 128 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 17.2 | 10.8 | 59 |
| Sean Kuraly | 7 | 6 | 59 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 11.9 | 7.5 | 57 |
| Michael McLeod | 10 | 9 | 73 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 13.7 | 8.7 | 57 |
| Yegor Chinakhov | 14 | 10 | 80 | 2.1 | 2.8 | 17.5 | 11.3 | 55 |
| A.J. Greer | 6 | 4 | 47 | 1.0 | 2.7 | 12.8 | 8.3 | 54 |
| Tyler Seguin | 17 | 22 | 100 | 2.0 | 3.6 | 17.0 | 11.0 | 54 |
| Rasmus Andersson | 7 | 21 | 102 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 6.9 | 4.5 | 53 |
| Mason Marchment | 16 | 21 | 91 | 1.9 | 3.0 | 17.6 | 11.6 | 51 |
| Kevin Shattenkirk | 5 | 8 | 61 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 8.2 | 5.5 | 50 |
| Zach Bogosian | 1 | 7 | 50 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 4.0 | -50 |
| Scott Laughton | 5 | 15 | 109 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 4.6 | 9.3 | -50 |
| Frederick Gaudreau | 3 | 7 | 61 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 4.9 | 9.9 | -50 |
| MacKenzie Entwistle | 2 | 3 | 47 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 4.3 | 8.8 | -51 |
| Yanni Gourde | 7 | 13 | 104 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 6.7 | 13.6 | -51 |
| Calen Addison | 1 | 11 | 51 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 4.0 | -51 |
| Kevin Labanc | 2 | 5 | 43 | 1.3 | 3.0 | 4.7 | 9.4 | -51 |
| Alex Ovechkin | 9 | 22 | 151 | 3.4 | 4.7 | 6.0 | 12.8 | -53 |
| John Carlson | 3 | 25 | 104 | 2.2 | 3.4 | 2.9 | 6.3 | -54 |
| Anton Lundell | 4 | 14 | 96 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 4.2 | 9.1 | -54 |
| Cam Fowler | 2 | 20 | 71 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 2.8 | 6.2 | -54 |
| Aaron Ekblad | 2 | 11 | 65 | 2.0 | 3.9 | 3.1 | 6.8 | -55 |
| Christian Fischer | 2 | 7 | 50 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 4.0 | 8.8 | -55 |
| Mikey Anderson | 1 | 13 | 63 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 3.7 | -57 |
| Nate Schmidt | 1 | 6 | 45 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 5.2 | -57 |
| Brandon Montour | 2 | 9 | 83 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 5.7 | -58 |
| Tyson Barrie | 1 | 10 | 40 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 6.3 | -60 |
| Jack Roslovic | 2 | 8 | 42 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 4.8 | 11.9 | -60 |
| Mark Giordano | 1 | 5 | 40 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 6.7 | -63 |
| Justin Faulk | 2 | 17 | 90 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 5.9 | -63 |
| Jonas Brodin | 1 | 12 | 61 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 4.8 | -65 |
| Ryan McDonagh | 1 | 10 | 54 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 5.3 | -65 |
| Ryan Suter | 1 | 9 | 65 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4.5 | -66 |
| Nikita Zadorov | 1 | 9 | 52 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 5.7 | -66 |
| Jakub Vrana | 2 | 4 | 42 | 2.0 | 4.9 | 4.8 | 14.0 | -66 |
| Alex Pietrangelo | 2 | 20 | 106 | 2.4 | 3.1 | 1.9 | 5.8 | -68 |
| Hampus Lindholm | 1 | 18 | 62 | 1.3 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 5.6 | -71 |
| Seth Jones | 1 | 14 | 79 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 4.9 | -74 |
| Torey Krug | 1 | 19 | 107 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 4.8 | -81 |
| Zach Werenski | 1 | 27 | 99 | 2.6 | 5.5 | 1.0 | 6.8 | -85 |
| Connor Brown | 0 | 4 | 65 | 1.7 | NA | 0.0 | 10.7 | -100 |
| Cody Ceci | 0 | 13 | 48 | 1.1 | NA | 0.0 | 3.9 | -100 |
| Nicolas Deslauriers | 0 | 3 | 40 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 7.6 | -100 |
| Jordan Spence | 0 | 14 | 50 | 1.2 | 13.7 | 0.0 | 2.1 | -100 |
| Dmitry Kulikov | 0 | 11 | 48 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 4.2 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2023-2024 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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