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Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters

February 21, 2024   Left Wing Lock Staff   0 Comments

Introduction

Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

Player G A S S/GP 3YS/GP SH% CSH% DEV
Luke Glendening 8 1 41 0.7 1.3 19.5 8.8 122
Marc-Edouard Vlasic 5 2 46 1.4 0.9 10.9 5.0 119
Damon Severson 6 10 47 1.2 1.6 12.8 5.9 118
Colton Parayko 9 12 103 1.9 2.0 8.7 4.5 94
Jake Walman 11 9 85 1.7 2.9 12.9 6.7 94
Drew Doughty 12 19 98 1.8 2.4 12.2 6.4 92
MacKenzie Weegar 15 18 139 2.5 2.2 10.8 5.6 92
Jake McCabe 5 14 52 1.1 1.6 9.6 5.2 86
Jason Dickinson 17 10 88 1.6 1.5 19.3 10.4 86
Sam Lafferty 10 10 53 1.0 1.8 18.9 10.2 85
Jake Middleton 7 11 61 1.1 NA 11.5 6.3 83
Nils Hoglander 17 8 79 1.4 3.6 21.5 12.0 79
Connor Dewar 7 3 47 0.9 1.6 14.9 8.4 77
Noah Hanifin 9 21 107 1.9 2.3 8.4 4.8 75
Sam Reinhart 39 28 146 2.6 2.6 26.7 15.3 74
Logan O'Connor 13 12 79 1.5 1.7 16.5 9.6 71
Adam Fox 9 37 74 1.6 2.0 12.2 7.3 67
Anthony Mantha 17 11 83 1.7 2.9 20.5 12.4 65
Blake Coleman 22 22 131 2.3 2.4 16.8 10.2 64
Stefan Noesen 12 17 71 1.3 4.3 16.9 10.5 61
Jordan Greenway 9 10 61 1.4 2.0 14.8 9.2 61
Valeri Nichushkin 22 20 128 3.2 3.3 17.2 10.8 59
Teuvo Teravainen 17 19 102 1.9 3.1 16.7 10.5 59
John Marino 4 15 45 0.8 1.2 8.9 5.6 58
Quinn Hughes 12 57 133 2.3 2.0 9.0 5.7 58
Michael McLeod 10 9 73 1.6 1.1 13.7 8.7 57
Josh Manson 6 12 75 1.4 2.4 8.0 5.1 57
A.J. Greer 6 4 47 1.0 2.7 12.8 8.3 54
Trent Frederic 15 17 82 1.5 1.8 18.3 12.0 52
Brock Boeser 31 26 150 2.6 2.8 20.7 13.6 51
Kevin Shattenkirk 5 9 61 1.4 2.0 8.2 5.5 50
Rasmus Sandin 2 14 58 1.3 1.4 3.5 6.9 -50
Chris Tanev 1 11 41 0.8 1.2 2.4 5.0 -51
Kasperi Kapanen 4 11 76 1.6 2.0 5.3 10.7 -51
Rickard Rakell 5 16 97 2.4 3.0 5.2 10.9 -53
Jack Roslovic 3 10 54 1.7 1.8 5.6 11.9 -53
Kevin Labanc 2 5 45 1.3 3.0 4.4 9.4 -53
Barrett Hayton 2 3 43 1.9 2.4 4.7 10.0 -54
Yanni Gourde 7 14 113 2.1 1.9 6.2 13.5 -54
MacKenzie Entwistle 2 3 51 1.1 0.9 3.9 8.5 -54
Mattias Janmark 2 5 41 1.0 1.6 4.9 10.6 -54
Frederick Gaudreau 3 8 68 1.5 2.0 4.4 9.7 -55
Jamie Oleksiak 2 7 80 1.5 1.4 2.5 5.6 -55
Alex Pietrangelo 3 24 117 2.3 3.1 2.6 5.9 -56
Calen Addison 1 13 63 1.3 1.6 1.6 3.7 -57
Zach Bogosian 1 8 58 1.3 1.7 1.7 4.0 -57
John Carlson 3 28 113 2.1 3.4 2.7 6.3 -58
Cody Ceci 1 14 59 1.1 NA 1.7 4.0 -58
Mikey Anderson 1 14 66 1.2 1.2 1.5 3.6 -58
Noah Cates 2 6 42 1.2 2.2 4.8 11.6 -59
Cody Glass 2 4 57 2.0 3.6 3.5 9.1 -61
Justin Faulk 2 17 90 2.3 2.3 2.2 5.9 -63
Nate Schmidt 1 8 52 1.1 1.6 1.9 5.1 -63
Nick Cousins 2 4 72 1.6 1.5 2.8 7.7 -64
Torey Krug 2 27 120 2.2 2.5 1.7 4.8 -65
Mark Giordano 1 6 44 1.2 2.0 2.3 6.7 -66
Jakub Vrana 2 4 42 2.0 4.9 4.8 14.0 -66
Tyson Barrie 1 11 52 1.5 2.2 1.9 6.3 -69
Hampus Lindholm 1 18 71 1.3 2.5 1.4 5.5 -74
Zach Werenski 2 29 117 2.8 5.5 1.7 6.7 -75
Seth Jones 1 15 94 2.3 2.6 1.1 4.9 -78
Max Pacioretty 1 9 44 2.3 8.9 2.3 11.2 -80
Connor Brown 0 4 72 1.6 NA 0.0 10.7 -100
Kevin Bahl 0 8 44 0.8 1.3 0.0 3.3 -100
Nicolas Deslauriers 0 3 41 0.9 1.1 0.0 7.6 -100
Dmitry Kulikov 0 14 54 1.0 1.2 0.0 4.2 -100

Legend

G: Goals

A: Assists

S: Shots on goal

S/GP: Shots on goal per game

3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game

SH%: 2023-2024 shooting percentage

CSH%: Career shooting percentage

DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage

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